You are 100% correct on this one. Because it's not about Ukraine, it's about crushing historic Russia - for no good reason.Navigator wrote: ↑Wed Mar 02, 2022 12:21 amThis is what Western Europe wants. They can continue to do business with Russia while the Russians are bled white in Ukraine, while they don't have to send any troops, just supplies and ammo. The Ukrainians can do all the fighting/dying.DaKardii wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 11:33 pmBritish foreign secretary says Ukraine war will last 10, 15, maybe even 20 years; and that Russia will lose in the end.
https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/ru ... e-8de46653
This is a pipe dream.
Generational Dynamics World View News
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Cool Breeze
- Posts: 2960
- Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Thanking and Supporting John
In addition to posting nice notes to John, it would be a good idea to actually contribute some funds to him. You can even get the book I wrote to help support him. You can donate even if you don't want the book. I am sure that he could use the financial support.
https://www.gofundme.com/f/coming-storms-preparation
https://www.gofundme.com/f/coming-storms-preparation
Ukraine Situation
The following is an exceptional article I saw in the Daily Mail.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... OGGIO.html
It's so good, I am going to quote it verbatim:
Putin is NOT crazy and the Russian invasion is NOT failing. The West's delusions about this war - and its failure to understand the enemy - will prevent it from saving Ukraine, writes military analyst BILL ROGGIO
By BILL ROGGIO FOR DAILYMAIL.COM
PUBLISHED: 10:20 EST, 2 March 2022 | UPDATED: 12:08 EST, 2 March 2022
Bill Roggio is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and editor of FDD's Long war Journal. From 1991 to 1997, Roggio served as a signalman and infantryman in the U.S. Army and New Jersey National Guard
Wishful thinking has the upper hand in the battle to shape Western perceptions of the war in Ukraine.
Sympathy for the outnumbered and outgunned defenders of Kyiv has led to the exaggeration of Russian setbacks, misunderstanding of Russian strategy, and even baseless claims from amateur psychoanalysts that Putin has lost his mind.
A more sober analysis shows that Russia may have sought a knockout blow, but always had well-laid plans for follow-on assaults if its initial moves proved insufficient.
The world has underestimated Putin before and those mistakes have led, in part, to this tragedy in Ukraine.
We must be clear-eyed now that the war is underway.
Yet even the professionals at the Pentagon are letting sympathy cloud their judgement.
Just two days into Russia's invasion of Ukraine, U.S. Department of Defense briefers were quick to claim that failing to take Kyiv in the opening days of the war amounted to a serious setback.
DoD briefers implied that Russia's offensive was well behind schedule or had even failed because the capital had not fallen.
But U.S. leaders should have learned to restrain their hopes after their catastrophic withdrawal from Afghanistan.
Once again, U.S. and Western officials are falling into the trap of failing to understand the enemy and his objectives.
Allegedly, Putin believed that the Ukrainian government would collapse once Russian troops crossed the frontier and pushed to Kyiv, and that the operation has failed because the Ukrainian government remains in place.
Putin certainly hoped for a swift victory, but he clearly was not relying on his opening salvo as the only plan for success.
Rather, the Russian military was prepared to take the country by force if a swift decapitation strike fell short.
This kind of plan should be familiar to Americans who remember the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
In the first hours of the war, the U.S. Air Force launched its 'shock and awe' campaign in an attempt to kill Saddam Hussein and other key leaders and bring down the government. Saddam survived, but the U.S. military was fully prepared to follow up with a ground assault.
A look at the Russian military offensive demonstrates there was a plan for a full-scale invasion, which Russia is now executing.
Conventional, mechanized warfare is a time and resource consuming enterprise, and an operation of this scope isn't cobbled together in days.
The Russian offensive is taking place on four separate fronts. On a fifth front, in eastern Ukraine, which Putin declared independent last week, Russian forces are tying down Ukrainian troops that are needed elsewhere.
The bulk of the Russian forces are advancing southward from Belarus to Kyiv.
Russian advance forces, including air, mobile and reconnaissance troops, have been engaged with Ukrainian troops outside of Kyiv since the start of the war.
A massive column of Russian troops, estimated at over 40 miles long, is just 20 miles north of Kyiv, and is likely assembling to surround the capital.
If Russian forces can take Kyiv and push southward to link up with forces on the Crimean front, thus splitting Ukraine in two, it would be a major blow to the Zelensky government.
What matters more than a handful of setbacks is that Russian forces have pushed 70 miles into contested terrain in less than a week and are on the outskirts of the capital.
This is not a sign of a disorganized, poorly assembled, and failed offensive.
The southward push from Belarus to Kyiv is supported by another Russian column, launched from the east in the vicinity of Kursk.
