Generational Dynamics World View News

[John]

** 10-Jul-2023 World View: China's failiing economy

During the last few days, analysts on
cable tv news channels have increasingly
been reporting that China's economy is
in serious trouble. The real estate
market is in crisis, having never really
recovered from the Evergrande crisis two
years ago. The stock market has been
tumbling, because the economy has not
recovered as had been hoped after the
Chinese Communists ended the harsh,
destructive "Zero Covid" policy in
December.

The economic difficulties were
highlighted this morning by a report
that the economy has become strongly
deflationary/disinflationary, with
producer prices FALLING 5.4%.

• China's producer prices fall most in 7 years (Reuters)

https://www.reuters.com/graphics/CHINA- ... /chart.png

The Chinese Communist Party decades ago
made a deal decades ago with the Chinese
people that if they would do as they're
told, then the economy would always be
good.

The CCP's greatest fear is a new massive
anti-government rebellion, such as the
White Lotus rebellion (1794-1805), the
Taiping Rebellion (1852-1864), and Mao's
Communist Rebellion (1934-1949). China
is overdue for a new rebellion.

A new rebellion would cause the CCP to
attempt an external military action,
such as invading Taiwan, or even a
missile attack on America.


*** China sends warships and jets near Taiwan as top US official visits Beijing
https://news.sky.com/story/china-sends- ... g-12917246

[FullMoon]

https://twitter.com/jenniferzeng97/stat ... 65857?s=20
When human life loses it's value to fellow citizens...

https://www.youtube.com/live/io0D0CgTXS4?feature=share

This video explains how the people with the technical ability to lead a missile technology program have been replaced with those who's only ability is to follow commands and be loyal to the Party. The technician's aren't loyal and they know the ramifications of using their weapons, therefore can't be trusted to follow orders, because it's essentially suicide. But the Party loyalists are brainwashed fools who only know how to follow orders. We can assume that Xi is giving up long term development of technology perhaps because microchips are now embargoed, for short term gain. By doing this he's showing his intentions. All decisions are up to Xi and many presume he's as misinformed and delusional as Putin was before his invasion. The fate of the world is held by this self absorbed half-witted delusional loyalist to the Communist cause.

[John]

This is a very insightful analysis.

[guest]

This is a very insightful analysis.

Will France have a civil war?

[Guest]

This is a very insightful analysis.

Will France have a civil war?

No. The native French population will be raped into a new ethnicity with barely a whisper.

[Bob Butler]

[Will France have a civil war?

No. The native French population will be raped into a new ethnicity with barely a whisper.

If the police continue murdering minorities, it won’t result in a whisper. Remember George Floyd and BLM? This is their equivalent. More violence, less protest, but this is the old world version. The instinct of humans for hatred and oppression of those who are different can only last for so long before it generates a response.

[Trevor]

The thing about long term plans: the short-term has a way of negating them, so all this talk about China planning in terms of decades, if not centuries, isn't as frightening as it's treated.

China might be fragile, but I think that makes them more dangerous, not less. If they've admitted their population is shrinking, it's been going down for several years at least. Japan ended up in recession around 1995 and never really got out, but they became rich before they became old. China's going to get old before they get rich and as impressive as their growth has been, they weren't just going to grow by 10-12% forever, and that's if you believe their official numbers, which I have doubts about.

One reason Japan attacked Pearl Harbor when they did is, they were as strong as they were ever going to be with respect to the United States. The longer they waited, the greater the American advantage was going to be, and the more critical their oil shortage was. Had they been more rational, they could perhaps have consolidated their empire, given that while Chinese resistance could make their lives miserable, it was unlikely to defeat them outright.

Launching an attack would be a disaster for the CCP and I suspect one reason they didn't attack Taiwan in 2022, as it looked like they were going to, is how Russia's invasion of Ukraine has gone. Most expected the conventional phase to last only a few weeks, with NATO giving the sorts of supplies to bolster an insurgency, only for Russia's military to underperform. Taiwan's a much more difficult target, given it's both an island and very mountainous, so any invasion would be a bloodbath. China has the industrial capacity Russia lacks, but whether that leads to an impressive combat performance, I have my doubts about.

Right now, we've got a President with approval ratings in the 30s, and even Democrats are questioning his mental acuity. I expect the only reason the party bigwigs haven't gotten rid of him is Kamala happens to be even more unpopular and out of her depth. We're revamping our military for a great-power conflict, but that'll take several years, so at least some in the CCP may see this as an opportunity. I don't think it's going to be a repeat of the Second World War, with massive blitzkriegs advancing dozens of kilometers in a day. Neither side has the ability to deliver a quick knockout.

[Guest]

[Will France have a civil war?

No. The native French population will be raped into a new ethnicity with barely a whisper.

If the police continue murdering minorities, it won’t result in a whisper. Remember George Floyd and BLM? This is their equivalent. More violence, less protest, but this is the old world version. The instinct of humans for hatred and oppression of those who are different can only last for so long before it generates a response.

What happens if minorities--say 3% of which are responsible for more than 55% of the murders and 80% of all violent crime--continue to rape and murder whites?

Oh, wait. Nothing. White people deserve to be raped, robbed, tortured, and murdered.

[Bob Butler]

What happens if minorities--say 3% of which are responsible for more than 55% of the murders and 80% of all violent crime--continue to rape and murder whites?

Oh, wait. Nothing. White people deserve to be raped, robbed, tortured, and murdered.

Today’s French government is not responsible for the original colonial imperialist policy of France, but the policy was real and the results remembered. Similarly, the victims of violent crime by minorities are not necessarily the ones killing minorities. The instinct to oppress, harass and kill those who are different is not overly well aimed. The haters on both sides are careless as to their targets, and do not care if their actions result in friends being targeted. No, not all the people targeted by hate deserve it, but haters will hate with destructive results.

[Another Guest]

What happens if minorities--say 3% of which are responsible for more than 55% of the murders and 80% of all violent crime--continue to rape and murder whites?

Oh, wait. Nothing. White people deserve to be raped, robbed, tortured, and murdered.

Today’s French government is not responsible for the original colonial imperialist policy of France, but the policy was real and the results remembered. Similarly, the victims of violent crime by minorities are not necessarily the ones killing minorities. The instinct to oppress, harass and kill those who are different is not overly well aimed. The haters on both sides are careless as to their targets, and do not care if their actions result in friends being targeted. No, not all the people targeted by hate deserve it, but haters will hate with destructive results.

Unless we kill the criminals first.