Israel almost lost the 1973 "Yom Kippur" war - because they believed the enemy could never win and thus would never start the war.
An Israeli historical perspective:
http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-d ... m-1.465911
http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/History/Moder ... r+1973.htm
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ ... 91/RRC.htm
War is Not Logical - Nor is the Result Predictable
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