If this column can link up with Russian troops near Kyiv, it will envelop Ukrainian forces in most of Chernihiv and Sumy provinces, depriving the Ukrainian military of much needed soldiers and war material needed elsewhere, and cutting off the government from two northern provinces.
Further east, Russian forces have launched a broad offensive aimed at Kharkiv, Ukraine's second largest city, which is now under siege.
In the south, Russian forces, supported by amphibious assaults from the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, have poured into Ukraine from Crimea.
On this front, Russian forces have branched out along two main axes, one northwest along the Pivdennyi Buh River, and another northeast along the coast and inland towards the Donbas region, which Russia annexed shortly before the invasion.
If Russian columns from either southern front can link up with forces further north, they would cut off many Ukrainian troops from reinforcement—one of the two columns has already advanced roughly 160 miles.
Russian generals have often chosen to bypass towns and cities that are putting up stiff opposition and isolating them to deal with later.
There are reports that Russian forces have escalated attacks on civilians, particularly in Kharkiv.
At the moment, the artillery and rocket attacks there have been limited, perhaps to send a message to the citizens as a warning of what may come.
Putin appears to want to take Ukraine intact, but will not hesitate to increase the level of brutality if needed.
The systematic nature of the Russian assault is at odds with speculation that Putin has lost control of his senses.
Nobody knows for sure, but Putin's actions appear to be that of a cold and calculating adversary.
Dismissing his decision to invade Ukraine as a form of madness is effectively an excuse to ignore Putin's likely motivations and future actions.
Strategically, Putin's advance on Ukraine began well over a decade ago, when he invaded and Balkanized Georgia by recognizing the Kremlin's puppet regimes in the regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
In 2014, Putin occupied and annexed the strategic Ukrainian region of Crimea, which served as a launchpad for the current invasion.
Putin paid little price for either action.
The United States and Europe imposed limited sanctions but continued to engage with him on the Iranian nuclear deal and other top issues.
Today, Putin has calculated that taking Ukraine by force is in his and Russia's interest.
He no doubt anticipated that the West would impose diplomatic and economic sanctions, which U.S. and European leaders threatened beforehand.
Putin may have miscalculated Ukrainian resistance and the intensity of the West's opposition, but it doesn't mean he is crazy, or didn't consider the possibilities and chose to invade regardless.
It remains to be seen if Putin's plan will succeed or fail, but what is clear is that there was a plan to invade Ukraine in force, and that plan has been executed since day one.
Ukrainian troops are putting up a valiant fight facing long odds and difficult conditions. Russia holds most if not all of the advantages.
It can, and has, attacked Ukraine from three different directions. The Russian military holds a decided advantage in manpower, as well as air, naval and armor superiority.
It has vast resources to draw on. While Ukraine has the support of much of the international community, which is providing weapons, Ukraine is fighting alone.
Believing Russia's assault is going poorly may make us feel better but is at odds with the facts.
We cannot help Ukraine if we cannot be honest about its predicament.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... OGGIO.html
It's so good, I am going to quote it verbatim:
Putin is NOT crazy and the Russian invasion is NOT failing. The West's delusions about this war - and its failure to understand the enemy - will prevent it from saving Ukraine, writes military analyst BILL ROGGIO
By BILL ROGGIO FOR DAILYMAIL.COM
PUBLISHED: 10:20 EST, 2 March 2022 | UPDATED: 12:08 EST, 2 March 2022
Bill Roggio is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and editor of FDD's Long war Journal. From 1991 to 1997, Roggio served as a signalman and infantryman in the U.S. Army and New Jersey National Guard
Wishful thinking has the upper hand in the battle to shape Western perceptions of the war in Ukraine.
Sympathy for the outnumbered and outgunned defenders of Kyiv has led to the exaggeration of Russian setbacks, misunderstanding of Russian strategy, and even baseless claims from amateur psychoanalysts that Putin has lost his mind.
A more sober analysis shows that Russia may have sought a knockout blow, but always had well-laid plans for follow-on assaults if its initial moves proved insufficient.
The world has underestimated Putin before and those mistakes have led, in part, to this tragedy in Ukraine.
We must be clear-eyed now that the war is underway.
Yet even the professionals at the Pentagon are letting sympathy cloud their judgement.
Just two days into Russia's invasion of Ukraine, U.S. Department of Defense briefers were quick to claim that failing to take Kyiv in the opening days of the war amounted to a serious setback.
DoD briefers implied that Russia's offensive was well behind schedule or had even failed because the capital had not fallen.
But U.S. leaders should have learned to restrain their hopes after their catastrophic withdrawal from Afghanistan.
Once again, U.S. and Western officials are falling into the trap of failing to understand the enemy and his objectives.
