Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 19-Aug-2019 Hazaras

utahbob wrote: > John, Thanks for the update on the Hazaras in Afghanistan. When I
> was dealing with the Afghan National Army (ANA) we had to be very
> careful on the tribal/ethnic make up of squads and platoons and
> who was a leader of each. Sometimes it was bad. There is a lot of
> animosity between the tribes that go back generations. The
> Pashtuns gave the Hazara a bad time due to some had diffuculty
> growing a beard due to their DNA. Also many Pashtuns feel
> Afghanistan is theirs and all other ethnic groups are second class
> citizens. I found out that some Pashtuns said that it was a sign
> of masculinity to grow a beard and mustaches and some Hazara had a
> time hard to do, due to DNA. So they were bullied. In turn the
> Hazara became the some of the best scouts or recon commandos since
> they were motivated to go after the al Qaeda and especially the
> Taliban, since the Taliban is mostly Pashtun, the same ethnic
> group of their bullies. It was really double since the Hazaras are
> also Shia and the Pashtuns are Sunni. Simply it is a lot of bad
> blood between the two groups, it will take a lot of time and
> effort to heal the rift between and most likely not in our
> lifetimes.

> ISIS is just throwing more gas on the fire. If ISIS persist in
> Afghanistan, I can see the Taliban become Americas BFF. Everybody
> hates ISIS. Stranger things have happened.
Thanks for your service.

Afghanistan's last generational crisis war was the extremely bloody
civil war, 1991-96, which mostly pitted the ethnic Pashtuns, who are
Sunni Muslims, versus the Northern Alliance of Tajiks, Hazaras and
Uzbeks in northern Afghanistan.


The Pakistani jihadist group Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ) issued this
statement in 2003:
"Our mission [in Pakistan] is the abolition of this
impure sect and people, the Shias and the Shia Hazaras, from every
city, every village, every nook and corner of
Pakistan."

utahbob
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Joined: Tue Aug 09, 2011 8:10 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by utahbob »

A side note: In Afghanistan some mothers in rural Kandahar and Helmand provinces tell their children to behave or the Mongols/Genghis Khan will take them away. One of the mother’s pointed to the Tajik and Hazara ANA solders I was operating with when we were in her village while screaming at her children. My interpreter translated what she tell her children and it is interesting that event that happened about 800 years ago can still invoke fear in children.

Concerning LeJ/ISIS and other transnational jihadist groups; they usually are not taken serious or despised by common Afghans due to 1) not be true Afghanistan/Pashtun 2) Flaunting foreign influence and money 3) lack of empathy for the welfare of the local populace 3) the arrogance or looking down at the local and poor farmers. The local Afghans will take their money (they will take any foreign money – they love us Americans due to our big wallets) but when you start messing with their women, talk trash about their culture and boast about your lineage to the Prophet, those are the main reasons al Qaeda fell out of favor with the local Pashtuns.

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

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** 20-Aug-2019 World View: Pompeo links Hong Kong with trade war


US Secretary of State Michael Pompeo on Tuesday made an interesting
argument relating the US-China trade negotiatons to the situation
in Hong Kong.

By way of introduction, Pompeo did not say that the US supports the
current protesters, but he said that the US supports the right to
protest:
"President Trump captured this, I think, perfectly
across the weekend when he said we support democracy, we support
liberty. We very much want to make sure that those folks that have
the desire in their hearts to protest -- to speak out on behalf of
their own freedom, their own liberty, to do so. And the Chinese
government should respect their right to speak out in a way that
they’re speaking."
With that introduction he made the connection between the US-China
trade negotiations and the Hong Kong protests:
"China needs to fulfill its promises. One of the
challenges in the trade deal is you have to make sure that China
actually lives up to the commitments that it would make. In Hong
Kong, this Chinese government made a promise that it has a central
understanding that there’d be one country, two systems and they
need to live up to that promise."
Pompeo was alluding to the 1984 Joint Declaration on Hong Kong, signed
by China and Britain, in which China guaranteed that Hong Kong is to
be a "Special Administrative Region" of China, having its own laws,
freedoms, financial system and judicial system, for 50 years, from
1997 until 2047. This is known as "one country, two systems."

