Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
Posts: 9775
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 26-Jan-2019 Canada's Justin Trudeau fires ambassador to China

Justin Trudeau has fired John McCallum, Canada's ambassador to China,
after the latter criticized the extradition request by the US of the
arrested Huawei executive Meng Wanzhou. Last week, he told a meeting
of Chinese-language journalists that it would be "great for Canada" if
the US dropped its extradition request:
> "I think she has quite good arguments on her
> side. One, political involvement by comments from Donald Trump in
> her case.

> Two, there’s an extraterritorial aspect to her case. And three,
> there’s the issue of Iran sanctions in her case and Canada does
> not sign on to these. So I think she has some strong arguments she
> can make before a judge."
Immediately after Meng was arrested, China arrested several Canadian
citizens, apparently in retaliation. This has made it almost
impossible for Canada to release Meng, since doing so would be
interpreted as giving up the rule of law for Chinese extortion.

A lot of observers have been surprised by how closely Canada has
cooperated with the United States in a number of issues, particularly
with China. Trudeau has justified the arrest of Meng by saying, "We
are a country of rule and law." But this reflects less a change of
policy in Canada, and more a change in the world's attitude towards
China. China used to be a favorite of much of the world, particularly
the left, but much of the world community have been shocked by a
series of barbaric acts by China -- locking up, beating and torturing
a million Muslim Uighurs, violent treatment of Christians and
Buddhists, illegal militarization of the South China Sea, illegal
trade practices, theft of intellectual property, and so forth. It's
also suspected, with good reason, that Huawei devices have "backdoors"
that permit the Chinese military to spy on them and control them.

At the same time, these same acts exhibit China's increasing hostility
to the West, and preparation for war. As I've been saying for years,
in this generational Crisis era, xenophobia and nationalism are
increasing in countries around the world, as the generations of
survivors of World War II have disappeared. This change is ongoing,
and is leading to World War III.

https://globalnews.ca/news/4893476/mcca ... tradition/
(Global News, Canada)

--- Related:

** 12-Dec-18 World View -- China jails Canadian journalist Michael Kovrig in apparent retaliation for Canada arrest of Meng Wanzhou
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e181212

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

FK China wrote:George Soros calls China and its dictator for life leader the greatest threat to freedom today. However, considering Soros backs all manner of leftist insanity, this might give the Chinese leader street cred with anti-Soros types. I hate Soros. I think he has aided the flood of third world illegals into the first world because of his own warped ideology.

What is your opinion of him, John?
What amazes me is that these Lizard People, like Soros, have done everything in their power to destroy the West. The West who have unwillingly, without consent, has been forced to support this evil system of the elite controllers.

After they have destroyed the west, where do they go next?

China will obliterate them and do everything in their power to eradicate them.

Who will support their diabolical plans when they've lit their golden calf on fire and burned it into the ground?

What will Israel do after they have no one to support their war mongering insanity? Will they turn to China? Plan false flags like 9/11 in Beijing?

HAHA. I'd love to see them try it.

This is what makes me laugh about Lizard People.

They've turned their back on the West, turned to China and hope to play their same games.

While China is authoritarian, one thing they clearly understand is the evil lurking at their door. By locking down the web, they've given themselves protection from Soros and friends color revolutions and rent a mobs.

John
Posts: 9775
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 27-Jan-2019 Japan's Tokugawa era (1603-1868) - before clash of civilizations with China

jmm1184 wrote: > It should be noted that none of these rebellions ever challenged
> the stability of the Tokugawa era or spread through all of Japan,
> though this doesn't mean they weren't crisis wars.
We've had several discussions about Japan's Tokugawa era (1603-1868),
and I think that I've mostly figured out what was going on.

As we discussed in the past, the Chinese won a major naval victory
over Japan that must have been well remembered by both the Chinese and
the Japanese. In the 1500s, Korea was a tributary state to China,
meaning that Korea paid gold and slaves to China in return for
guarantees of defense from outsiders (i.e., Japan). Japan attacked
Korea in 1592 and 1597 with the intention of using it as a stepping
stone to the conquest of China. In 1597, the Chinese won a brilliant
naval victory against the Japanese, using technologically advanced
"turtle ships," believed to be the world's first ironclad warship.

