Higgenbotham wrote:indyboy wrote:Your statement of the "Fed is unable to target all aspects of the economy equally" is basically saying that the economy has so many pieces that it is hard for the Fed to control all pieces. That is what I meant by this being a hard "control-system" problem. However, consider a thought experiment. The root of all the current economic mess are all these people who bought assets and now their assets are under water. Doesn't matter if it is a house, or MBS. The person paid one dollar for it, but now it is worth only 30 cents. So the Fed buys it from him from one dollar (so he remains a happy camper). This is not different than forgiving him or paying him for the amount that he is underwater. What if the Fed could do this with all parties in debt ? Again set morality or illegality aside (we all know we are way past that point). Actually, you can include all the people with credit cards. Fed finds a way to forvgive their debt at any instant by giving them as much money as they owe (it would have to do this instantaneously without prior knowledge because the knowledge that the Fed will forgive debt will cause everyone to buy lots of stuff in advance ).
So now we are in a situation where there are no folks sitting on bad debt resulting from their assets being underwater. Is their a problem now ? I dont see it. It seems to me that the only problem is that of morality because the only people who get nothing are those who are in cash whereas all the people who count their net worth to be = cash + assets-that-are-market-valued suddenly become richer because their debt on their assets (such as house being underwater) is being forgiven. The current administration + the Fed is trying to really achieve this hand in hand without raising hue and cry.
I think I understand the question, but let's be sure first.
"Fed finds a way to forvgive their debt at any instant by giving them as much money as they owe. "
You mean that the Fed will create the money out of thin air that is necessary to pay off all debts. It would be all debts, not just the delinquent or underwater loans. I'm also assuming the money would be paid back to the creditor and the debt extinguished. For example, if a person had a mortgage with ABC Mortgage Company with a balance of $100,000 the Fed would give the $100,000 to ABC Mortgage Company and the person would then own their house free and clear. The same would apply to all auto, student, credit card, business, etc., loans.
Is this correct?
I was playing the game in my head follows. There are two types of debts, those with collateral and those without.
a) For those without collateral (like the $2000 Prada purse the woman bought on her credit card), all the debt is forgiven. She was complaining she couldn't pay this back.
b) For those with collateral such as a house, the Fed pays he house owner the difference between the amount he paid for and the current market value of the house. I mean that the part Mr X, who bought the house for 600K and is now worth only 400K, is groaning about. The fed pays him 200K (which is the same as buying it from him for 600k at the current moment, so that would work too).
Ok, now shoot me now