20-Aug-17 World View -- Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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20-Aug-17 World View -- Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea

Post by John »

20-Aug-17 World View -- Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea


Official warns may be necessary to invoke US-Philippines mutual defense treaty

** 20-Aug-17 World View -- Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e170820



Contents:
Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea
Official warns may be necessary to invoke US-Philippines mutual defense treaty


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Philippines, China, Antonio Carpio,
Gary Alejano, Pag-asa Island, Thitu Island, South China Sea,
Rodrigo R. Duterte, Alan Peter Cayetano, Sandy Cay,
United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration,
1951 Philippine-US Mutual Defense Treaty, Scarborough Shoal

Coordinated fires
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Location: Merica

Re: 20-Aug-17 World View -- Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea

Post by Coordinated fires »

the Chinese call them "coast guard cutters" and paint them up red and white but it's really a clever Chinese deception. They're building these things with like 10-12,000 ton displacement, the size of a large cruiser in some cases! and it's believed they are armed with anti-ship and anti-air missiles.

So the Chinese can use these vessels to bully neighbors while attempting to remain just below the threshold for military escalation by saying "hey, they're only coast guard vessels".





P.S. John, I gotta ask. Given your relationship, What is your take on Bannon leaving the white house. I'm not taking this as a positive development. Although the media wanted a scalp, and I suppose hopefully Bannon can exercise some influence from outside the white house. I gotta tell you, I'm not terribly pleased with President Trump over this, and I am a huge Trump supporter.
Politics is war by other means

JCP

Re: 20-Aug-17 World View -- Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea

Post by JCP »

I wonder if Bannon died what Malcolm X did?

Malcolm X was upset about the Nation of Islam's leader, Elijah Mohammad's, sleazy private life, and went against the Nation of Islam's personal directive and not comment on the assassination of JFK. Malcolm's "The chickens have come home to roost" remark sealed his fate: he was removed from his position, left the NOI and began active opposition to the organization.

Could Bannon's unsolicited and outrageously reckless interview along the same lines?

John
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Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: 20-Aug-17 World View -- Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea

Post by John »

I've always felt that the country would be much better off if foreign
policy could be guided by Generational Dynamics analysis. Barack
Obama's policies were purely (left-wing) ideologically driven and
never made any sense at all, and led to one disaster after another.
My hope was that Bannon could guide the Trump administration to a
foreign policy that would be analytically driven, and would be best
for the country.

News reports indicate that Bannon resigned on 8/7, with his actual
departure delayed until 8/18. So his departure apparently had nothing
to do with the American Prospect interview or with the Charlottesville
event, although it was related to previous instances of political
chaos. News reports also indicate Bannon will continue to be an
advisor to Trump, though could mean much or very little.

One other problem that I and others have discovered is that the
easiest way to get everyone to hate you is to tell them what the
generational theory predictions are. I have no idea whether Bannon
ever quoted me or my articles in the White House, but if he did, it's
possible that's just one more reason people hated him.

So I'll be watching now to see if Trump's policies in the future will
be purely (right-wing) ideologically driven and will make no sense at
all, or if Bannon's influence extends beyond his leaving the White
House.

Trump announced that decisions were made on Friday about an
Afghanistan policy, and that they'll be announced soon. That may be
the first sign of what's coming.

Coordinated fires
Posts: 120
Joined: Sat Jun 25, 2016 9:14 pm
Location: Merica

Re: 20-Aug-17 World View -- Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea

Post by Coordinated fires »

John wrote:Trump announced that decisions were made on Friday about an
Afghanistan policy, and that they'll be announced soon. That may be
the first sign of what's coming.

For us young, naive and inexperienced readers, specifically what signals will you be looking for in the Afghanistan policy announcement and what inferences would you draw with regard to what's coming? What would be considered a policy that makes no sense, and what would a policy informed by generational dynamics look like?
Politics is war by other means

John
Posts: 11479
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: 20-Aug-17 World View -- Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea

Post by John »

Coordinated fires wrote: > For us young, naive and inexperienced readers, specifically what
> signals will you be looking for in the Afghanistan policy
> announcement and what inferences would you draw with regard to
> what's coming? What would be considered a policy that makes no
> sense, and what would a policy informed by generational dynamics
> look like?
I discussed the whole US strategy in Afghanistan at length a couple of
weeks ago.

** 8-Aug-17 World View -- Dozens of Shia Muslims in Afghanistan killed in fourth Taliban victory in 3 weeks
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e170808

Apparently Trump will give a nationwide televised address on
Afghanistan from the Oval Office on Monday evening.

Coordinated fires
Posts: 120
Joined: Sat Jun 25, 2016 9:14 pm
Location: Merica

Re: 20-Aug-17 World View -- Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea

Post by Coordinated fires »

John wrote:
Coordinated fires wrote: > For us young, naive and inexperienced readers, specifically what
> signals will you be looking for in the Afghanistan policy
> announcement and what inferences would you draw with regard to
> what's coming? What would be considered a policy that makes no
> sense, and what would a policy informed by generational dynamics
> look like?
I discussed the whole US strategy in Afghanistan at length a couple of
weeks ago.

** 8-Aug-17 World View -- Dozens of Shia Muslims in Afghanistan killed in fourth Taliban victory in 3 weeks
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e170808

Apparently Trump will give a nationwide televised address on
Afghanistan from the Oval Office on Monday evening.
Yep, I've got my PVR set. Thanks for the link.
Politics is war by other means

John
Posts: 11479
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: 20-Aug-17 World View -- Chinese vessels massing near Philippines island in South China Sea

Post by John »

Mattis: Trump Adopts Afghan War Strategy

http://www.breitbart.com/national-secur ... -strategy/


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