I now view the 1597 war as having been so climactic for Asia that it
may well be the most important battle in Asia for the entire
millennium (prior to WW II), just as the 1453 Ottoman conquest of
Constantinople was possibly the most important battle in Europe.
After the 1597 war, both China and Japan went into a kind of
"hibernation," with the Manchus taking charge in China, and the
Tokugawa clan taking charge in Japan.

Update: This was the Battle of Myongnyang, October 26, 1597


Here's some text from my book:

The Tokugawa period contains a bit of a puzzle, as historians
typically refer to it as two and one-half centuries of total peace.
From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, that's impossible.
The population always grows faster than the food supply, there is
increased competition for food, water and other resources, and larger
populations build houses on farmland, additionally reducing food
production. So over time, wars and especially crisis wars are
necessary to decide who will get the resources.

In fact, while Japan had no country-wide wars during this period,
there were many regional uprisings. There were one or two regional
rebellions or wars per year in the 1600s. The number kept increasing,
and by 1790, there were more than six of these regional wars per year.

The period 1477-1600 is known as the "Warring States" or "Sengoku" era
of Japan, characterized by political anarchy and battles between
warlords consolidating their holdings. The Warring States Era ended
with a crisis war climaxing with the Battle of Sekigahara (October 20,
1600).

The Battle of Sekigahara was won by the warlord Tokugawa Ieyasa, and
the victory initiated the Tokugawa era, uniting Japan, and ending the
Warring States era. In order to maintain peace and prevent a return
to warring states, in 1615 Tokugawa Ieyasa instituted a system of
political management known as the "baku-han" system. The "baku" part
refers to the Bakufu, which is the central Tokugawa government. The
"han" refers to the 244 autonomous han, or estates of daimyo
(landowners), sometimes called feudal fiefdoms. So the baku-han
system described a federal relationship between the central government
in Edo (Tokyo) and individual han fiefdoms across the country. It was
a complete system that ensured that no rival power could threaten the
supremacy of the central Tokugawa government, and contributed to its
amazing longevity.

In brief, the baku-han system was as follows:
  • The emperor of Japan, living in Kyoto, was totally devoid of
    power. The emperor and his court should confine themselves to
    academic and cultural affairs.
  • The han would be permitted no contact with foreigners.
  • There was restricted social mobility and frozen social dealings in
    the well-recognized shi-no-ko-sho system (samurai, farmers, artisans,
    and merchants).
  • The feudal lords (daimyo) in the hans could not build or repair
    fortifications or contract marriages without the Tokugawa
    approval. They were forbidden to harbor fugitives from other fiefdoms.
A crucial component of the baku-han system was the family "hostage"
requirement.

At the core of Tokugawa strength was the armed might of some 60,000
armed vassals. The daimyo who were considered loyal to the Tokugawa
were given strategically significant lands, while those daimyo who had
been defeated in war had their fiefdoms confiscated or forced to
change provinces. Throughout the 1600s, more than 200 daimyo lost a
part of all of their territory for offences.

The central Tokugawa government maintained social control by means of
a family hostage system. It required the daimyo (warlords) to reside
in the capital city Edo (present day Tokyo) for defined periods. When
a daimyo was absent from the capital, he had to leave his family as
hostage to ensure his loyalty to the Shogun. This family hostage
system seems to have been successful in protecting the Tokugawa centrl
government.

The baku-han system was backed by a complex administrative structure
that gave the Tokugawa control of crucial regions of foreign dealings,
coastal defense, and key urban centers as well as the sources of gold
and silver. There were still "uprisings" and rebellions in regions
across the country, and some of these must have been generational
crisis wars in those regions, but at least for the central government,
this system brought two and a half centuries of peace and stability.

The visit by American Commodore Matthew Perry in 1853 forced Japan to
open its ports to the west. It particularly resulted in the end of
the restriction against contact with foreigners, and brought down the
baku-han system, leading to the Meiji Restoration -- the return to
government by the emperor.

