27-Oct-13 World View -- Japan and China exchange threats as relations deteriorate
Fear of a paralytic polio epidemic in Syria
** 27-Oct-13 World View -- Japan and China exchange threats as relations deteriorate
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e131027
Contents:
Japan and China exchange threats as relations deteriorate
Iran exacts deadly revenge after border guards are killed by jihadists
UAE signs new $4.9 billion aid package for Egypt
Fear of a paralytic polio epidemic in Syria
Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Japan, Shinzo Abe, China,
Senkaku, Diaoyu,
Iran, Jaish al-Adl, Army of Justice, Pakistan,
Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Mohamed Morsi,
Muslim Brotherhood, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait,
Syria, polio, World Health Organization
27-Oct-13 World View -- Japan and China exchange threats
Re: 27-Oct-13 World View -- Japan and China exchange threats
To be perfectly honest, if Japan and China go to war, I don't think we would do anything to defend them. Obviously, we'd give the usual diplomatic support, condemn China's actions, but it wouldn't mean a damn thing in the long run. Based on the attitudes I'm seeing, we don't want to get involved anywhere for anyone, even if a close ally is in danger. Whoever the first target is going to be, whether it's Japan, Taiwan, or the Philippines, I think we're going to do nothing.
Re: 27-Oct-13 World View -- Japan and China exchange threats
I've heard the theory expressed that when China makes the first attackTrevor wrote:To be perfectly honest, if Japan and China go to war, I don't think we would do anything to defend them. Obviously, we'd give the usual diplomatic support, condemn China's actions, but it wouldn't mean a damn thing in the long run. Based on the attitudes I'm seeing, we don't want to get involved anywhere for anyone, even if a close ally is in danger. Whoever the first target is going to be, whether it's Japan, Taiwan, or the Philippines, I think we're going to do nothing.
on Vietnam or the Philippines or Japan ("Kill a chicken to scare the
monkeys" strategy), then the U.S. will do nothing except issue a
warning. But then when China makes the second attack, we'll have no
choice but to respond.
-
NoOneImportant
Re: 27-Oct-13 World View -- Japan and China exchange threats
Japan owns 45 tons of plutonium 239 - the fissile bomb making material. The material is the out growth of Japan's 50 commercial light water nuclear power plants that have operated in Japan starting over 30 years ago.
http://news.yahoo.com/nowhere-japans-gr ... 38796.html
Of that 45 tons, 10 tons are in Japan's domestic possession, the remainder is in the hands of the British, and French for reprocessing into "new" fuel rods. Japan is the only nation outside of the nuclear 7 - US, France, UK, Russia, Pakistan, India, China, and if you throw in N Korea, that will make 8 nations, (not exactly sure where to put Iran) - that possess substantial nuclear fuel reprocessing capability.
Japan is unique in that it alone possess substantial reprocessing capability - including enrichment and reprocessing - and has committed not to develop nuclear weapons. Japan's nuclear reprocessing capability was developed over the last 30 years to "fix" the plutonium problem of their light water nuclear reactor operations. Plutonium creation is a normal bi-product of operating light water U235/U238 nuclear power plant reactors. During the normal operation of a U235/U238 reactor some of the U238 - U238 is a non-fissile material consisting of 95% of a reactors fuel load - , over time, captures a neutron, then over several days the unstable U239 atom spontaneously decays into Pu239 - a fissile material, and a prospective nuclear proliferation risk/concern. The Japanese capability to reprocess spent fuel rods from their commercial power reactors was put into place to "fix" the plutonium problem, and eliminate the Pu239 by creating "new" mox - mixed oxide U235/Pu239 - fuel rods to be used for Japan's 50 nuclear power plants, thus burning up the created Pu239 and providing no nuclear proliferation danger to a concerned and anxious world.
Unlike Iran who sits atop of an ocean of oil, Japan has virtually no domestic energy resources, thus for decades nuclear power was one of the only energy alternatives that made sense for Japan. Japan's nuclear history, and an almost 70 year history of being protected by a certain US nuclear umbrella made the Japanese comfortable with the vow to never embrace nuclear weapons. At this moment the only thing limiting any Japanese nuclear ambitions is, quite simply, will.
The Japanese in the past have stated, without equivocation, that they will not build nuclear weapons. That statement was made while Japan was under a secure and certain US nuclear umbrella, an umbrella that they no longer believe to be either secure or certain.