Allegedly, Putin believed that the Ukrainian government would collapse once Russian troops crossed the frontier and pushed to Kyiv, and that the operation has failed because the Ukrainian government remains in place.
Putin certainly hoped for a swift victory, but he clearly was not relying on his opening salvo as the only plan for success.
Rather, the Russian military was prepared to take the country by force if a swift decapitation strike fell short.
This kind of plan should be familiar to Americans who remember the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
In the first hours of the war, the U.S. Air Force launched its 'shock and awe' campaign in an attempt to kill Saddam Hussein and other key leaders and bring down the government. Saddam survived, but the U.S. military was fully prepared to follow up with a ground assault.
A look at the Russian military offensive demonstrates there was a plan for a full-scale invasion, which Russia is now executing.
Conventional, mechanized warfare is a time and resource consuming enterprise, and an operation of this scope isn't cobbled together in days.
The Russian offensive is taking place on four separate fronts. On a fifth front, in eastern Ukraine, which Putin declared independent last week, Russian forces are tying down Ukrainian troops that are needed elsewhere.
The bulk of the Russian forces are advancing southward from Belarus to Kyiv.
Russian advance forces, including air, mobile and reconnaissance troops, have been engaged with Ukrainian troops outside of Kyiv since the start of the war.
A massive column of Russian troops, estimated at over 40 miles long, is just 20 miles north of Kyiv, and is likely assembling to surround the capital.
If Russian forces can take Kyiv and push southward to link up with forces on the Crimean front, thus splitting Ukraine in two, it would be a major blow to the Zelensky government.
What matters more than a handful of setbacks is that Russian forces have pushed 70 miles into contested terrain in less than a week and are on the outskirts of the capital.
This is not a sign of a disorganized, poorly assembled, and failed offensive.
The southward push from Belarus to Kyiv is supported by another Russian column, launched from the east in the vicinity of Kursk.
If this column can link up with Russian troops near Kyiv, it will envelop Ukrainian forces in most of Chernihiv and Sumy provinces, depriving the Ukrainian military of much needed soldiers and war material needed elsewhere, and cutting off the government from two northern provinces.
Further east, Russian forces have launched a broad offensive aimed at Kharkiv, Ukraine's second largest city, which is now under siege.
In the south, Russian forces, supported by amphibious assaults from the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, have poured into Ukraine from Crimea.
On this front, Russian forces have branched out along two main axes, one northwest along the Pivdennyi Buh River, and another northeast along the coast and inland towards the Donbas region, which Russia annexed shortly before the invasion.
If Russian columns from either southern front can link up with forces further north, they would cut off many Ukrainian troops from reinforcement—one of the two columns has already advanced roughly 160 miles.
Russian generals have often chosen to bypass towns and cities that are putting up stiff opposition and isolating them to deal with later.
There are reports that Russian forces have escalated attacks on civilians, particularly in Kharkiv.
At the moment, the artillery and rocket attacks there have been limited, perhaps to send a message to the citizens as a warning of what may come.
Putin appears to want to take Ukraine intact, but will not hesitate to increase the level of brutality if needed.
The systematic nature of the Russian assault is at odds with speculation that Putin has lost control of his senses.
Nobody knows for sure, but Putin's actions appear to be that of a cold and calculating adversary.
Dismissing his decision to invade Ukraine as a form of madness is effectively an excuse to ignore Putin's likely motivations and future actions.
Strategically, Putin's advance on Ukraine began well over a decade ago, when he invaded and Balkanized Georgia by recognizing the Kremlin's puppet regimes in the regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
In 2014, Putin occupied and annexed the strategic Ukrainian region of Crimea, which served as a launchpad for the current invasion.
Putin paid little price for either action.
The United States and Europe imposed limited sanctions but continued to engage with him on the Iranian nuclear deal and other top issues.
Today, Putin has calculated that taking Ukraine by force is in his and Russia's interest.
He no doubt anticipated that the West would impose diplomatic and economic sanctions, which U.S. and European leaders threatened beforehand.
Putin may have miscalculated Ukrainian resistance and the intensity of the West's opposition, but it doesn't mean he is crazy, or didn't consider the possibilities and chose to invade regardless.
It remains to be seen if Putin's plan will succeed or fail, but what is clear is that there was a plan to invade Ukraine in force, and that plan has been executed since day one.
Ukrainian troops are putting up a valiant fight facing long odds and difficult conditions. Russia holds most if not all of the advantages.
It can, and has, attacked Ukraine from three different directions. The Russian military holds a decided advantage in manpower, as well as air, naval and armor superiority.
It has vast resources to draw on. While Ukraine has the support of much of the international community, which is providing weapons, Ukraine is fighting alone.
Believing Russia's assault is going poorly may make us feel better but is at odds with the facts.