The Chinese may have been smarter than Japan in the 1500s, and were
able to humiliate Japan repeatedly, but after 1870 the Japanese were
much smarter than the Chinese, and were able to humiliate them
repeatedly. This can be traced forward all the way to World War II,
and forward further to today's plans by Chinese to get revenge
against Japan.



https://www.thoughtco.com/the-joseon-dy ... rea-195719
(ThoughtCo(6/14/2017), The Joseon Dynasty in Korea [1392-1910])

http://www.eiilmuniversity.co.in/downlo ... 0_1949.pdf
(Eiilm University - History Of China And Japan 1840-1949)

John
Posts: 9775
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 27-Jan-2019 Maduro walks back decision to cut relations with US.


Maduro has apparently just reversed his order to cut diplomatic
relations with the US, and eject all US diplomats.

The Trump administration had rejected the cutting, saying that Maduro
is no longer the legitimate president. John Bolton had threatened
military action if any harms comes to American diplomats.

Jeremy

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Jeremy »

"One other possibility is Twitter. I actually have a twitter handle
(@GenDyn) that I registered in 2009. I've tried on two or three
occasions to post news regularly to that handle, but I couldn't deal
with the 140/280 char limit, and I really hate the Twitter user
interface. The format that I'm using in this thread is much more
flexible, and I find it very easy to use.

However, if anyone with Twitter experience wants to volunteer to run
the Twitter feed, translating the news items in this thread into
tweets, or to make suggestions. If anyone is interested, then let's
discuss it here."

Hi John.

I wouldn't mind volunteering to help you on Twitter.

I'm not a Twitter marketing expert, far from it, but I use Twitter myself casually, and perhaps I can test out helping you for a few weeks? If it goes well then I can do it longer-term. I like the idea of putting it on my resume, that I'm doing volunteer work :lol: Instead of writing every post directly I'm thinking I can try using the microsoft 'snipping tool' so I can just snip posts you make on the forum and elsewhere and tweet them on twitter. It would be faster that way.

There is merit to have more presence on social media for you. Ideally if we get some followers we can direct some more traffic to your website. I can put links on the Twitter handle to your Iran book, and to your donations page also. Every little bit can help.

Regards

Jeremy

Reads it

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Reads it »

This is a great way to catch up with what's going on in the world.I agree much of news reporting can't be trusted.It's remarkable the effort you put in to this website for so long.Thanks

John
Posts: 9775
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

Jeremy wrote: > Hi John. I wouldn't mind volunteering to help you on Twitter.

> I'm not a Twitter marketing expert, far from it, but I use Twitter
> myself casually, and perhaps I can test out helping you for a few
> weeks? If it goes well then I can do it longer-term. I like the
> idea of putting it on my resume, that I'm doing volunteer work
> :lol: Instead of writing every post directly I'm thinking I can
> try using the microsoft 'snipping tool' so I can just snip posts
> you make on the forum and elsewhere and tweet them on twitter. It
> would be faster that way.

> There is merit to have more presence on social media for you.
> Ideally if we get some followers we can direct some more traffic
> to your website. I can put links on the Twitter handle to your
> Iran book, and to your donations page also. Every little bit can
> help.

> Regards Jeremy
OK, let me look into how to do it. There's a way to do it so that you
have your own twitter account and password, and can still access
@GenDyn and post to it. I'll get the information. In the meantime,
please send me an e-mail message at john@generationaldynamics.com

Thanks

John
Posts: 9775
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

Reads it wrote: > This is a great way to catch up with what's going on in the
> world.I agree much of news reporting can't be trusted.It's
> remarkable the effort you put in to this website for so
> long.Thanks
Thanks for your comment. I appreciate it.

John
Posts: 9775
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 28-Jan-2019 Trump admin lifts sanctions on three Russian companies

This story is interesting because it lies at the intersection of
so many things -- American politics, European politics, commodity
prices, and the Mueller probe.

Russian tycoon Oleg Deripaska is an ally and associate of Russia's
president Vladimir Putin. The Trump administrations have placed
sanctions on a number of Putin allies for a variety of illegal
atrocities, including poisoning people on UK soil, invading Ukraine
and annexing Crimea, supporting Syria's use of chemical weapons, and
interfering in the 2016 presidential election.

