2-Jun-16 World View -- New Taiwan poll shows overwhelming support for independence from China / China ADIZ

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John
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2-Jun-16 World View -- New Taiwan poll shows overwhelming support for independence from China / China ADIZ

Postby John » Wed Jun 01, 2016 10:42 pm

2-Jun-16 World View -- New Taiwan poll shows overwhelming support for independence from China

China close to imposing an air defense ID zone (ADIZ) in South China Sea

** 2-Jun-16 World View -- New Taiwan poll shows overwhelming support for independence from China
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e160602.htm#e160602




Contents:
New Taiwan poll shows overwhelming support for independence from China
China close to imposing an air defense ID zone (ADIZ) in South China Sea


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, China, Taiwan, Tsai Ing-wen,
DPP, Democratic Progressive Party, Anti-Secession Law,
Hong Kong, South China Sea, Air Defense Identification Zone, ADIZ

Guest in Asia

Re: 2-Jun-16 World View -- New Taiwan poll shows overwhelming support for independence from China / China ADIZ

Postby Guest in Asia » Thu Jun 02, 2016 6:53 pm

Wouldn't invading Taiwan crash China's economy overnight?

Could China will do what Japan did in World War II: Attack multiply targets at the same time? It worked for Japan in the short-term.

You keep saying the Chinese people-not just the leadeship- want war. What do you base that on? Most Chinese I know just want a decent job and an affordable apartment. No one wants to live in a ghost city. They want to live in Shanghai.

John
Posts: 9167
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: 2-Jun-16 World View -- New Taiwan poll shows overwhelming support for independence from China / China ADIZ

Postby John » Fri Jun 03, 2016 11:21 am

Guest in Asia wrote:> Wouldn't invading Taiwan crash China's economy overnight?


I don't know why you would say that. An external military action
might stimulate China's economy. War is good for business.

Guest in Asia wrote:> Could China do what Japan did in World War II: Attack multiply
> targets at the same time? It worked for Japan in the short-term.


Japan colonized Korea and attacked Manchuria and China for years
before attacking the United States.

Guest in Asia wrote:> You keep saying the Chinese people-not just the leadeship- want
> war. What do you base that on? Most Chinese I know just want a
> decent job and an affordable apartment. No one wants to live in a
> ghost city. They want to live in Shanghai.



As I've written many, many times, it's a core principle of
generational theory that, even in a dictatorship, major decisions are
made by masses of people, by generations of people. The attitudes of
politicians are irrelevant, except insofar as they represent the
attitudes of the people. The Holocaust and World War II would have
occurred with or without Adolf Hitler.

The Chinese people and leaders are in a state of erotic denial,
thinking that if they attack the US, then the US won't fight, and the
war will be over within 24 hours. They'll score some initial
victories, but once they suffer their first reversal, they'll go into
full-scale panic. After five years of so, having caused massive
destruction to themselves and throughout the world, they'll regret
their decision.

Guest in Asia

Re: 2-Jun-16 World View -- New Taiwan poll shows overwhelming support for independence from China / China ADIZ

Postby Guest in Asia » Fri Jun 03, 2016 6:26 pm

When I talked about short-term wins, I was thinking of the aftermath of Pearl Harbor, not Manchuria.

Wouldn't war destroy China's export market? The US, Japan, Korea, and Europe are the buyers of their goods, not the domestic market. And I thought war being good for an economy was a myth. Doesn't war bankrupt countries?


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