Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4181
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

-If we support Ukraine now, it will just embolden China to take Taiwan.
You mean don't support Ukraine, Jack?
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

Jack Edwards
Posts: 117
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2009 1:47 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Jack Edwards »

Tom,
You mean don't support Ukraine, Jack?
You are correct. Typo. If China sees Ukraine get routed with no international support, it will embolden them on Taiwan. Perhaps that's irrelevant, because they are going to do it anyway.

Thanks

Jack

DT Subscriber

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by DT Subscriber »

Jack Edwards wrote:
Mon Feb 28, 2022 12:19 pm
Tom,
You mean don't support Ukraine, Jack?
You are correct. Typo. If China sees Ukraine get routed with no international support, it will embolden them on Taiwan. Perhaps that's irrelevant, because they are going to do it anyway.

Thanks

Jack
A Chinese attack is inevitable? Even if Russia falters?

John
Posts: 11485
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 28-Feb-2022 World View: The Battle of Kiev

Image
  • Map of Ukraine region showing countries where refugees are fleeing to


There's a 3-mile long convoy of Russian soldiers, tanks, weapons, and
support equipment headed for Ukraine's capital city Kiev, and the
Battle of Kiev.

The city's mayor, as well as president Zelenskyy, have both expressed
defiance and pride that Ukrainians are determined to defend
themselves.

Russia has already inflicted massive destruction on Kharkiv, Ukraine's
second largest city. However, the Russians apparently have not yet
taken control of the city, due to stiff resistance from the
Ukrainians. The same pattern is expected in the Battle of Kiev, which
will probably begin within the next 24 hours.

There is currently a farcical "peace conference" under way between
delegations from Ukraine and Russia on the border between Ukraine and
Belarus. Russia pressed hard for this "peace conference," evidently
to demand capitulation before the Battle of Kiev. However, there is
no chance at all that the Ukrainians will capitulate.

Russia's "military operation" in Ukraine has gone so poorly that
analysts are saying that Putin is trapped. Russia has had hundreds of
casualties, lost dozens of tanks and 30 aircraft down, since Russia
has failed to achieve air superiority. Some analysts are suggesting
that unless Putin scores a win in the next few days, he will be ousted
or killed by the generals. So Putin is totally desperate to score a
win at the Battle of Kiev.

There are now about 500,000 Ukrainian refugees that have fled to other
countries, especially Poland and Hungary (see map above), according to
the UN. The UN is predicting two million or more refugees in the next
few weeks.

Putin is undoubtedly also shocked at the extent of the international
opposition to the invasion. Putin certainly expected to take
advantage of a split among the countries of Nato, but now the Nato
countries seem completely unified. Even Germany will be sending
lethal weapons to Ukraine, in a major reversal of policy.

This is the generational theory "Regeneracy" that I've been talking
about for years. I've been writing about it domestically, as the
regeneracy of civic unity, where Americans put political differences
aside and unite against the common enemy. Today we're seeing the same
thing internationally, as countries around the world unite against
Russia.

The interesting political battle in the next few months will be over
energy. So-called "green" policies in America and Europe have been an
absolutely disaster, as they've made Europe much more dependent on
Russia, and they've raised oil prices so that America and Europe are
funding Russia's war in Ukraine.

Two things to watch for in the next few months: Germany might reverse
its decision to close down two nuclear power plants. And the Biden
administration may find a way to "temporarily" reverse the regulations
against oil and gas production.

Update (12:30 pm ET): The "peace conference" has ended for now,
to resume in a few days.

-- Ukraine reports dozens killed in Kharkiv rocket attacks
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/2 ... et-strikes
(Al-Jazeera, 28-Feb-2022)

-- Pictures emerging from Kharkiv show massive destruction after
Russian shelling
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_ ... -shelling/
(Times Of Israel, 28-Feb-2022)

Jack Edwards
Posts: 117
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2009 1:47 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Jack Edwards »

DT subscriber,
A Chinese attack is inevitable? Even if Russia falters?
Who knows... One of the lessons I'm taking from the Ukraine situation is that a dictator just does whatever they want. If they insulate themselves, they believe they are invincible and can do anything. In a rational world, seeing the international community support Ukraine ought to discourage China. But, I think it a fallacy to believe that XI will act rationally.

Jack

User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4181
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

John, do you think this will be the Regeneracy for US as well, or will we have to wait till (probably) the invasion of Taiwan?
EDIT: Even Switzerland is "regenerating"!
https://nypost.com/2022/02/28/switzerla ... raine-war/
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2960
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

Not really.

But I wouldn't anyway, I'd be too busy trying to be orthodox and taking care of my family, instead of degenerates tearing it apart in the USA

Jack Edwards
Posts: 117
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2009 1:47 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Jack Edwards »

Tom said,
John, do you think this will be the Regeneracy for US as well, or will we have to wait till (probably) the invasion of Taiwan?
EDIT: Even Switzerland is "regenerating"!
FWIW, I think it entirely possible that Putin will go for broke (literally) and crash our stock market and/or electrical grid. I think that could create a regeneracy event. That would hit very close to home and affect literally everyone negatively. I think a Taiwan invasion is something we would consider very concerning too, but wouldn't hit as close to home. Timing is everything though and perhaps China will move on Taiwan regardless.

I also don't see how Russia goes back to normal and we kick the can again.. hope I'm wrong - but this feels to me like we just crested an icy hill on a car and we're starting down and have no idea how bad out of control it's gonna get really quick.

Jack

John
Posts: 11485
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 28-Feb-2022 World View: Regeneracy in US
Tom Mazanec wrote:
Mon Feb 28, 2022 1:25 pm
> John, do you think this will be the Regeneracy for US as well, or
> will we have to wait till (probably) the invasion of Taiwan?
> EDIT: Even Switzerland is "regenerating"!
> https://nypost.com/2022/02/28/switzerla ... raine-war/
We should get an idea of the answer to that question when Biden gives
the State of the Union speech tomorrow.

Xeraphim1

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Xeraphim1 »

Cool Breeze wrote:
Mon Feb 28, 2022 9:16 am
Xeraphim1 wrote:
Sun Feb 27, 2022 8:16 pm
Cool Breeze wrote:
Sat Feb 26, 2022 11:59 pm
This site is getting funnier and more amusing by the moment.

Snowden's a traitor, lol

then we list the daily mail report that "Putin is raging"

You guys are hysterical, I'm loving this total shit show of commentary, it's laughable.
Snowden has been a traitor for a long time. Stealing classified information and giving it to an enemy and seeking asylum from an enemy kinda fits the definition. They fact that you don't see this says something about you.
Americans understand that the government always had the potential to be an enemy, it's literally the foundation of our country. That you don't see that they steal information from us and use it as a cudgel (against we the people) is more sad than baffling to me.
You seem to be of the opinion that's it's "either/or" instead of "and".

They fact that the US government invades citizen's privacy and uses that information in sometimes dubious ways doesn't change the fact that Snowden IS a traitor.

Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 150 guests