1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can / Future of Generational Dynamics

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can / Future of Generational Dynamics

Postby John » Mon Dec 31, 2018 11:45 pm

1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can


The future of Generational Dynamics

** 1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e190101.htm#e190101



Contents:
Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can
Separatist violence in India's Kashmir and Jammu
The Mideast - increasing ethnic and secular tensions
Russia's existential threats to Ukraine
North Korea continues nuclear weapons development
China continues to prepare for war
Preparations for a global pandemic
Stock market bubble continues
U.S. debt continues to become increasingly unsustainable
The future of Generational Dynamics


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, India, Kashmir, Jammu, Pakistan,
Syria, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Israel, Palestine, Hamas,
Iraq, Egypt, Yemen, Lebanon, Hezbollah, Muslim Brotherhood,
Russia, Ukraine, Kerch Strait, Sea of Azov,
North Korea, South Korea, China, South China Sea, Xi Jinping,
John Kenneth Galbraith, Price/earnings ratio

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: 1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can / Future of Generational Dynami

Postby Tom Mazanec » Tue Jan 01, 2019 9:58 am

John, get a job as something. I trained as an astronomer, ended up as a janitor at a group home, and am now on disability. My life did not follow the course I set out for it, but it is still worthwhile. Even though I can't work, I help out at the Perpetual Adoration at my Church and have time to read all the things I want.
Get a job as a janitor or something. If you have to drop GD, then do it. I would miss it, but please don't do anything irreversible.
SHARKS (crossed out) MONGEESE (sic) WITH FRICKIN' LASER BEAMS ATTACHED TO THEIR HEADS

John
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Re: 1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can / Future of Generational Dynami

Postby John » Tue Jan 01, 2019 7:10 pm

Tom Mazanec wrote:> John, get a job as something. I trained as an astronomer, ended up
> as a janitor at a group home, and am now on disability. My life
> did not follow the course I set out for it, but it is still
> worthwhile. Even though I can't work, I help out at the Perpetual
> Adoration at my Church and have time to read all the things I
> want. Get a job as a janitor or something. If you have to
> drop GD, then do it. I would miss it, but please don't do
> anything irreversible.


Yeah, but you're young.

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: 1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can / Future of Generational Dynami

Postby Tom Mazanec » Tue Jan 01, 2019 7:29 pm

Birthdate March 5, 1958.
That's not "young".
SHARKS (crossed out) MONGEESE (sic) WITH FRICKIN' LASER BEAMS ATTACHED TO THEIR HEADS

John
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Re: 1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can / Future of Generational Dynami

Postby John » Tue Jan 01, 2019 7:32 pm

Tom Mazanec wrote:Birthdate March 5, 1958.
That's not "young".


Young enough.

Why, when I was your age ......


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Re: 1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can / Future of Generational Dynami

Postby JenXChick » Wed Jan 02, 2019 10:29 am

Someone mentioned the idea of starting a YouTube channel in a previous thread and I wholeheartedly concur. You have plenty of material to generate a lot of content for a Generational Dynamics channel and you could very easily make sufficient income to keep GD afloat and maintain a modest lifestyle. Start off with essentially converting your catalog of articles explaining how GD works into video presentations, then do your in-depth analyses as videos, and then jump in with a daily update based on your web log. You could also do a weekly show doing more in-depth analyses of the week's events, maybe bring in guest analysts...see if Steve Bannon will help you out with the occasional appearance to lend his insight into things.

While you're at it, start up a Patreon for people to chip in various amounts every month. If you can get a few hundred people to at least pledge you $1 a month, that will take some of the pressure off, and I'm sure with good YouTube content, you can pull in lots more and at higher pledge levels. In terms of giving patrons "bonus" material for their various pledge tiers, you don't have to get too crazy...keep the tiers modest and you can keep the "goodies" modest...starting off with listing their names in your videos and maybe giving voting input on video topics and early access to certain special videos...maybe offer Google Hangouts for those patrons who want to have interesting discussions and debates at higher tiers...but first build up a decent following on YouTube with engaging content and the rest will follow.

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Re: 1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can / Future of Generational Dynami

Postby John » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:33 pm

JenXChick wrote:> Someone mentioned the idea of starting a YouTube channel in a
> previous thread and I wholeheartedly concur. You have plenty of
> material to generate a lot of content for a Generational Dynamics
> channel and you could very easily make sufficient income to keep
> GD afloat and maintain a modest lifestyle. Start off with
> essentially converting your catalog of articles explaining how GD
> works into video presentations, then do your in-depth analyses as
> videos, and then jump in with a daily update based on your web
> log. You could also do a weekly show doing more in-depth analyses
> of the week's events, maybe bring in guest analysts...see if Steve
> Bannon will help you out with the occasional appearance to lend
> his insight into things.

> While you're at it, start up a Patreon for people to chip in
> various amounts every month. If you can get a few hundred people
> to at least pledge you $1 a month, that will take some of the
> pressure off, and I'm sure with good YouTube content, you can pull
> in lots more and at higher pledge levels. In terms of giving
> patrons "bonus" material for their various pledge tiers, you don't
> have to get too crazy...keep the tiers modest and you can keep the
> "goodies" modest...starting off with listing their names in your
> videos and maybe giving voting input on video topics and early
> access to certain special videos...maybe offer Google Hangouts for
> those patrons who want to have interesting discussions and debates
> at higher tiers...but first build up a decent following on YouTube
> with engaging content and the rest will follow.


