24-Dec-18 World View -- Generational Dynamics analysis of the troop withdrawal from Syria

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: 24-Dec-18 World View -- Generational Dynamics analysis of the troop withdrawal from Syria

Post by John »

** 10-Jul-2019 Preserving the forum
FishbellykanakaDude wrote: > HTTrack is a "utility" that mirrors whole websites.

> I'm not sure it could handle a truly massive site, but it's worth
> a shot.

> Perhaps if there's a "last call" shortly before the site goes
> "dead" that would be the time to try to capture it to "disk".

> https://www.httrack.com/

> ..or there may be an "administrator" procedure that can zip up the
> entirety of the forum/website.

> I'm not commenting on keeping the site/forum "running", as I
> certainly don't want to do that.
I keep regular backups of the entire forum MySql database. If a
responsible person were willing to take responsibility, I could make a
copy of that backup available to him. That person could then get the
forum running on his own web site, and all the messages would be
preserved.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7458
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: 24-Dec-18 World View -- Generational Dynamics analysis of the troop withdrawal from Syria

Post by Higgenbotham »

John wrote:** 10-Jul-2019 Preserving the forum
Tom Mazanec wrote: > Any news on preserving the forum, John?
No, nobody has come forward. Frankly, I doubt that
anyone cares except for five or ten people.
I'm one of the five or ten, but with the stock market making regular record highs and being short, that's all I can handle right now. It's a daily struggle.

At the moment, my accounts are a few thousand above where they were at the May top with a new record high a few hours ago and I'm fighting every day because I know my life could depend on it, which I'm sure you can understand. If there's a crash soon (or even a 200 point downturn on the S&P), keep me in mind.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

John
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Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: 24-Dec-18 World View -- Generational Dynamics analysis of the troop withdrawal from Syria

Post by John »

** 10-Jul-2019 Suicide pact
Higgenbotham wrote: > I'm one of the five or ten, but with the stock market making
> regular record highs and being short, that's all I can handle
> right now. It's a daily struggle.
Isn't that how you lost everything in 2014?
Higgenbotham wrote: > At the moment, my accounts are a few thousand above where they
> were at the May top with a new record high a few hours ago and I'm
> fighting every day because I know my life could depend on it,
> which I'm sure you can understand. If there's a crash soon (or
> even a 200 point downturn on the S&P), keep me in mind.
Keep you in mind for what?

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7458
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: 24-Dec-18 World View -- Generational Dynamics analysis of the troop withdrawal from Syria

Post by Higgenbotham »

John wrote:
Higgenbotham wrote: > I'm one of the five or ten, but with the stock market making
> regular record highs and being short, that's all I can handle
> right now. It's a daily struggle.
Isn't that how you lost everything in 2014?
Yes, I lost nearly all my money in 2012 and 2013 being short the market. In 2017 and 2018, I made it all back. Now I'm short again and hanging in there.
John wrote:
Higgenbotham wrote: > At the moment, my accounts are a few thousand above where they
> were at the May top with a new record high a few hours ago and I'm
> fighting every day because I know my life could depend on it,
> which I'm sure you can understand. If there's a crash soon (or
> even a 200 point downturn on the S&P), keep me in mind.
Keep you in mind for what?
If the market is going up, leave me your suicide formula because I might need it. But if it's going down from here, give me instructions to preserve the site if nobody else steps forward.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

John
Posts: 11483
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: 24-Dec-18 World View -- Generational Dynamics analysis of the troop withdrawal from Syria

Post by John »

** 10-Jul-2019 Stock market
Higgenbotham wrote: > If the market is going up, leave me your suicide formula because I
> might need it. But if it's going down from here, give me
> instructions to preserve the site if nobody else steps
> forward.
Wow! OK, Mazanec, there's your answer. If the stock market goes up
then the forum dies. If the stock market crashes, then the forum
lives.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7458
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: 24-Dec-18 World View -- Generational Dynamics analysis of the troop withdrawal from Syria

Post by Higgenbotham »

John wrote:** 10-Jul-2019 Stock market
Higgenbotham wrote: > If the market is going up, leave me your suicide formula because I
> might need it. But if it's going down from here, give me
> instructions to preserve the site if nobody else steps
> forward.
Wow! OK, Mazanec, there's your answer. If the stock market goes up
then the forum dies. If the stock market crashes, then the forum
lives.
Everything depends on the stock market. Trump said so.

