Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

For those who unfortunately believe that Keynesian economics and central banking policies provide viable solutions (rather than being the problem), believers have no theoretical alternative other than ratcheting the debtor’s trap to a higher level. Nonetheless, regardless of what the majority believe, the logical fate of such a system is mathematically doomed. An in-depth mathematical analysis demonstrates that collective interest payments will eventually approach infinity as a debt trap expands. Thus, a debt bubble always fails from intolerably high interest payments – rather than failing from the underlying outstanding debt itself. If policy-makers do indeed pursue policies that continually expand the debtor’s trap to exorbitant levels, the populace eventually intervenes in ways that counteract the policies. Populist intervention can be non-violent via major shifts in voting patterns and political preferences. However, when this happens, the political choices generally become polarized – with political parties moving away from the center and toward an extremist platform at one end of the political spectrum. And when a populist intervention turns violent, the overthrow often involves a complete collapse of government functions, uncontrolled economic collapse, and unruly disintegration of society. It is impossible to determine which of these forms the coming collapse will take. Nevertheless, all possible forms are extremely painful, and all will produce devastating economic outcomes.

One key problem with a national debt trap is that it tends to cause economic inequality via an uneven distribution of wealth – which is now more extreme than it was during the 1920s bubble. An uneven distribution of wealth is perhaps the key indicator of looming political and populist upheaval. When a populist revolt finally erupts full-scale, banking systems collapses, and economic activity comes to a grinding halt afterward. Economic crises have developed this way going all the way back to the Templars dominance of banking in the early 1300s, and future crises will likely continue following this same course until mankind finally learns to purse economic systems without relying on central banking (from 1913 to present) and fractional-reserve banking (from 1840 to 1913).

Rock and a hard place

If you are one of those in the camp of “no politician will ever be elected that will cut our Social Security benefits,” as I so frequently hear in my work across the country, let me introduce you to another harsh reality. The timing of the mass retirement of our Boomer generation is colliding with the reality of our federal debt reaching an unsustainable critical mass.

At around $22 trillion and climbing, we will not be able to debt finance these benefits for a sustained time period. Once we hit $30 trillion in total debt, which as forecasted could happen in less than 8 years with the projected $1 trillion annual deficits, interest servicing alone will cost us more per year than we spend on Medicare and the military combined – a simple impossibility for the United States.

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“A new upleg in a bull market, or, a bull trap?” – Interview with Mr. George Slezak MBA – Source – Marketviews.tv (02/20/2019)

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