Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
Cool Breeze
Posts: 2960
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

Tom Mazanec wrote:
Thu Apr 01, 2021 6:28 am
From my favorite doommonger Mike Snyder:
As Russian Tanks Move Toward Ukraine, The Globe Braces For The Possibility That World War 3 Could Soon Erupt
http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/as-r ... oon-erupt/
By the way, how long has the "economic collapse blog" been around? 15 years? I recall seeing it easily between 5-10 years ago.

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Cool Breeze wrote:
Thu Apr 01, 2021 10:07 am
Tom Mazanec wrote:
Thu Apr 01, 2021 6:28 am
From my favorite doommonger Mike Snyder:
As Russian Tanks Move Toward Ukraine, The Globe Braces For The Possibility That World War 3 Could Soon Erupt
http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/as-r ... oon-erupt/
By the way, how long has the "economic collapse blog" been around? 15 years? I recall seeing it easily between 5-10 years ago.
If you were to resurrect an American who had lived before 1900 and showed them around America today, you would be unable to convince them that a catastrophic event had not already taken place. They would never believe that this is how Americans chose to live. The society that our American forefathers built has already collapsed. You live in the ruins, but will not accept it. Come to terms with that and build from there; otherwise, you will continue to waste what remains of your life ignorantly waiting for the 'collapse' and asking why things just keep getting worse.

John
Posts: 11485
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 01-Apr-2021 World View: Brzezinski's "Eurasian Balkans" theory
DaKardii wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 3:44 pm
> So, I've been looking further into Brzezinski's "Eurasian Balkans"
> theory which is a major (if not the central) influence on the
> American foreign policy establishment's grand strategy. With Biden
> in office, it's very likely that the US will be doubling down on
> this strategy between now and at least 2025.

> There are six countries who are capable of disrupting this
> strategy to the point of no return: China, India, Iran, Pakistan,
> Russia, and Turkey. During Biden's presidency, expect tensions to
> rise with all six of them.

> Meanwhile, assuming that John's predictions regarding alliances
> are correct, expect two rival alliances to emerge among those six
> countries. The first alliance will consist of India, Iran, and
> Russia; the second will consist of China, Pakistan, and Turkey.

> Because of what's at stake in those regions, in my opinion it is
> very likely that World War III will start either in the Caucasus
> or in Central Asia. If the United States and its allies do not
> intervene immediately, chances are they will do so once either
> American treaty allies or American bases are endangered, or if the
> United States itself is attacked.

> Outside of a direct attack on the United States, I personally
> believe that the incident that draws it into the war will most
> likely happen within whatever countries are likely to be caught in
> the crossfire between the main parties. Those countries are:

> -Afghanistan Armenia Azerbaijan Bhutan Bulgaria Georgia Indonesia
> -Iraq Japan Kazakhstan Mongolia Myanmar Nepal North Korea Oman
> -Romania South Korea Taiwan Ukraine
I don't follow your logic. You started from Brzezinski's "Eurasian
Balkans" theory, which you say is the Biden administration's grand
strategy. But then you go on to describe how WW III will start in the
Caucasus or in Central Asia, but you make no connection between this
prediction and Brzezinski's strategy. That is, you seem to be saying
that WW III will start in the Caucasus or in Central Asia irrespective
of whether the Biden administration adopts Brzezinski's strategy. So
I don't follow the logic.

Xeraphim1

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Xeraphim1 »

John wrote:
Thu Apr 01, 2021 11:01 am
** 01-Apr-2021 World View: Brzezinski's "Eurasian Balkans" theory
DaKardii wrote:
Tue Mar 30, 2021 3:44 pm
> So, I've been looking further into Brzezinski's "Eurasian Balkans"
> theory which is a major (if not the central) influence on the
> American foreign policy establishment's grand strategy. With Biden
> in office, it's very likely that the US will be doubling down on
> this strategy between now and at least 2025.

I don't follow your logic. You started from Brzezinski's "Eurasian
Balkans" theory, which you say is the Biden administration's grand
strategy. But then you go on to describe how WW III will start in the
Caucasus or in Central Asia, but you make no connection between this
prediction and Brzezinski's strategy. That is, you seem to be saying
that WW III will start in the Caucasus or in Central Asia irrespective
of whether the Biden administration adopts Brzezinski's strategy. So
I don't follow the logic.
There is no logic. It's a nutty "strategy".

