Financial topics

[aeden]

Andrew Cuomo Begs Rich Hedge Funders Fleeing NYC: "Please Come Back"
Only an idiot would stay.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=erJmZEuyCUE

[Higgenbotham]

There was a massive collapse in the birth rate in Q3 2019. I've been anticipating this collapse because it's my belief that the US went from recession to depression 3 quarters prior to Q3 2019 in terms of what the common person of prime reproductive age in the US is actually experiencing.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/nata ... hboard.htm

The 12 month-ending birth rate(s) increased when comparing 2018 Q3 with 2019 Q3 for the following age group(s):

40-44 years (11.8 to 11.9).


The 12 month-ending birth rate(s) decreased when comparing 2018 Q3 with 2019 Q3 for the following age group(s):

15-19 years (17.7 to 16.7).
20-24 years (68.8 to 66.2).
25-29 years (95.9 to 93.1).
30-34 years (100.0 to 97.8).
35-39 years (52.6 to 52.3).

The collapse in the birth rate continued in Q4 2019, though it does appear to be slowing. The collapse should pick up speed again when the post coronavirus numbers come in in a couple quarters.

The 12 month-ending birth rate(s) increased when comparing 2018 Q4 with 2019 Q4 for the following age group(s):

40-44 years (11.8 to 12.0).


The 12 month-ending birth rate(s) decreased when comparing 2018 Q4 with 2019 Q4 for the following age group(s):

15-19 years (17.4 to 16.6).
20-24 years (68.0 to 66.6).
25-29 years (95.3 to 93.7).
30-34 years (99.7 to 98.3).


No significant change was seen in the 12 month-ending birth rate(s) when comparing 2018 Q4 with 2019 Q4 for the following age group(s):

35-39 years (52.6 to 52.7).
45+ years (0.9 to 0.9).

In June the Brookings Institution released a study predicting the U.S. is headed for “a large, lasting baby bust.” Its researchers forecast there will be 300,000 to 500,000 fewer children born in the U.S. in 2021 than there would have been absent the crisis, which amounts to a decrease of roughly 10% from 2019. That means the number of babies never born is likely to greatly exceed the number of Americans who’ve died from coronavirus, which is now about 150,000. The effect on population will be longer-lasting as well: Many of the babies who aren’t being born would have lived into the 22nd century.

In the second half of the 20th century, the pattern in the U.S. and elsewhere was that fertility tended to fall during recessions and then bounce back when the economy recovered. Demographers expected that to happen after the 2007-09 recession, which at the time had been the deepest since the Depression. “People put off having children during the economic downturn and then catch up on fertility once economic conditions improve,” Pew Research Center wrote in an October 2011 report.

But the pattern broke. The post-recession rebound never came even as the U.S. economy staged the longest expansion on record. Birthrates for women in their 20s, which had dropped 25% or more during and shortly after the recession, kept falling, and they stayed flat for women in their 30s. “Had prerecessionary fertility patterns been sustained through 2019, there would have been 6.6 million more births, and nearly 3 million more women would have had their first child over the last 11 years,” says Kenneth Johnson, a sociologist and demographer at the University of New Hampshire’s Carsey School of Public Policy.

Early indicators point to the birthrate moving down another notch in this recession. The Wedding Report Inc. says its surveys show that slightly over 60% of weddings scheduled for 2020 have been postponed until later this year or 2021. That’s bound to delay some couples from starting a family.

Also, when the pandemic broke out, birth control providers reported an increase in sales from people stocking up in case of shortages. Some sources have also seen a bump in demand for long-lasting forms of birth control. The Pill Club Holdings Inc. logged a 65% increase in June in new patient requests for Annovera, a vaginal ring that prevents pregnancy for up to a year.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... -in-crisis

[aeden]

https://external-preview.redd.it/fJGQYK ... 446db1c7e0

After years in a hot and very humid climate what could go wrong with bureaucratic third world nations.
Kind of like no border village and useful idiots well under way here.
Prills merged into chunks setting there for many many years.

Hazardous waste determination and record keeping is Lebanons problem not the a wasted whole city.
No excuses exists in that slaughter but typical middle east politics.
https://rense.com/
thread: mother ship

actually producing explosives in the warehouse and it got a bit dicey
cool cover hezzy

[aeden]

thread: yellow cake
remember that press guy killed a mile away in yemen
you should

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... owcake-wsj

I think the Office did a genius moving troops to Poland for many reasons still unrecognized.

[aeden]

https://blog.jetsettingmagazine.com/pol ... l-takeover
Will take that 10 million in cash on the election issue.

[Higgenbotham]

Still haven't put anything on beyond 7. No activity today. Plan to do more soon.

[aeden]

Have not done drill down on technicals in August.
In 2008 Gold hit 1950 and Silver hit 50.
Baskets are 43 ms sweep trades.
Fiat will inflate the prudent to a retirement ash heap anyways.
Retards want kid in diseased indoctrination farms.
Unbelievably ignorant bleating glassy eyed 1000 yard stare sheep soon enough.

Dolchstosslegende Presstitutes are alive and very well.