We cannot help Ukraine if we cannot be honest about its predicament.
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Tom Mazanec
- Posts: 4181
- Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Russia’s Lavrov: A third world war would be nuclear, destructive
2 Mar 2022
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/3/2 ... estructive
2 Mar 2022
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/3/2 ... estructive
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”
― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
Russian Revolution?
As for a popular revolution against Putin (which right now is the best hope for humanity):
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... raine.html
"Russian trust in Putin has SURGED since the invasion of Ukraine (according to state-run poll): Study claims support is up from 60% to 71% - as public are told 'shameless lies' about the war"
Very soon we are going to hear that Ukraine was secretly part of NATO, that NATO is underpinning the Ukraine resistance, and so on.
Putin will build the case, and then act on it, that NATO is an existential threat to Russia, and that war, total war, has been forced upon it.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... raine.html
"Russian trust in Putin has SURGED since the invasion of Ukraine (according to state-run poll): Study claims support is up from 60% to 71% - as public are told 'shameless lies' about the war"
Very soon we are going to hear that Ukraine was secretly part of NATO, that NATO is underpinning the Ukraine resistance, and so on.
Putin will build the case, and then act on it, that NATO is an existential threat to Russia, and that war, total war, has been forced upon it.
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Tom Mazanec
- Posts: 4181
- Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Casualties Worse than WWI & WWII Combined – Charles Nenner
By Greg Hunter On March 1, 2022 In Market Analysis 88 Comments
https://usawatchdog.com/casualties-wors ... es-nenner/
By Greg Hunter On March 1, 2022 In Market Analysis 88 Comments
https://usawatchdog.com/casualties-wors ... es-nenner/
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”
― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
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Cool Breeze
- Posts: 2960
- Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm
Re: Russian Revolution?
Yes, and that is true. Not total war, though. That's one of your and John's wishes to be "right" about this becoming a nasty war, which it won't.Navigator wrote: ↑Wed Mar 02, 2022 2:14 pmAs for a popular revolution against Putin (which right now is the best hope for humanity):
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... raine.html
"Russian trust in Putin has SURGED since the invasion of Ukraine (according to state-run poll): Study claims support is up from 60% to 71% - as public are told 'shameless lies' about the war"
Very soon we are going to hear that Ukraine was secretly part of NATO, that NATO is underpinning the Ukraine resistance, and so on.
Putin will build the case, and then act on it, that NATO is an existential threat to Russia, and that war, total war, has been forced upon it.
Again, the problems in the world are China and the US. Then Russia.
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MrGuest
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
In an article a few days ago they quoted an 87 year old woman, so 10 years old in 1945, in Ukraine who said something like "I hoped I wouldn't live to see this again."Trevor wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 6:32 pmI will admit, until the Ukraine invasion, the prospect of a world war. . . while I believed the analysis, it had been an abstract thought for me. it didn't feel real and genuine. I expect most people in Europe back in the 1930s felt the same way. Having another world war break out was just too unimaginable; they couldn't believe anyone would willingly go through something like that, especially after the Great War.
Scares the hell out of me, given I don't think my chances of survival are that high being on the autism spectrum. Almost every article I've read sees this in the context of a new Cold War with Russia and China, because that's what all these pundits are old enough to remember. No one younger than 80 has any memory of the Second World War.
Suppose all that can be done is prepare as much as my limited budget allows. Thanks for developing Generational Dynamics.
I'm curious why you think being on the spectrum hurts your chances of survival. Yes, things look grim - and I won't pretend that I can comprehend the horrors to come, especially a nuclear war - but the odds of survival on an individual level, especially if you have a chance to make basic preparations, I think are still pretty good. Humans are quite resilient. Nukes are what make this all different, but frankly I not going to spend time worrying about nukes because it's something I have no control over and if they start to fly it'll hopefully be over pretty quickly.
I'm in my 40s, so I suppose I feel fortunate that most of my youth was spent in relative peace, that I'm over fighting age (unless things get extremely desperate in the US - in which case I'm happy to do my part), that I don't have kids to worry about and that - God willing - I may survive to be part of the rebuilding.
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/sta ... wsrc%5Etfw
The Kyiv Independent
@KyivIndependent
Ukrainian special forces will no longer capture Russian artillerymen.
The command of Ukraine’s Special Operations Forces has warned that it will kill captured Russian artillerymen in response to their “brutal shelling” of civilians and cities.
4:58 PM · Mar 2, 2022·Twitter Web App
3,597 Retweets
Ukrainian special forces will no longer capture Russian artillerymen.“Thou shalt not bow down thyself to them, nor serve them: for I the LORD thy God am a jealous God, visiting the iniquity of the fathers upon the children unto the third and fourth generation of them that hate me; - Exodus 20:5
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