23-Mar-15 World View -- Yemen's Houthis capture Taiz, advance south to fight Hadi's forces in Aden

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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23-Mar-15 World View -- Yemen's Houthis capture Taiz, advance south to fight Hadi's forces in Aden

Post by John »

23-Mar-15 World View -- Yemen's Houthis capture Taiz, advance south to fight Hadi's forces in Aden


France's center-right party edges out far-right National Front in elections

** 23-Mar-15 World View -- Yemen's Houthis capture Taiz, advance south to fight Hadi's forces in Aden
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e150323



Contents:
Yemen's Houthis capture Taiz, advance south to fight Hadi's forces in Aden
UN Security Council urges 'peaceful dialog' in Yemen
France's center-right party edges out far-right National Front in elections


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Yemen, Houthis, Taiz, Sanaa, Aden,
Abdu Rabu Mansour Hadi, Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, AQAP,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh
Saudi Arabia, Gulf Cooperation Council, GCC, Iran,
United Nations, Jamal Benomar,
France, Front National, Marine Le Pen, UMP, Nicolas Sarkozy,
François Hollande

JULLIEN1

Re: 23-Mar-15 World View -- Yemen's Houthis capture Taiz, advance south to fight Hadi's forces in Aden

Post by JULLIEN1 »

Marine Le Pen's far-right Front National party did well in Sunday's elections, but not well enough to defeat Nicolas Sarkozy's center-right UMP party in regional elections in France on Sunday
They were in fact departmental elections: regional elections are scheduled for next December. France using a two-round system, the important day is next Sunday when the second round will take place. Constitutionally, the most important is that we are for the first time electing a pair of two councilors (a man and a woman) for each canton. Politically, the important questions are "will the FN for the first time get the presidency of a département ?" and how many départements the Left will keep (Hollande is so unpopular nobody expects the Left to win).

JULLIEN1

Re: 23-Mar-15 World View -- Yemen's Houthis capture Taiz, advance south to fight Hadi's forces in Aden

Post by JULLIEN1 »

Of course, the most important from the point of view of Generational dynamics is the question "Is a realignment happening?".
Generational dynamics theory has long predicted a "realignment", i.e that in a generational crisis era the political landscape will be transformed with new political parties and coalitions emerging, perhaps new thoughts, the questions of the saeculum answered, new questions emerging...
Next French presidential elections will be a historical event with worldwide consequences: if Marine Le Pen is elected and organizes a French exit from the Euro, it will be the end of the Eurozone and perhaps the EU, the European project of integrating all European states within a single super-state will be finished, the political landscapes in the other European countries will be upside-down as a consequence; if she's not, it will continue and perhaps in the following decades the "United States of Europe" dreamt by the "Europeists"/"Europeans" (the name depends on if you disagree or agree) will be completed.

John
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Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: 23-Mar-15 World View -- Yemen's Houthis capture Taiz, advance south to fight Hadi's forces in Aden

Post by John »

JULLIEN1 wrote: > Of course, the most important from the point of view of
> Generational dynamics is the question "Is a realignment
> happening?".

> Generational dynamics theory has long predicted a "realignment",
> i.e that in a generational crisis era the political landscape will
> be transformed with new political parties and coalitions emerging,
> perhaps new thoughts, the questions of the saeculum answered, new
> questions emerging...

> Next French presidential elections will be a historical event with
> worldwide consequences: if Marine Le Pen is elected and organizes
> a French exit from the Euro, it will be the end of the Eurozone
> and perhaps the EU, the European project of integrating all
> European states within a single super-state will be finished, the
> political landscapes in the other European countries will be
> upside-down as a consequence; if she's not, it will continue and
> perhaps in the following decades the "United States of Europe"
> dreamt by the "Europeists"/"Europeans" (the name depends on if you
> disagree or agree) will be completed.
You can't have a realignment without a major war, because otherwise
people won't be motivated to overcome their ideologies.

I was listening five minutes agoto an interview with Senator Ted Cruz,
who just announced today that he was running for president. He was
asked about taxes, and he said that task reform was absolutely
essentially, and that ideally the IRS would be abolished and replaced
by a flat tax.

Now, I have no respect for anyone who could say something as
incredibly stupid as that. Even if he were president, he would have
to have the powers of God to get people to agree to do any of that.
At times like this, I wonder why he doesn't suggest making life easier
for everyone by making hurricanes and earthquakes illegal.

So getting back to the situation in Europe, there can't be any
substantial realignment at the present time, because there are too
many powerful interests opposing anything. But once a major European
war occurs, then there'll be a conference of leaders to decide how to
prevent this from happening again, and at that point a realignment can
occur. I believe that such a realignment would be a new European
Union with a constitutional federal government something like the
U.S., and a new euro currency with a single central bank for the
entire EU.

So a realignment does occur, but after the war, not before.

And thanks for the correction on the French elections.

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