We know the economic consequences of Covid will be past devastating
in terms of public finances, business failures, unemployment and personal insolvency.
We are only about one year in from the collaborative gain of function release from the
Lunatics backed by gun powder. Some are conveying 30 million to be evicted as Propertys
to be seized. Of course we read the warning in the 1990's what was the script when needed.
Try explaining to them taxes on property was a leading fact.
The old I knew from the 1930s survived the worst drought in North America in a 1,000 years
and some unsustainable farming practices worsened the drought's effect it was said.
No arguing with either fact pays the bills now does it.
This time other interests and active measures are just another commentary fact that yea will be ignored
as I was warned long ago.

Keep your head clear and powder dam dry. The window we seen is to spring 2024 noted. Please let us know
since I think in abject humility as the owner of the Garden has done well over issues few can wish to consider.
The dementia laden Andrenocromes exhibit what we see in that spectrum alone from the green swamp
and green masks Handlers. It was no problem when they tossed other kids under the bus who could like do and fix anything
until the State mandated we will educate them or put you in a cage.

The Fig tree puts forth leaf in that season and we see what will be swept away as in the day of Noah warning since they chose
to ignore the season. The catalyst leading to the east gate for some will be seen in that issue. As for now the facts in our region
issues are only missed by the seal.

The reports are clear. This next generation will be physicality and already mentally damaged to staggering levels.

New York is run by a Sandinista worshiper. Pity cannot cover the onset of this next Exodus.
The voters got what they wanted good and hard. Nothing can change the course they are on.
De Blasio was born "Warren Wilhelm" and legally changed his named to "Bill de Blasio" in 2001.
He was a supporter and advocate for the revolutionary socialist Sandinista government in Nicaragua during the 1980s.
https://thegrayzone.com/tag/fsln/ New York will and is mental ashes already.
Get out now the region is finished.

Emailed my Senator, no response. Asked them why should we send the children back to evil.

thread: New Perspectives in Political Economy the academic journal of CEVRO Institute (School of Legal and Social Studies)
Tue Feb 25, 2020 9:55 am march sweeps
thread: sogo salem l8ter green cloud
Malachi 4:4

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_cont ... VTwaZR_YWs
This video has been removed for violating YouTube's Community Guidelines. As you can see omission of facts is not wanted.

You are under attack.
The Fourteenth Amendment protects rabid Corporate criminals who decide facts must be destroyed.
It was designed for Humans rights.

The expansive Fourteenth Amendment that comes down to Constitutional Law today is the result of corporations
using the Fourteenth Amendment as a shield against regulation.
They are a now a terminal disease of omission. Just another leaf on a tender fig tree
as the incompetent also blame the outsiders like the Chicago mayor blaming violence on other states.

[aeden]

wing and a prayer
would only add a bridge to far for now
just me since media is another veil to multi decade abuse

The 'punchline' being, it’s worth looking at “reversal” expressions / hedges out 3 months: Payers / Curve Caps (perhaps contingent on 30Y yields cheapening), Gold downside, US Dollar upside (EURUSD downside for instance) and US Equities Value & Cyclical sector upside Call Wing (hedging “Momentum / Sec Growth” longs) tyler

No its the safety valve Heretics and the lesson wilson, fdr, and nixon pretending triffon mattered at all.
Easier to attribute OCD to facts than accountability.

overheated, we needed a pullback to consolidate and coil up shorts sitting on the hill
no one cares as the august tide goes out

Silver's next pop it $34 then another correction as best crazy guess
spec is not a viable survival skill for them
correction to establish a resistance level
wet panty's day traders need more specs on commodity plays is the sentiment


Sea ports administration of Ukraine says that almost 10000 tonnes of ammonium nitrate that is being stored
at pier 1 and 2 of Yuzhi port near Odesa is totally safe.
Best fertilizer story of the day.

But I figure we have one chance to do it, and no other President is going to do what I do. No other President would do a favored nations, a rebate, a buy from other nations at much less cost. Nobody. And there are a lot of unhappy people, and they’re very rich people, and they’re very unhappy,” he added.

In terms of who Trump was identifying as his “enemies,” the president made reference to wealthy anonymous “middlemen” who skim profits from pharmaceutical sales.

“They are so wealthy. They are so wealthy,” said Trump. “Nobody has any idea who the hell they are or what they do. They make more money than the drug companies. You know, in all fairness, at least the drug companies have to produce a product, and it has to be good product.”

Tell me about the 14th amendment and the barren Fig Tree.

Trump blamed the American political class for the fact that drugs are cheaper to buy in other countries Canada
even if they are made by the same company. Trump: "I have a lot of rich enemies. You won't see me for awhile...
Very honest and smart statement and to vote for. Vast majority of the smart people said I was crazy if you think
he has a chance to win back then. About a third stayed in TDS land.

thread: Derzhavin, Jaynes

[aeden]

https://www.barchart.com/futures/commitment-of-traders
https://www.barchart.com/futures/commit ... harts/SI*0
Put Premium Total
$1,544,060.00
Call Premium Total
$9,967,590.00
sept total

[Higgenbotham]

No activity today, still short 7. Planning to increase Monday morning if prices stay here or move higher. But it'll probably only be 1 additional.

When I started saying weeks ago that bear market rallies can go much higher than I estimate, this is not what I meant. I meant I estimated the rally would stop before 2700 but since I thought 2700 max that it might go much higher to something like 2950. My break even on the 7 is 2795. Adding 1 up here will increase that to 2864.