17-Jun-11 News -- Rise of Gulf Cooperation Council

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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17-Jun-11 News -- Rise of Gulf Cooperation Council

Postby John » Thu Jun 16, 2011 10:54 pm

17-Jun-11 News -- Rise of Gulf Cooperation Council raises concerns in Mideast


The GCC versus the Arab League

** 17-Jun-11 News -- Rise of Gulf Cooperation Council raises concerns in Mideast
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?xct=gd.e110617b#e110617b



** 17-Jun-11 World View -- Short-term bailout of Greece is now expected
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?xct=gd.e110617#e110617



Contents:
"Rise of Gulf Cooperation Council raises concerns in Mideast"
"Adding Jordan to the GCC"
"The GCC versus the Arab League"
"The Axis versus the Allies"

### World View - Short-term bailout of Greece is now expected
"Short-term bailout of Greece is now expected"
"Turkey debating invasion of Syria, with support from U.S."
"China Patrol Ship Heads to Tense South China Sea"
"Israel will do 'everything necessary' to stop Gaza flotilla"
"Prince Harry will return to Afghanistan"
"Harvard Business School rejects finance professionals"
"Oregon outlaws the sale of suicide kits"

Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Gulf Cooperation Council, GCC,
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman, Kuwait,
Iran, Jordan, Morocco, Malaysia, Pakistan, China

Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Greece, France, Germany, Spain, Portugal,
Ireland, Contagion, Turkey, Syria, China, South China Sea,
Prince Harry, Afghanistan, Harvard Business School,
Oregon, Suicide Kits

OLD1953
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Joined: Tue Aug 11, 2009 11:16 pm

Re: 17-Jun-11 News -- Rise of Gulf Cooperation Council

Postby OLD1953 » Fri Jun 17, 2011 6:54 am

China, Turkey, Syria, the GCC - all these groups are operating under the assumption that provocations will be met in kind, or not met at all. There is no worry that provocations may be met with a response out of proportion to the provocation, or that others might join in to defend the attacked and punish the attacker. Escalation can happen in a matter of minutes, and history shows it to be nearly impossible to step back from a conflict once you are involved.

John
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Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: 17-Jun-11 News -- Rise of Gulf Cooperation Council

Postby John » Fri Jun 17, 2011 6:58 am

OLD1953 wrote:> China, Turkey, Syria, the GCC - all these groups are operating
> under the assumption that provocations will be met in kind, or not
> met at all. There is no worry that provocations may be met with a
> response out of proportion to the provocation, or that others
> might join in to defend the attacked and punish the attacker.
> Escalation can happen in a matter of minutes, and history shows it
> to be nearly impossible to step back from a conflict once you are
> involved.


That's very well put. That's exactly what happens in a crisis era.

John

OLD1953
Posts: 946
Joined: Tue Aug 11, 2009 11:16 pm

Re: 17-Jun-11 News -- Rise of Gulf Cooperation Council

Postby OLD1953 » Sat Jun 18, 2011 7:25 am

Thanks for the kind words.

Now the Saudi's are beginning to have problems at home.

http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/Video- ... he_Kingdom

And allowing women to drive might be viewed as the tip of the iceberg by the traditionalists. Women are still not allowed to vote in the Kingdom and have to get permission from a male relative to go to work or to travel.

"'We want women from today to begin exercising their rights," said Wajeha al-Huwaidar who is a Saudi women's rights activist. "Today on the roads is just the beginning of a long campaign."
*************

It's a nearly sure thing that overreaction will be the hallmark of the Saudi response. And that will mean more police and more military pushing back against the protestors. As rulers become more accustomed to military/police solutions to social problems, war becomes more and more likely.


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