Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

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Expand view Topic review: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Sat Apr 11, 2026 2:02 am

Higgenbotham wrote: Sat Apr 11, 2026 12:13 am Malinvestment: Capital flows into projects that are not supported by real resources or consumer demand—such as long-term housing projects, high-tech ventures, or speculative businesses—which would not be profitable at natural interest rates.
If these malinvestments cited by the Austrians really are malinvestments, it would be reasonable to think that spending on lobbying would be highest for these categories of businesses. While they don't match perfectly, there is a lot of overlap.

Lobbying Client Total Spent

US Chamber of Commerce $72,140,000
National Assn of Realtors $54,361,910
Pharmaceutical Research & Manufacturers of America $38,185,000
Business Roundtable $33,500,000
American Hospital Assn $32,007,784
Blue Cross/Blue Shield $27,903,633
Meta $26,290,000
American Medical Assn $23,787,645
AARP $20,860,000
General Motors $19,720,000
American Chemistry Council $19,130,123
Amazon.com $18,865,000
CTIA $18,690,000
America's Health Insurance Plans $17,230,000
Alphabet Inc $16,540,000
Lockheed Martin $15,676,909

https://www.opensecrets.org/federal-lob ... p-spenders

The preponderance of health and health insurance related lobbying has to do with the price of health care being unsustainable and the percentage of the economy devoted to health care being unsustainable. If individuals were paying their health care providers directly, health care might be 10 to 20 percent of its current cost and percentage of GDP. GDP would shrink over 10% due to that alone.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Sat Apr 11, 2026 12:13 am

Higgenbotham wrote: Sun Feb 01, 2026 6:18 pm Manipulation and fraud are the biggest businesses in America today, and waddling up to the window for a bailout is the most in-demand job skill in America today.
One way for someone to wrap their head around just how big manipulation and fraud are in this economy is to read what the Austrian economists have to say. Before moving onto other discussion about manipulation and fraud, I will find the most relevant quotes from the Austrians that I am able to.

This is from Google AI, and I really should look up the specific quotes as intended, but this summary closely matches my recollection and will allow me to proceed to other related discussion.

Austrian economists, such as Ludwig von Mises and Friedrich Hayek, argue that central bank "money printing" (artificial credit expansion) is the root cause of the business cycle, transforming an economy into a landscape of unsustainable, "fraudulent," or "malinvested" businesses that eventually must collapse.
.
According to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT), this process unfolds in distinct phases:

1. The Artificial Boom (Money Printing)

Artificial Lowering of Interest Rates: When central banks increase the money supply (print money) or lower interest rates without a corresponding increase in real savings, they disrupt the market's natural coordination.

False Signaling: Artificially low rates act as a false signal, tricking entrepreneurs into believing that society is willing to defer consumption and invest long-term.

Malinvestment: Capital flows into projects that are not supported by real resources or consumer demand—such as long-term housing projects, high-tech ventures, or speculative businesses—which would not be profitable at natural interest rates.

2. How Fraudulent/Unsustainable Businesses Flourish

Easy Credit Fuel: These businesses are often "fraudulent" in the sense that they are "malinvestments"—they exist only because of the artificially cheap capital, rather than demand for their products.

"Cluster of Errors": Murray Rothbard described this as a "cluster of errors" where the artificial boom lures many businessmen to make the same mistake simultaneously.

Inevitability of Participation: In an inflationary environment, businesses often must adopt reckless, debt-dependent behaviors to survive competition, relying on the influx of new money to keep their valuations high.

Neglect of Real Savings: True entrepreneurship is replaced by financial engineering, where firms prioritize financial manipulation and debt-financed expansion over real value creation.

3. The Collapse and Necessary Adjustment

The Day of Reckoning: The boom is unsustainable because the "real" resources to complete all projects do not exist. As the new money spreads, prices rise and interest rates eventually increase, exposing the malinvestments.

