Generational Dynamics World View News

[John]

** 16-Nov-2019 World View: Anti-government rebellion could spread

> Mainland Chinese Soldiers Take to Hong Kong Streets for First Time
> During Protests

> People's Liberation Army troops make rare appearance outside
> barracks to clear demonstrators’ roadblocks, raising questions
> about the army’s future role in the city

> When are they going to make their move? The protests in HK are
> becoming as endless as Brexit.

It looks more and more like the Hong Kong protests are building to
another anti-government rebellion from southern China, like the
Taiping Rebellion (1850-64) and Mao's Communist Revolution (1934-49).

I think that the CCP are aware that if they send in troops, they
will trigger this larger rebellion.

I think that they will continue to hold back unless and until
it spreads to the mainland.

As long as it's restricted to Hong Kong, even if it gets worse, the
mainland army cannot do anything more than the local riot police can
do. They might as well leave it to the Hong Kong riot police, unless
it begins to spread to southern China.

[FishbellykanakaDude]

...

Sorry Most most Xers Millennials and Non-elite boomers hate Muslims and refugees, not China. Only the Silent and Elite Boomers hate China. You declare a successful agreement in the trade war as extremely unlikely if outright impossible. John, can you please define what a "successful but practically impossible" (in your view) trade war resolution without war would hypothetically Look like? Right Now china screws every other country including the United states in its business dealings. However an agreement in which china honestly agrees but to stop screwing the United States but pertaining only to the US; but china hypothetically continues to screw for example, Great Britain or the EU. Sorry John But such an agreement is very much acceptable to Most Americans.

Gotta LOVE it!

..he literally said: Sorry... Boomer...

'Though it was actually: Sorry (implied "BOOMER")..

..although (again) he DID later say: "Sorry John", where "John" is an obvious proxy for "BOOMER"...!!

So,.. that happened.

Aloha dudelings... <Shaka nui loa!>

[John]

** 16-Nov-2019 World View: Bolivia's Chaco War

> Sorry John but this is nonsense, Bolivia's 20th Century Crisis war
> was obviously the Chaco War with Paraguay. Guevara's uprising was
> a local conflict. Regarding Global Geopolitics, Communism is
> simply no longer a significant ideological force in the world
> Since 1989.

I've reviewed the Chaco war, and because of the large number
of casualties it certainly qualifies as a candidate.

However, overall it reads like a non-crisis war for Bolivia. It's too
soon after the War of the Pacific. There was no explosive climax.
And the war is almost completely forgotten today. It might be
comparable to the Spanish-American war, the Korean war, or even World
War I for America.

It might be a crisis war for Paraguay, but I haven't researched that.

[John]

** 16-Nov-2019 World View: 1990s collapse of Soviet Union

> Thanks, John.

> I'd be interested in your thoughts on the Russian Federation
> thread if you have any you'd like to share.

> http://generational-theory.com/forum/thread-5721.html

I looked at the thread. This was a subject of discussion for years
and years and years in the old forum, and I have no desire whatsoever
to go into that thread and get embroiled in another discussion.

Here's the summary: The 1990s collapse of the Soviet Union was NOT a
crisis event for Russia. There was no Regeneracy and no Climax.

It was an Awakening climax, following the disastrous war in
Afghanistan. In the 20th century, there are two similar examples of
the same thing: The collapse of the Weimar government following the
disastrous Great War, and the resignation of Richard Nixon following
the disastrous Vietnam war.

[Guest]

When empires die, they collapse into ethno-states, not libertarian utopias. This empire will be no different, which is why movements like Aztlan and the Northwest Republic are becoming more popular. America will collapse and the whites and perhaps Northern Asians (Japanese, Koreans, Taiwanese) will start their own country. The Mexicans and blacks will live in failed states devoid of most modern conveniences and a central government, much like their ancestral homelands today. This is not rocket science.

[FishbellykanakaDude]

Ch86 : some of us take the proceedings in this forum seriously. If you have a rant, at least make it sound intelligible. At present, I don't want to waste time trying to read your posts

Now, be nice! CH is a true psycho-sociopathic totalitarian wannabe tyrant with major Daddy Issues, and as such gives us valuable insights into the thinking of our overarching enemy (the sexually and professionally frustrated crazy totalitarian thug).

It IS definitely difficult to read, and even more so, to understand his (if he IS a "he") missives, but they're really not THAT hard to decipher.

So,.. try instead to draw out more information from the doof, as he's (if it IS a "he") really quite fun to play with.

<Shaka nui!> my dudes and dudettes...!

[Londonistan]

In the wake of the Prince Andrew sex slave scandal and Markle sparkle, do you think the British monarchy could end soon?

[FishbellykanakaDude]

** 16-Nov-2019 World View: Anti-government rebellion could spread

> Mainland Chinese Soldiers Take to Hong Kong Streets for First Time
> During Protests

> People's Liberation Army troops make rare appearance outside
> barracks to clear demonstrators’ roadblocks, raising questions
> about the army’s future role in the city

> When are they going to make their move? The protests in HK are
> becoming as endless as Brexit.

It looks more and more like the Hong Kong protests are building to
another anti-government rebellion from southern China, like the
Taiping Rebellion (1850-64) and Mao's Communist Revolution (1934-49).

I think that the CCP are aware that if they send in troops, they
will trigger this larger rebellion.

I think that they will continue to hold back unless and until
it spreads to the mainland.

As long as it's restricted to Hong Kong, even if it gets worse, the
mainland army cannot do anything more than the local riot police can
do. They might as well leave it to the Hong Kong riot police, unless
it begins to spread to southern China.

The CCP absolutely does not want to light any fuses right at the moment.

How many times does this have to be said: T h e y _ a r e _ n o t _ r e a d y _ y e t _ f o r _ w a r.

The "uprising" won't spread to the mainland because the public there are still "captivated" by the goodies provided by the CCP.

Taiwan will not (yet) cause a big enough spark to light any fuses either, because their people are content with letting those wacky northerners bicker amongst themselves.

The CCP will do something to "draw in" some outside power when they are ready to war.

..there's not enough chaos yet for them to do so, as it's (the chaos) being tamped down by the parties that will eventually go to war,.. the CCP and the US.

[Guest]

How many times does this have to be said: T h e y _ a r e _ n o t _ r e a d y _ y e t _ f o r _ w a r.

Germany wasn't ready for WW 2, but they still attacked Poland. Russia wasn't ready for WW 1 or WW 2, but they still fought in both. You have obviously not studied history that much. Most countries don't chose war, war chooses them.

The Chinese communists aren't the brightest bunch. They seem to make the wrong choice every time. Why should this time be any different? I expect war to break out any day now. Most likely by accident.

[Guest]

In the wake of the Prince Andrew sex slave scandal and Markle sparkle, do you think the British monarchy could end soon?

The monarchy need not end. Just pick a new royal family.