In April of last year, the Trump administration put sanctions on
Deripaska, and that meant putting sanctions on three Russian companies
United Co. Rusal, which is the world's second-largest aluminum
producer, as well as En+ Group Plc and EuroSibEnergo JSC, in which
Deripaska has majority ownership.

The sanctions caused aluminum prices to increase by 20%, particularly
impacting Europe, which is the largest importer of aluminum from the
companies. Europe was forced to purchase aluminum from China at much
higher prices. The Europeans say that the sanctions are costing
75,000 jobs in Europe, and severely impacting the auto industry. The
Russians say that 100,000 Russians are also losing their jobs.

Deripaska and the three companies spent 8 months negotiating with the
US Treasury dept. and in December reached an agreement that Deripaska
would substantially cut his direct and indirect share ownership from
70% to 35% in each company. In addition, the three companies would
make major changes to their boards, and would make substantial
commitments to transparency and providing extensive disclosures.

So on Monday, the US announced that it would remove the sanctions on
the three companies. The sanctions on Deripaska and his other assets
would remain.

However, Democrats say that they're appalled by the decision, saying
that it's obstruction of justice, interfering with the Mueller
investigation of Trump's collusion with Russia to win the 2016
election. According to Lloyd Doggett, a Texas Democrat:
> "This represents just one more step in undermining the sanctions
> law, which President Trump has obstructed at every opportunity,
> while Russian aggression remains unabated."
On the hand, the Europeans are relieved. The EU have been begging to
have the sanctions on the three companies lifted, so they're in favor
of the decision.

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-47023004
(BBC)

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... -companies
(Bloomberg)

https://www.rt.com/business/449938-us-l ... ons-rusal/
(Russia Today)

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... aska-firms
(Bloomberg, 11-Jan)

John
Posts: 9775
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 28-Jan-2019 US sanctions Venezuela's oil industry

I just watched a press conference by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin
and National Security Adviser John Bolton announcing new sanctions,
targeting Venezuela's Socialized oil industry, Petróleos de Venezuela
S.A. (PDVSA). Venezuela has the biggest oil reserves of any
country in the world, and we've seen a spectacular show
of Socialist destruction of both the oil industry and the economy.
Socialism has destroyed both.

Trump has already declared that the Socialist president Nicolás Maduro
is no longer the legitimate president, and that the legitimate
president is opposition leader Juan Guaidó. Maduro broke relations
with the US over the weekend, but the US rejected that, saying that
it's up to Guaidó, not Maduro. Maduro was forced to back down.

It has been rumored for a couple of weeks that the US would place
sanctions on Venezuelan oil. The situation is complicated for several
reasons. One reason is that the US is Venezuela's biggest oil
importer, thanks to Venezuela owning the US-based Citgo. A complete
blockade or sanction would harm the employees of Citgo, as well as
raising gas prices for consumers.

So Mnuchin and Bolton announced the following:
  • There will be no embargo of Venezuela's oil, though that may be
    done in the future.
  • PDVSA's Citgo refineries in the United States will be allowed to
    continue to operate
  • However, all Citgo revenues must be placed into a blocked escrow
    account in the United States.
  • US entities may continue to purchase Venezuela oil, but the
    purchase money must go into blocked escrow accounts.
  • Refineries will continue to operate. The result will be only a
    modest impact on the economy, according to Mnuchin. The same care was
    used in the Iran sanctions.
There were a few "editorial remarks" made during the press conference.

Some 3-4 million refugees left Venezuela, are destabilizing the entire
region. A reporter asked about reports that there are 25,000 Cuban
troops and police in Venezuela. Some people call Venezuela "Cuba's
whale," using a Las Vegas gambling term. Bolton says that the OAS
will be meeting to discuss this.

By the way, this press conference was followed immediately by another
one, by the DOJ, announcing 13 charges against Huawei that will be
used in the extradition of Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou from Canada.


https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/28/treasur ... rubio.html


--- Related:

24-Jan-2019 Countries choosing sides over Venezuela
http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... 764#p43764

** 27-Dec-18 World View -- Socialist Venezuela's oil output plummets as refugee outflow surges
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e181227




26-Jan-2019 Canada's Justin Trudeau fires ambassador to China
http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... 799#p43799

Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 24 guests