The Bust is a Cure: Austrians argue that the "recession" or "bust" is actually the necessary, curative process of correcting the mistakes made during the boom.

Bankruptcies and Liquidation: Fraudulent, unsustainable businesses cannot survive without the artificial credit. They go bankrupt, and resources are freed up to be reallocated toward more productive uses.

Rejection of Intervention: Austrian economists, contrary to mainstream views, argue against further stimulus or bailouts, believing these actions only prolong the "malinvestments" and cause even more severe future collapses.

In summary, for Austrian economists, printing money does not create wealth; it merely redistributes it while creating an artificial, unsustainable boom that must inevitably break when the reality of limited resources asserts itself.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Fri Apr 10, 2026 11:02 pm

aedens wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2026 11:37 pm Escape velocity will not be viable for the majority...Tainter and Dimond stated one day it just simply ceased.
The Roman soldiers were at Hadrian's Wall and one day walked away when they didn't get paid.
Higgenbotham wrote: Tue Jun 17, 2014 11:50 pm
In 401 or 402 Stilicho faced wars with the Visigothic king Alaric and the Ostrogothic king Radagaisus. Needing military manpower, he stripped Hadrian's Wall of troops for the final time. 402 is the last date of any Roman coinage found in large numbers in Britain, suggesting either that Stilicho also stripped the remaining troops from Britain, or that the Empire could no longer afford to pay the troops who were still there.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/End_of_Rom ... in_Britain
The scenario that virtually nobody is prepared for is one day the grocery shelves go empty never to be restocked again.
Higgenbotham wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2026 2:45 pm https://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comme ... are_button

The post I'm pointing to will be highlighted in yellow.
I'm a US "government insider"...FWIW, famine in the US is not on our radar anytime soon... at least not from a food availability standpoint.
It'll be difficult enough under the slow wasting scenario.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Fri Apr 10, 2026 4:59 pm

Higgenbotham wrote: Fri Apr 10, 2026 9:45 am First there was United Health and now this. Let's see if this possible incipient trend accelerates as they further tighten the screws, which they most certainly will.
As they tighten the screws and people find ways to get even, their response is, "We are suffering from "upward bullying" - isn't this just awful?" Like I said, expect them to go into denial so they can justify further tightening the screws.
A global survey of executives finds a little-discussed form of workplace abuse is rising—and many leaders say they get no help when it happens.

Much attention in recent years has justifiably been focused on the harm that toxic workplaces inflict on employees, especially when spiteful, manipulative, or abusive managers are responsible. But new study data indicates a far less acknowledged form of professional mistreatment is on the rise—one known as the upward bullying of people in leadership roles by their subordinates.

That flipping of roles in the typical toxic workplace scenario was quantified by Australian business consultancy Maureen Kyne, whose global survey questioned leaders in roles from middle managers to CEOs and board members. Responses contained alarming insights into the upward-bullying trend, as well as first-hand accounts that were remarkably consistent despite differences in company size, sector, or nationality—including U.S. participants, who made up nearly 20 percent of the total. Fully 71 percent of all respondents reported having personally experienced upward bullying, with nearly three-quarters saying the abuse is becoming more frequent.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/smallbu ... e475&ei=19

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Fri Apr 10, 2026 3:19 pm

tim wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2026 1:27 pm https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/breaki ... -collapses
BREAKING: U.S. Fertility Rate Collapses to Lowest Level Ever Recorded

A new CDC report confirms America is now reproducing at the lowest rate in recorded history, with fertility dropping 5.7% since 2021 alone.
Here is the line from the Washington Post. What they don't seem to want to highlight is infertility is affecting 1 in 7 and rising.
The U.S. fertility rate hit a historic low.

According to the CDC: Fewer teenagers and young women had babies in 2025, driving the decrease. Studies show economic pressures are also leading to delayed parenthood.

It’s a political flashpoint: Some conservatives worry that lower fertility rates will lead to population decline. But others think the trend is a sign that women have more reproductive choice.