China has already said that the 1984 agreement was a historical
document that was no longer valid. Pompeo is saying that if
you violate the 1984 agreement, then we don't believe anything
else you say.

---- Source:

-- Pompeo Says China Should Respect Hong Kong Protesters' Rights
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... ers-rights
(Bloomberg, 20-Aug-2019)

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Does a military crackdown in Hong Kong necessarily translate into an invasion of Taiwan?

Xeraphim1

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Xeraphim1 »

Guest wrote:Does a military crackdown in Hong Kong necessarily translate into an invasion of Taiwan?
China isn't ready to invade Taiwan anytime soon.

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 20-Aug-2019 Invading Hong Kong
Guest wrote: > Does a military crackdown in Hong Kong necessarily translate into
> an invasion of Taiwan?
The two are unrelated. Hong Kong is part of China, so a military
action in Hong Kong would be an internal matter within China. Taiwan
is a separate nation, not a part of China, and so an invasion of
Taiwan would be a major act of war.

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 21-Aug-2019 World View: Hong Kong clash

Big clash between protesters and riot police going on in
Hong Kong right this minute.

It's only Wednesday. This raises concerns about what will
happen this weekend.

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

John wrote:** 20-Aug-2019 Invading Hong Kong
Guest wrote: > Does a military crackdown in Hong Kong necessarily translate into
> an invasion of Taiwan?
The two are unrelated. Hong Kong is part of China, so a military
action in Hong Kong would be an internal matter within China. Taiwan
is a separate nation, not a part of China, and so an invasion of
Taiwan would be a major act of war.
But wouldn't a crackdown in China lead to a strong pro-independence reaction in Taiwan?

Xeraphim1

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Xeraphim1 »

South Korea axes pact to share military intelligence with Japan

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/as ... story.html

"TOKYO — South Korea scrapped an agreement to share military intelligence with Japan on Thursday, significantly escalating the stakes in the U.S. allies’ dispute over trade and historical grievances.

The decision is sure to be met with concern in the United States, which views intelligence sharing between the allies regarding North Korea as critical.

Kim You-geun of the National Security Council in Seoul said Japan’s decision to drop South Korea from a list of trusted trading partners earlier this month, citing security issues, “brought about fundamental changes to the environment for security cooperation between the two countries.”

“Under these circumstances, the Government of the Republic of Korea decided that maintaining this agreement, which was signed to facilitate the exchange of sensitive military information, does not serve our national interest.”

The pact, known as the General Security of Military Information Agreement (GSOMIA), was signed in 2016 in the face of a growing threat from North Korea’s nuclear weapons program.

The decision comes just a day after the foreign ministers from both countries met at a trilateral event in China, where they agreed to keep talking but did not announce any progress in the dispute.

A Japanese official called Seoul’s decision “extremely regrettable,” Japan’s Kyodo news agency reported."



It seems things like this happen whenever the left takes power in South Korea. You'd think the Koreans would have noticed the pattern by now. Moon is turning into a disaster at one of the worst times possible.

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 22-Aug-2019 World View: South Korea ends intelligence sharing with Japan
Xeraphim1 wrote: > South Korea axes pact to share military intelligence with Japan

> https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/as ... story.html

> ...

> It seems things like this happen whenever the left takes power in
> South Korea. You'd think the Koreans would have noticed the
> pattern by now. Moon is turning into a disaster at one of the
> worst times possible.

This disagreement goes far, far deeper than a simple political
dispute. See the following:

** 3-Aug-19 World View -- Japan-Korea relations deteriorate quickly after surprise trade standoff
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e190803

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