In light of recent world events, it might be considered fool-hearty for the Japanese to forsake potential national survival - nuclear weapons - for the assurances of an unstable, and an untrustworthy ally. It would be surprising if the Japanese were not already be in possession of several viable weapons designs that may have been tested by supercomputer simulation - a technology that permitted the 1992 termination of US underground physical nuclear testing; the same simulation technology stolen by the Chinese some time about 1996 from Los Alamos National Labs, and used to create their miniaturized thermonuclear bombs.
This is a bit long, the first page and a half should suffice regarding the Chinese theft.
http://www.criminalgovernment.com/docs/ ... 31599.html
Japan possesses all of the technology, and material resources necessary to create, at will, literally over a thousand nuclear weapons. Japan's nuclear history is much more than just Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and is more than just a minor impediment regarding Japanese weapons development. From an internal Japanese perspective the decision to develop nuclear weapons, even when confronted by an existential Chinese threat, is quite complex; this site will provide a relatively quick summary of the considerable Japanese cultural nuclear difficulties; difficulties that are exclusive of the Fukashima disaster; a disaster that has caused the shutdown of all, or almost all commercial nuclear power generating facilities in Japan.
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ ... /ssn-x.htm
http://news.yahoo.com/nowhere-japans-gr ... 38796.html
Of that 45 tons, 10 tons are in Japan's domestic possession, the remainder is in the hands of the British, and French for reprocessing into "new" fuel rods. Japan is the only nation outside of the nuclear 7 - US, France, UK, Russia, Pakistan, India, China, and if you throw in N Korea, that will make 8 nations, (not exactly sure where to put Iran) - that possess substantial nuclear fuel reprocessing capability.
Japan is unique in that it alone possess substantial reprocessing capability - including enrichment and reprocessing - and has committed not to develop nuclear weapons. Japan's nuclear reprocessing capability was developed over the last 30 years to "fix" the plutonium problem of their light water nuclear reactor operations. Plutonium creation is a normal bi-product of operating light water U235/U238 nuclear power plant reactors. During the normal operation of a U235/U238 reactor some of the U238 - U238 is a non-fissile material consisting of 95% of a reactors fuel load - , over time, captures a neutron, then over several days the unstable U239 atom spontaneously decays into Pu239 - a fissile material, and a prospective nuclear proliferation risk/concern. The Japanese capability to reprocess spent fuel rods from their commercial power reactors was put into place to "fix" the plutonium problem, and eliminate the Pu239 by creating "new" mox - mixed oxide U235/Pu239 - fuel rods to be used for Japan's 50 nuclear power plants, thus burning up the created Pu239 and providing no nuclear proliferation danger to a concerned and anxious world.
Unlike Iran who sits atop of an ocean of oil, Japan has virtually no domestic energy resources, thus for decades nuclear power was one of the only energy alternatives that made sense for Japan. Japan's nuclear history, and an almost 70 year history of being protected by a certain US nuclear umbrella made the Japanese comfortable with the vow to never embrace nuclear weapons. At this moment the only thing limiting any Japanese nuclear ambitions is, quite simply, will.
The Japanese in the past have stated, without equivocation, that they will not build nuclear weapons. That statement was made while Japan was under a secure and certain US nuclear umbrella, an umbrella that they no longer believe to be either secure or certain.
In light of recent world events, it might be considered fool-hearty for the Japanese to forsake potential national survival - nuclear weapons - for the assurances of an unstable, and an untrustworthy ally. It would be surprising if the Japanese were not already be in possession of several viable weapons designs that may have been tested by supercomputer simulation - a technology that permitted the 1992 termination of US underground physical nuclear testing; the same simulation technology stolen by the Chinese some time about 1996 from Los Alamos National Labs, and used to create their miniaturized thermonuclear bombs.
This is a bit long, the first page and a half should suffice regarding the Chinese theft.
http://www.criminalgovernment.com/docs/ ... 31599.html
Japan possesses all of the technology, and material resources necessary to create, at will, literally over a thousand nuclear weapons. Japan's nuclear history is much more than just Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and is more than just a minor impediment regarding Japanese weapons development. From an internal Japanese perspective the decision to develop nuclear weapons, even when confronted by an existential Chinese threat, is quite complex; this site will provide a relatively quick summary of the considerable Japanese cultural nuclear difficulties; difficulties that are exclusive of the Fukashima disaster; a disaster that has caused the shutdown of all, or almost all commercial nuclear power generating facilities in Japan.
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ ... /ssn-x.htm
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