Read this story

What is the long term trend in infertility rates for couples?

AI Overview

The long-term trend in infertility rates for couples is upward, showing a substantial increase in prevalence globally over the past three decades. While total fertility rates (the number of children born) are falling worldwide, the involuntary inability to conceive (infertility) has simultaneously risen, affecting an estimated 1 in 7 couples today.

Key trends and data regarding the long-term rise in infertility include:

Global Increase (1990–2021): A comprehensive study using 2021 Global Burden of Disease data found that the number of infertility cases increased by approximately 75% for men and over 84% for women between 1990 and 2021.

Rising Burden on Couples: In the United States, the percentage of married women (ages 15–49) with impaired fecundity (difficulty conceiving or carrying a pregnancy) has risen to around 13%–16%. After two years of trying, approximately 10% of couples still have not achieved a successful pregnancy.

"Infertility Trap" Projection: Studies suggest that if trends continue, the burden of infertility—particularly measured by age-standardized prevalence rates—will continue to rise, with a significant increase in the number of couples seeking infertility treatment.

Drivers of the Long-Term Trend

Several factors contribute to the long-term increase in infertility:

Delayed Childbearing: Couples are waiting longer to start families, often until their 30s or later, which aligns with the natural decline in egg quality and ovarian reserve, particularly after age 35.

Lifestyle Factors: Rising rates of obesity are directly linked to ovulatory dysfunction in women (e.g., PCOS) and decreased sperm quality in men.

Environmental and Health Factors: Increased exposure to environmental toxins (pesticides, endocrine disruptors) and a rise in sexually transmitted infections (STIs) that can cause pelvic inflammatory disease and fallopian tube damage.

Male Fertility Decline: Studies suggest a secular decline in semen quality and testosterone levels in men over the past few decades.

Regional and Social Variations

While the trend is generally upward, it varies by region:

Developed Nations: Some high-income regions have seen a stabilization or slight decrease in primary infertility, potentially due to better access to treatment or a lowered, intentional choice to not have children.

Developing Nations: Infertility prevalence has shown sharp increases in areas like South Asia, North Africa, and the Middle East, particularly among women.

Note: Infertility is defined by the CDC as the inability to get pregnant after one year of unprotected sex (or 6 months for women over 35).

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Fri Apr 10, 2026 9:45 am

First there was United Health and now this. Let's see if this possible incipient trend accelerates as they further tighten the screws, which they most certainly will.
Kimberly-Clark Distribution Center in Ontario, 29 yo employee arrested over the arson, no casualties. Estimated damage around $200 million. The phrase ‘all you had to do was pay us enough to live’ comes from the arsonist filming himself starting the fires. It already got a ‘defend deny depose’ spread across social media platforms, as the images of the 1.2 million square foot warehouse ablaze were released.
https://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comme ... are_button

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by aedens » Thu Apr 09, 2026 11:37 pm

Escape velocity will not be viable for the majority.
Patterns over time suggested 10 of 12 as it went into the final end phase wasting.
The insanity phase window is starting to merged into the maniacal phase of transition.
The cult splinter phase is rapidly developing.
You bought the product you have no rights to it.
Just like the uniparty imbeciles who will be told 83.3 gave a report based in being debased.
Tainter and Dimond stated one day it just simply ceased.
The discussions we had did not broach expansion.
The impediment seen was labeled as a oxymoron watching bone crushing stupidity in this hour
as we indicated of its duration.

The T cell epitopes study's are the only positive course of action that are under duration.
Short cut for some will be Immune Epitope Database and Analysis.
The end of the factual view and treatments was they will indeed fuck it up as what they do and did anyways.
We are surrounded by a few who have provided a path forward as the actual systems burn the rest of it down.
Eco leads the Polo-tics.
Secure your escape velocity and yes they will not understand half a time or water wheat weather.

As warned from the Pagans.
Darkness dwells in the veins of the world, souls fall silent in stillness.

