Generational Dynamics World View News

[John]

> This is a great "scenario" for some speculative fiction about
> WWIII. I may dive into making a "sketch" of how it might unfold,
> in general terms and broad brushstrokes.

> An interesting development regarding "cancer from all that
> fallout" resulting from the use of all those nukes, that I heard
> about recently, is that within a "few years" there may be a
> patient specific targetted "cure" (treatment) for cancer, being
> developed by some group in Israel.

> The "elites" on both sides know that massive radiation of the
> environment is a very likely probability, and I believe that they
> will not allow WWIII to commence until they KNOW that their
> families (and themselves) will survive this radiation.

> And this is why Israel will be "protected" by all sides until it
> has developed, and dispersed, the tech for "curing" the effects of
> radiation.

> I also believe that 5G telecommunications need to be fully
> developed and implemented, along with a truly "worldwide/global"
> satellite "web" of super high speed internet/commNetwork based on
> 5G tech, before WWIII will be "allowed" to start.

> A "pee break" trigger to WWIII may be the "apparent" cause of the
> upcoming "troubles", but such a trigger needs for the powder keg
> to be "loaded and exposed properly" for that trigger, or any
> other, to ignite the actual war.

> The powder is just now being loaded into the keg, and no
> vulnerable "holes" are being allowed to be present at this time,
> as the "elites" on both sides are not yet ready,.. and by "ready"
> I mean: "Assured that they and their families will survive as the
> future leaders of the New World."

> ..but by 2023, this may have changed. See developments regarding
> 5G technology and anti-cancer (and other survival) technologies.

> WWIII is too big a "project" (and it is a deliberated project of
> the "elites") to leave things to chance.

> Sleep well babes... you're safe for a while. But time does grow
> short! Start work on those tiny boats! Aloha!

The whole point of my article was that war could break out at any
time, with nobody being "ready." If you imagine a scenario where
everyone waits for 5G or safe families or a loaded powder keg, then
it's not a scenario contemplated by my article.

There's a certain logic to the situation. The more "expectations" you
put on a scenario, then the more your scenario is "expected," which
logically contradicts the point of the article.

One trap that's easy to fall into is to assume that China and Japan
will simply declare war on each other out of the blue, like Poland or
Pearl Harbor. Those examples are pretty much completely excluded by
my article, and by the fact this would immediately be a war between
China and Japan+America, which China would want to avoid for as long
as possible.

So let's consider some possible scenarios which don't depend on any
expectations whatsoever, and could happen tomorrow or at any time.

There's Kashmir, where a battle could break out between India and
Pakistan+China, but even that might be too "expected."

More likely is a clash along the long disputed border between India
and China. China and India backed down from confrontation in 2017,
but there are still Indian and Chinese troops confronting each other
along the border in various places, and this could be very similar to
the situation at the Marco Polo Bridge in 1937. And Japan and India
are allies, so Japan could get involved in some way.

Another even less "expected" scenario would be a clash between Chinese
and Japanese diaspora that spirals into something. In 2012, rioting
Chinese attacked Japanese businesses in China. If something similar
happened in another country, then it could be a lot more serious.

There are Chinese disaspora in pretty much every country. The CCP
sends them out as "magic weapons," supported/controlled by China's
United Front Work Department, which is funded by China's military, to
infiltrate and influence local governments and businesses.

** 29-Jun-18 World View -- Australia passes foreign influence laws, targeting China
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e180629

It turns out that there are many large Japanese communities in Latin
America.

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10 ... 17.1351045
(Taylor Francis Online, 17-Jul-2017)

So, for example, there are 1.4M people of Japanese descent living in
Brazil, 90K in Peru, 17K in Mexico. There are 1.2M living in the US,
and 68K in Canada.

So, for example, we have this huge flash point in Venezuela, with
Russians, Chinese, Brazilians and Colombians involved (and potentially
Americans).

(I can't remember which country it was, but a few years ago there was
a scandal in a South American country involving the president, who had
a distinctly Japanese name. Perhaps someone could remind me.)