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2960
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

Guest wrote:
Thu Apr 01, 2021 10:46 am
Cool Breeze wrote:
Thu Apr 01, 2021 10:07 am
Tom Mazanec wrote:
Thu Apr 01, 2021 6:28 am
From my favorite doommonger Mike Snyder:
As Russian Tanks Move Toward Ukraine, The Globe Braces For The Possibility That World War 3 Could Soon Erupt
http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/as-r ... oon-erupt/
By the way, how long has the "economic collapse blog" been around? 15 years? I recall seeing it easily between 5-10 years ago.
If you were to resurrect an American who had lived before 1900 and showed them around America today, you would be unable to convince them that a catastrophic event had not already taken place. They would never believe that this is how Americans chose to live. The society that our American forefathers built has already collapsed. You live in the ruins, but will not accept it. Come to terms with that and build from there; otherwise, you will continue to waste what remains of your life ignorantly waiting for the 'collapse' and asking why things just keep getting worse.
Materialists (I am not one) don't define it that way, Guest. We european christians have been all but replaced anyway in our own country, so it's not a shock. I agree with you, so you should know that my post initially was tongue in cheek. More doom saying, lol

Navigator
Posts: 906
Joined: Wed Feb 06, 2019 2:15 pm

Russia mobilizing vs Ukraine

Post by Navigator »

The Russians are moving military assets into position to take care of Ukraine once and for all.

https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/4 ... ent-crisis

First paragraph from above link:
"Trains loaded with large amounts of Russian military hardware, including tanks and other heavy armored vehicles, as well as heavy artillery, appear to be streaming toward the country's borders with Ukraine. There are unconfirmed reports that the scale of these movements is so significant that it has, to the dismay of Russian farmers, disrupted shipments of tractors and other agricultural equipment ahead of the spring harvest season. U.S. officials are now worried that a new major round of fighting between Russia and Ukraine may be imminent as a ceasefire is at risk of expiring tomorrow."

The link had LOTS of good pictures.

You do not move this kind of stuff around unless you mean to use it. Russia wants the traditional Ukraine back. This is up to the line of Odessa/Vinnetsa. They will probably allow Ukraine to remain in what was once the Austro-Hungarian province of Galicia, centered around the city of Lvov.

The rest of it Putin wants back. And Russia needs this area to further ramp up their military might. They want the Baltics back too.

Given Europe's current state, plus a weak US administration, they know they will be able to get away with this.

John
Posts: 11485
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Russia mobilizing vs Ukraine

Post by John »

** 01-Apr-2021 World View: Russia and Ukraine
Navigator wrote:
Thu Apr 01, 2021 1:27 pm
> The Russians are moving military assets into position to take care
> of Ukraine once and for all.

> https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/4 ... ent-crisis

> First paragraph from above link:

> "Trains loaded with large amounts of Russian military hardware,
> including tanks and other heavy armored vehicles, as well as heavy
> artillery, appear to be streaming toward the country's borders
> with Ukraine. There are unconfirmed reports that the scale of
> these movements is so significant that it has, to the dismay of
> Russian farmers, disrupted shipments of tractors and other
> agricultural equipment ahead of the spring harvest
> season. U.S. officials are now worried that a new major round of
> fighting between Russia and Ukraine may be imminent as a ceasefire
> is at risk of expiring tomorrow."

> The link had LOTS of good pictures.

> You do not move this kind of stuff around unless you mean to use
> it. Russia wants the traditional Ukraine back. This is up to the
> line of Odessa/Vinnetsa. They will probably allow Ukraine to
> remain in what was once the Austro-Hungarian province of Galicia,
> centered around the city of Lvov.

> The rest of it Putin wants back. And Russia needs this area to
> further ramp up their military might. They want the Baltics back
> too.

> Given Europe's current state, plus a weak US administration, they
> know they will be able to get away with this.
Thank you (and also Tom) for pointing this out.

Interestingly, Russia's spokesman Dmitry Peskov has already issued a
statement that there's nothing to see here:

*** Russia Fires Back at U.S. Alarm Over Ukraine ::wla
https://www.usnews.com/news/world-repor ... her-anyone

However, Peskov is a mealy-mouth sleazebag, like the other Kremlin
officials, like Vladimir Putin and Sergei Lavrov, so if he says that
there's no invasion planned, then there probably is.

