isaac wrote:> Kim Jong Il can not stand the status quo. His country is starving
> and he is dying and he probably isn't very happy with whoever is
> next. When people are dying they tend to think of their legacy.
> His won't be good as it stands now. He needs there to be a war or
> a significant change in relationship with the international
> community. It isn't a stable situation. ...
> What does it take for N. Korea to go from a 2 to a 3 on you risk
> matrix. Do you think they are simply negotiating for
> international aid? I think this has to do with succession and is
> a very dangerous game.
> I'd be glad to understand your point of view on the theater done
> by North Korea view through "Generational Dynamics".
> My actual point of view is that it looks like the last crisis
> before the end of the North Korean Regime, only because this kind
> of action is, on my point of view, done for internal reasons.
> The problem, is that we are far away from 1945-1953 and that the
> new generation inside the army could be dangerous (even if this is
> only to save their privileges).
> But North Korea is nothing if China is not with it... so...
> I'd be happy to read your point of view, one of these days.
Samir wrote:While North Korea may not pose a great threat to the US, it odes pose a treat to our allies in the region: South Korea and Japan. Isn't the US obligated by treaty to protect them in case of attack?
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