Red bead audit findings are simply dismissal territory.
The exfiltration files are sealed up since apology is policy.
7-Year Cycles That Crush The Uninformed:
1. unbridled enthusiasm
2. mass confusion
3. sudden disillusionment
4. search for the guilty
5. punish the innocent
6. rewarding of the non-participants
7. see step one

Gutted Sheep ™
It was irony cubed when it was said your being used. I bear no malice to the topical blind.
Again do not be deceived.
You have been Adultered ™.

Zero zero zero will be done as another 7-Year Cycle begins.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Thu Apr 09, 2026 2:45 pm

Higgenbotham wrote: Sat Mar 28, 2026 10:22 pm Earlier in this Dark Age Hovel I had discussed location and how a borderline location could be beneficial if someone prefers to fight the problem of fertility of the land instead of denser populations...

...Also, the fertility of the area prepared 2 years ago seems better than it was last year, indicating that it can take at least 2 years to optimally prepare ground for growing vegetables in this location.
The other aspect of this, besides soil, is weather extremes. This year it was in the upper 90s on March 15. During the early morning hours of March 17, it was 29 degrees. As the cold air came in, winds were brisk, which didn't help. Many gardeners in this area lost all of their cold sensitive crops or they were badly damaged.

This is when it can be advantageous to be working on a small scale. I covered my tomatoes with blankets (they had to be put over stakes so that the blankets wouldn't touch the plants). Only 3 were damaged out of 28. In an open field, everything would have been lost.

It is possible to put infrastructure such as hoop houses in to avoid these outcomes, but I would prefer not to be "advertising" my garden plot while the new dark age is incoming. At present, it can't be seen by anybody, but putting a hoop house out there would make it highly visible. We have visitors here from time to time. The instructions I've given is the garden plot is not to be discussed with or shown to any visitors.

It's only April 9, but it's looking like yields are going to be very heavy. Last year I said I'd be lucky to get 500 pounds of tomatoes, but this year I think it's more than likely. I've added blackberries with thorns. Those will eventually spread through and around the garden plot for security. Soon I will be adding strawberries and okra.

Image

The method I used was discussed here but briefly it involves digging pits a little smaller than 4 feet by 4 feet 30 inches deep. A thick layer of wood chips is put in the bottom, followed by soil, then grass, weeds, cow manure, cover crops (hard red wheat mostly), kitchen waste, and urine interspersed with more soil. No fertilizers, pesticides or herbicides have been necessary.

My goal is to be growing 30 percent of our food in the next 3-5 years. But that can be sped up if the collapse accelerates more than I expect. We'll see how the fall and winter go. We should see a lot of price increases at a minimum.

https://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comme ... are_button

The post I'm pointing to will be highlighted in yellow.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by tim » Thu Apr 09, 2026 1:27 pm

https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/breaki ... -collapses
BREAKING: U.S. Fertility Rate Collapses to Lowest Level Ever Recorded

A new CDC report confirms America is now reproducing at the lowest rate in recorded history, with fertility dropping 5.7% since 2021 alone.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by tim » Wed Apr 08, 2026 10:29 am

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetec ... eaths.html

Mystery surrounds death of NINTH scientist tied to US secrets as disturbing pattern grows
While there have been no public allegations of foul play, Hicks' case marks the ninth person with ties to America's space or nuclear secrets who has died or mysteriously vanished in recent years, which has set off alarm bells among US national security experts.

Moreover, three of these scientists had close ties to Hicks, as all of them worked at the Jet Propulsion Lab or participated in NASA missions there. Monica Reza, JPL's new Director of the Materials Processing Group, vanished without a trace in June 2025, just months after beginning her tenure at the NASA lab.

Two other men with deep ties to JPL died recently, including a long-time coworker of Hicks, Frank Maiwald, who died in July 2024 at age 61, with even less public acknowledgement of his untimely passing.

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