And if the stock market goes up, not only does the forum die, but I die.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7458
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: 24-Dec-18 World View -- Generational Dynamics analysis of the troop withdrawal from Syria

Post by Higgenbotham »

At the moment, assuming it goes straight up, my projected "Suicide Level" is S&P 4000. That may seem far-fetched but, as everyone knows, Trump fully intends to take it there if he can. I plan to remain steadfastly short all the way up, with bot smashing along the way, but if it goes parabolic (or crashes for that matter - in a crash all you can do is hold short or add) that won't work.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

John
Posts: 11483
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: 24-Dec-18 World View -- Generational Dynamics analysis of the troop withdrawal from Syria

Post by John »

** 10-Jul-2019 Three-way suicide pact
Higgenbotham wrote: > Everything depends on the stock market. Trump said so.

> And if the stock market goes up, not only does the forum die, but
> I die.
We can set up a three-way suicide pact -- you, me and the forum.

My source for information is the Peaceful Pill Handbook by Philip
Nitschke

https://www.peacefulpillhandbook.com/

Image
  • Peaceful Pill Handbook


The above is a picture of the print edition. I've subscribed
to the online edition.

By the way, the "Black Venus" method is the one where you don't need
drugs. It's a technique where you squeeze the blood vessels in your
neck. I haven't figured it out, but the online book contains a video
that shows you how. They claim it can be done anywhere, anytime,
without drugs or gadgets or anything. It's good for people in prisons
or nursing homes.



Image
  • Right to Die

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7458
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: 24-Dec-18 World View -- Generational Dynamics analysis of the troop withdrawal from Syria

Post by Higgenbotham »

John wrote:** 10-Jul-2019 Three-way suicide pact
Higgenbotham wrote: > Everything depends on the stock market. Trump said so.

> And if the stock market goes up, not only does the forum die, but
> I die.
We can set up a three-way suicide pact -- you, me and the forum.

My source for information is the Peaceful Pill Handbook by Philip
Nitschke

https://www.peacefulpillhandbook.com/
Thanks, added to favorites. I'm totally serious about this, in case anyone thinks not. It's a very serious matter because...

If the bubble continues, there won't be a way for a person over 60 to survive because age discrimination will render them jobless as you've noted and inflation will eat up every older person's savings who is not in the stock market. Retired people can survive off the stock market, as many are doing, but once it crashes, they will lose everything. I see no good answer for anyone over 55 except to be lucky enough to catch the crash, and for deflation to set in, at least for awhile. It's not likely to happen.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

John
Posts: 11483
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: 24-Dec-18 World View -- Generational Dynamics analysis of the troop withdrawal from Syria

Post by John »

** 10-Jul-2019 Suicide rate
Higgenbotham wrote: > Thanks, added to favorites. I'm totally serious about this, in
> case anyone thinks not. It's a very serious matter because...
You might want to start preparing now. It takes a while to psych
yourself up for it, figure out exactly what you want to do, and
prepare for it.
Higgenbotham wrote: > If the bubble continues, there won't be a way for a person over 60
> to survive because age discrimination will render them jobless as
> you've noted and inflation will eat up every older person's
> savings who is not in the stock market. Retired people can
> survive off the stock market, as many are doing, but once it
> crashes, they will lose everything. I see no good answer for
> anyone over 55 except to be lucky enough to catch the crash, and
> for deflation to set in, at least for awhile. It's not likely to
> happen.
I agree. As you pointed out in another thread, the suicide rate is
already increasing, and a stock market crash would certainly cause a
giant sucking sound for the exits, to paraphrase a former independent
presidential candidate.

As I responded in that thread, with a world war approaching, it's not
surprising that the suicide rate is increasing. Those who commit
suicide are judged as cowards, desesperados, heroes or martyrs,
depending on the circumstances and who's making the judgment. With a
world war approaching, the number of suicides in all four categories
should be increasing.

How does your imminent fatherhood figure in?

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