I've been doing this for 15 years. People have suggested all sorts of
things over the years, and many have been quite time consuming. But
they've all gone nowhere. This is the "Cassandra curse."

Your suggestions would take an enormous amount of time, and would make
almost zero money, for the reasons that I gave in the previous thread.

But hey, Ms. JenXChick, maybe you think I'm wrong. So let's turn this
into an opportunity for you.

You set the whole thing up and do the marketing, publicity, and public
relations. Also, take responsibility for selling ads, getting
subscribers, and related things. And let me know when you need me to
record or write something for the project.

Then when the money starts pouring in, you get a cut. It would be a
nice additional stream of income for you, with the added bonus that
you would get to prove a Boomer wrong. Start with a small "proof of
concept" project of some kind that won't take much work, and see for
yourself how it goes. How about it?

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: 1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can / Future of Generational Dynami

Postby Tom Mazanec » Thu Jan 03, 2019 7:39 pm

John, you did not give yourself your life.
You do not have the right to take it.
SHARKS (crossed out) MONGEESE (sic) WITH FRICKIN' LASER BEAMS ATTACHED TO THEIR HEADS

John
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Re: 1-Jan-19 World View -- Generational Dynamics 2019 Forecast: The Camel versus the Can / Future of Generational Dynami

Postby John » Fri Jan 04, 2019 10:46 am

Tom Mazanec wrote:> John, you did not give yourself your life.
> You do not have the right to take it.


Well, I'm not a religious person, but let's look at this within the
religious context.

The Bible does not forbid suicide, but some people claim that "Thou
shalt not murder" includes suicide. But that doesn't even make sense.
Here are the last five commandments:

> Thou shalt not murder.
> Thou shalt not commit adultery.
> Thou shalt not steal.
> Thou shalt not bear false witness against thy neighbor.
> Thou shalt not covet.


All of these have to do with relations with other people. You're
still allowed to steal from yourself, or lie about yourself, or covet
your own stuff. "Thou shalt not murder" applies to other people, not
to yourself.

Furthermore, we all know that "Thou shalt not murder" has plenty of
exceptions. Things like war and self-defense mean that the
commandment is far from absolute.

Here's a quote from the section of my Iran book where I'm comparing
the Bible to the Koran:

Xenakis in World View: Iran's Struggle for Supremacy wrote:> The Bible's Old Testament contains many examples where genocide
> and ethnic cleansing by the Jews was sanctioned or commanded by
> God. God commands the Israelites to seize the Land of Canaan and
> “dispossess all the inhabitants of the land.” And in Deuteronomy
> 7:1–3, God commands the Israelites to wipe out all the Canaanites
> living in the Land of Israel: “You must doom them to complete
> destruction; grant them no terms and give them no quarter.” Often
> God ensures military success for the Israelites, as in the war
> against the giant-king Og: “‘Do not fear him, for I am delivering
> him and all his men and his country into your power’ ... So the
> Lord our God also delivered into our power King Og of Bashan, with
> all his men, and we dealt them such a blow that no survivor was
> left” (Deut. 3:2–3). Dozens of other cases can be found
> throughout the remainder of the Bible, from the Book of Joshua to
> Second Chronicles. In modern times, the Nazi Holocaust triggered
> a major Jewish war of conquest, the war between Arabs and Jews in
> 1947 that followed the partitioning of Palestine and the creation
> of the state of Israel.


So if genocide and ethnic cleansing are sometimes OK, then "Thou shalt
not murder" can't have much meaning.

Here's a personal anecdote from the 90s. When my mother entered a
Catholic nursing home, where they had plenty of nuns and priests, they
asked me to sign a DNR, which I did. I considered it a relief and a
blessing for her when she died.

I'm sure, Tom, that if your mother were suffering and you were asked
to sign a DNR, you would do so, even though it can be considered
approving murder through inaction, which is arguably still murder.

There's a very good reason why the Bible does not forbid suicide.
It's because the people who wrote the Bible understood how worthless
human life is. Here are some quotes using the "dust to dust" theme:

Ecclesiastes 3:19-20 wrote:> 19 For the fates of both men and beasts are the same: As one dies,
> so dies the other—they all have the same breath. Man has no
> advantage over the animals, since everything is futile. 20 All go
> to one place: All come from dust, and all return to dust.


Genesis 3:19 wrote:> 19 By the sweat of your brow you will eat your bread, until you
> return to the ground - because out of it were you taken. For dust
> you are, and to dust you shall return.


Doing my articles on Generation Dynamics has shown me how truly
worthless a human life is, on all levels.

You say, "You did not give yourself your life. You do not have the
right to take it." That doesn't make sense. If I give you an iPhone,
then it's yours, and you can do whatever you want with it. You can
use it, sell it, or give it away. If the iPhone gets old and turns
worthless, then it's perfectly reasonable to throw it away. What's
the point of keeping something that's completely worthless?


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