Given the current Biden administration, this is probably a good time
for the Russians.

They know that Joe Biden has become a total airhead and has no idea
what's going on.

** 28-Mar-21 World View -- North Korea's ballistic missiles stoke the Denuclearization Delusion
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e210328



They know that vice president Kamala Harris is a snowflake girl who giggles
at everything. She's no Angela Merkel and no Margaret Thatcher.

Secretary of State Tony Blinken does know what's going on, but he was
thoroughly humiliated at last week's meeting in Alaska when the
Chinese spokeman said that the slaughter of blacks in America is worse
than the slaughter of Uighurs in China, and Blinken just lapped it up
without saying anything, something that neither Mike Pompeo nor Donald
Trump would have tolerated.

So the Russians see themselves as dealing with a collection of weak losers
in the Biden administration, so they may have decided that this is a good
time to strike.

John
Posts: 11485
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 01-Apr-2021 World View: Maria Zakharova

Writing about the sleazebag Russian spokesman Dmitry Peskov reminded
me of the foreign ministry spokesman Maria Zakharova:

Image
  • Maria Zakharova


During the last Ukraine crisis, she was always the one commenting, and
I suppose we can expect to see her again. She's just as much of a
mealy-mouthed sleazebag as Peskov, though much better looking.

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2016/05/ ... mit-a52949

DaKardii
Posts: 943
Joined: Tue Jan 17, 2017 9:17 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by DaKardii »

John wrote:
Thu Apr 01, 2021 11:01 am
I don't follow your logic. You started from Brzezinski's "Eurasian
Balkans" theory, which you say is the Biden administration's grand
strategy. But then you go on to describe how WW III will start in the
Caucasus or in Central Asia, but you make no connection between this
prediction and Brzezinski's strategy. That is, you seem to be saying
that WW III will start in the Caucasus or in Central Asia irrespective
of whether the Biden administration adopts Brzezinski's strategy. So
I don't follow the logic.
Alright, I'll describe it in more detail.

The "Eurasian Balkans" theory is basically a revised version of Halford Mackinder's "Heartland" theory. Both theories claim that the key to global domination is control of the "Eurasian Heartland," which basically consists of the Caucasus and Central Asia. The reasons why those regions are said to be key to global domination is because they are both extremely rich in resources and the location where the largest civilizations in the world converge. The original "Heartland" theory was central to British geopolitical strategy between 1904 and 1956, and to American geopolitical strategy between 1945 and 1991.

In 1997, Zbigniew Brzezinski published a book titled The Grand Chessboard. One of the central premises of that book is that the United States must continue to employ its "Heartland"-based strategy in the post-Soviet era. The United States must remain in control of both the Middle East and gain control of the "Eurasian Heartland," the latter which has become up for grabs following the collapse of the Soviet Union. Otherwise, another great geopolitical rival will emerge, and the American-led global order will become unstable. These regions are supposed to be more important to American geopolitical strategy than any other in the world, including East Asia.

Brzezinski identifies six countries as being capable of disrupting American hegemony in these regions: China, India, Iran, Pakistan, Russia, and Turkey.

In 2021, it's not hard to see how much Brzezinski's version of the "Heartland" theory has influenced American foreign policy since 1997. Since then, the United States has been working hard to either antagonize the six countries mentioned in the previous paragraph, or play them against each other. Over time, this "New Great Game" has greatly contributed to the destabilization of both the original "Eurasian Heartland" and the regions surrounding it. But it won't last forever. Eventually, somebody will end up pulling a trigger that will set all the gunpowder off. That will be what starts World War III. Meanwhile, I personally believe that the war will start within the "Eurasian Heartland" itself because of what's at stake there. My second place prediction is the Middle East. All the other carnage in East Asia will come afterward.

DaKardii
Posts: 943
Joined: Tue Jan 17, 2017 9:17 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by DaKardii »

Xeraphim1 wrote:
Thu Apr 01, 2021 1:23 pm
There is no logic. It's a nutty "strategy".
Nutty, perhaps. Immoral, definitely.

In Brzezinski's book, he compares the ideal American foreign policy to the ancient Chinese notion that there are three classes of nations: the Empire, its vassals, and the "barbarians."

In other words, Brzezinski wanted the United States to behave exactly like how China is behaving today. And in many ways, the United States is doing exactly that. Is it any wonder that many refuse to sympathize with us whenever we point out what China's doing?

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