So suppose someone has to pee in Brazil, there's an attack by Chinese
diaspora on Japanese homes or businesses, both the Chinese and
Japanese do what they need to to protect their interests, and it
spirals into something a lot bigger. Now that would be "unexpected"
-- and it would not involve 5G or loaded powder kegs.

Then there's Central Asia, where there are a lot of Japanese
communities left over from World War II, many of them heavily involved
in energy and mining industries.

https://dailytimes.com.pk/232415/japans ... tral-asia/
(Daily Times, Pakistan, 26-Apr-2018)

This brings into play the whole issue of China's genocide and ethnic
cleansing of Uighurs in East Turkistan (Xinjiang province). This is a
truly massive project, involving construction of huge concentration
camps ("reeducation centers") and crematoria. Why are they doing it?
Is it just to prevent terrorist acts? As stupid as the Chinese are,
even they aren't that stupid.

It must have something to do with Central Asia. Getting rid of all
the Uighurs in East Turkistan gives the Chinese a clear path into the
energy and mining projects in Central Asia.

The Uighurs aren't the only ones being "re-educated." There are also
ethnic Kyrgyz people, who are also Turkic people. Russia has been
keeping quiet about the East Turkistan genocide, but in the past
they've been supporters of the Uighurs against the Chinese, and of
course Kyrgyzstan is in the former Soviet Union and still has close
ties to Russia, as do the other Central Asian countries.

So if someone has to pee in Kyrgyzstan, or one of the other Central
Asian counties, then there may be an "unexpected" clash between
Russians and Japanese and Chinese that spirals into something bigger.
Once again, 5G is not involved.


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-35196868
(BBC, 12/31/2015)

https://www.rfa.org/english/news/uyghur ... 51126.html
(RFA, 26-Jun-2018)

https://www.rfa.org/english/news/uyghur ... 60255.html
(RFA, 4-Dec-2018)



******* UPDATE:

The following article that I wrote last year shows that the Kazakh
people are being treated the same as the Kyrgyz people. They're both
in the Turkic ethnic group, and they're both mostly Muslim.

-- Related:

** 25-Jul-18 World View -- Defector in Kazakhstan reveals explosive information about China's 'reeducation centers'
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e180725

----

[Jack Edwards]

John said

(I can't remember which country it was, but a few years ago there was
a scandal in a South American country involving the president, who had
a distinctly Japanese name. Perhaps someone could remind me.)

Alberto Fujimori Peru
https://www.britannica.com/biography/Alberto-Fujimori

[John]

> John said

(I can't remember which country it was, but a few years ago
there was a scandal in a South American country involving the
president, who had a distinctly Japanese name. Perhaps someone
could remind me.)

> Alberto Fujimori Peru
> https://www.britannica.com/biography/Alberto-Fujimori

That's the one. Thanks.

A melding of the Spanish name Alberto with the Japanese
name Fujimori.

[Jeremy]

China plans to sell Pakistan an aircraft carrier and integrate it militarily.

- Beijing is increasingly integrating Pakistan into its military system to fulfil its global ambitions.

https://www.sundayguardianlive.com/news ... militarily

Exactly what John has mentioned in previous articles, how CPEC has a military component to it (manufacturing etc), and how Pakistan is being integrated into the Chinese militarily. Pakistan is near 100% in the China camp is seems.

[John]

> China plans to sell Pakistan an aircraft carrier and integrate it
> militarily.

> - Beijing is increasingly integrating Pakistan into its military
> system to fulfil its global ambitions.

> https://www.sundayguardianlive.com/news ... militarily

> Exactly what John has mentioned in previous articles, how CPEC has
> a military component to it (manufacturing etc), and how Pakistan
> is being integrated into the Chinese militarily. Pakistan is near
> 100% in the China camp is seems.

That article, which apparently is written by an Indian analyst, is a
great catch, and has lots of implications.

In particular, it's part of another reason why the Chinese are
committing genocide and ethnic cleansing of the Uighurs. If
Pakistan's military is integrated into China's military then, in a
sense, Pakistan is now part of China, and so the Chinese would like to
"clean out" all the "inferior non-Han people" in East Turkistan, which
is on the road from China to Pakistan.

However, there are a couple of things wrong with the above.

First, exterminating all the Uighurs is going to get all the Turkic
people in Central Asia really angry -- I mean really angrier. Right
now the ethnic Kyrgyz people and ethnic Kazakh people are afraid to
say anything because they'd lose all the money that China is spending.
But that could change, and the ethnic cleansing will make things
worse.

Second, the article says that Karachi is a Chinese military naval
base, but that's also the port that the US uses to bring stuff into
Afghanistan. That could be a major flash point.

As a separate issue, I've been visiting some internet sites to see who
people think are Japan's allies. The main one is the US, of course,
but there's also Australia, Philippines, Vietnam, Singapore, India,
Thailand, Indonesia. Maybe South Korea. In Europe: France, Germany,
Netherlands, Turkey. South Africa. In South America, Brazil. Some
of these are certainly subject to change.

[John]

> Wow. If it weren't for Generational Dynamics, I would have no idea
> that China is like a pressure cooker ready to explode. The news is
> all about Russia, Russia, Russia, rarely about China except for
> trade war with the U.S. I am already 70, so in 5 years, I may or
> may not be one of the surviving 3-4 billion. Generally, life has
> been good, we'll see how this plays out. Looking forward to your
> book on China.

You're absolutely right, and it's amazing how the media have
absolutely no idea what's going on in the world. The comments
regarding Trump's cancellation of the INF treaty, and continue to be
completely moronic, as if written by schoolchildren majoring in
sociology or women's studies.

That's why I was pleased that I heard the analysis by Michael O'Hanlon
and was able to transcribe it and post it. It gives me hope that at
least one person in Washington isn't a total idiot.

[josa0512]

And don't forget about the hot to the touch and practically smoldering tinderboxes of Syria, Ukraine, Taiwan, Venezuela, and the DMZ in Korea. If the wrong person decided to pee in the wrong place in any of these regions, that could provide the spark that would light the fuse that starts WWIII.

In Taiwan, all it would require is for one politician to say the wrong thing or one protest to cross what China considers to be a red line...and Chine might forcefully retaliate. And of course, if Taiwan and China go at it, the U.S. is bound by treaty to come to Taiwan's aid.

I don't think Russia will try anything too serious in Ukraine any time soon but who knows?

And you never know when Kim Jong-un will decide to shore up has base and engage in provocative behavior.

Syria...don't get me started on Syria. I'm actually surprised that a major regional war hasn't broken out there already! If someone from Hezbollah or the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps ever pees too close to the Israeli border...all bets are off! And once the U.S. pulls out of Syria, Turkey will launch an invasion of Kurdish territory within one month of the American military withdrawal.

And the situation in Venezuela is beginning to concern me. Russia and China no longer respect the Monroe Doctrine. And since Putin and Xi Jinping will lose many billions of dollars if Maduro falls, they are motivated to protect his regime. Maduro will eventually fall but the demise of his government may take us down a path that no one wanted to venture...or could have foreseen.

2019, what do you have in store for us?

[CH86]

You Boomers are REALLY overestimating your chances of remaining in power once the "anger phase" gets under way. The result would be decentralization rather than even more globalist centralization. No one would trust a president who says he didn't foresee whatever crisis that caused the war flaring up into a major war (if a president said that, he/she would be obviously lying). Globalist representatives have no legitimacy with the populations they are supposedly leading and that it the situation now, before a major depression, let alone a global war, has got underway. Remember the boomers refused reform after 9/11 on the pretext that the attacks "were not big enough to warrant a change in direction". Boomers, we're not going the grant your irresponsible generation complete power over other people's lives because you have shown consistently that you guys are not competent enough to have that responsibility.

Regarding defense policy, the problem with the INF treaty announcement is that we are doing the pullout the boomer way, by announcing the pullout first without a prior deployment of new missiles. Instead of deploying the missiles first and then announcing the withdrawal from the treaty only after the new missiles had already been deployed.

[John]

> And don't forget about the hot to the touch and practically
> smoldering tinderboxes of Syria, Ukraine, Taiwan, Venezuela, and
> the DMZ in Korea. If the wrong person decided to pee in the wrong
> place in any of these regions, that could provide the spark that
> would light the fuse that starts WWIII.

> In Taiwan, all it would require is for one politician to say the
> wrong thing or one protest to cross what China considers to be a
> red line...and Chine might forcefully retaliate. And of course, if
> Taiwan and China go at it, the U.S. is bound by treaty to come to
> Taiwan's aid.

> I don't think Russia will try anything too serious in Ukraine any
> time soon but who knows?

> And you never know when Kim Jong-un will decide to shore up has
> base and engage in provocative behavior.

> Syria...don't get me started on Syria. I'm actually surprised that
> a major regional war hasn't broken out there already! If someone
> from Hezbollah or the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps ever pees
> too close to the Israeli border...all bets are off! And once the
> U.S. pulls out of Syria, Turkey will launch an invasion of Kurdish
> territory within one month of the American military withdrawal.

> And the situation in Venezuela is beginning to concern me. Russia
> and China no longer respect the Monroe Doctrine. And since Putin
> and Xi Jinping will lose many billions of dollars if Maduro falls,
> they are motivated to protect his regime. Maduro will eventually
> fall but the demise of his government may take us down a path that
> no one wanted to venture...or could have foreseen.

> 2019, what do you have in store for us?

Wars break out all the time, but they don't always escalate
into something larger.

Some of the examples you mention are unlikely to escalate because of
the generational era. Syria and Iran are in Unraveling eras, and so a
minor clash won't escalate into a major war. Even Russia vs Ukraine
has been going on for five years, with no escalation.

Japan and China are deep into generational Crisis eras. But they
can't go to war directly because of Japan's mutual defense treaty with
the US. So there won't be something similar to Hitler's invasion of
Poland, or Japan's bombing of Pearl Harbor. Those scenarios do not
seem likely at the present time.

But it's like there are two different ways to start a major war,
and the other way is spontaneous, unexpected and organic --
such as the Marco Polo Bridge incident or the assassination
of Archduke Ferdinand.

A much more modern example is Israel's invasion of Lebanon in 2006.
Hezbollah abducted two Israeli soldiers near the Lebanon border.
Israel went into a state of total panic, and launched the war in
Lebanon within four hours, with no plan and no objectives.
Lebanon is in a generational Unraveling era, so the war fizzled
within a few weeks, but that example shows how a small act
can cause one side to panic, leading to a larger war.

This example is also interesting because it's like the Marco Polo
Bridge incident -- both of them involved abductions of soldiers (real
or apparent) and a reaction that spiralled into a larger war.

Both China and Japan are deep into generational Crisis eras. The
situation between China and Japan is unique because of their history,
and because of China's rapid militarization and preparation for war,
China's contempt for international law -- and because China seems to
be emulating the barbaric actions of Japan in the 1930s.

[John]

People reference the Nazi Holocaust and say "Never again!", but it's
worthwhile repeating that there are three "holocausts" of Sunni
Muslims going on today:

• China is conducting genocide and ethnic cleansing of Sunni Muslim
  Uighurs in Xinjiang province (East Turkistan). China has has been on
  a building binge of huge "re-education centers" (concentration camps)
  and crematoria. They've locked up over a million Uighurs in
  "re-education centers," where they are tortured, beaten, raped and
  executed.
• Burma (Myanmar) is conducting genocide and ethnic cleansing of
  Sunni Muslim Rohingyas, led by Buddhist monk Ashin Wirathu.
• Bashar al-Assad's genocide and ethnic cleansing of Sunni Muslim
  Arabs in Syria.

What does it take for genocide and ethnic cleansing to trigger a war?
Apparently it doesn't. The Nazi Holocaust didn't trigger a war, and
the above three apparently aren't doing so either.

So what does trigger a war?