Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
aedens
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Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/M2V/
the key to ... the bottomless pit was carried by whom
some warned us long ago...

https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2014/08 ... inflation/

The less is more cults are eating the seed corn as we already know.
Point being for me is references that once was 3.50 is now 8.00 in less than half a decade....
so as we noted and warned.
The statement is thus true since under cardinal utility theory, the sign of the marginal utility of a good
is the same for all the numerical representations of a particular preference structure.

A quart of wheat for a day’s pay, if they survived that long which many have not.
http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... les#p27921 <----- As we already seen

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/ ... rate_2.jpg

Many will be returning to review IRR as opportunity costs diminish going forward. Frameworks do suffice for now going forward
some contend viable. Locally I do not see it.

http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... les#p18761

http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly

vincecate
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Re: Financial topics

Post by vincecate »

I can tell you how some big failures will happen in the financial companies. There are companies that sell options and use "dynamic hedging". What this means is they have to keep adjusting their positions so that small moves in the market are net neutral for their position. They are not really hedged but as long as they can keep adjusting their position they are ok. The way this fails is when you get a large sudden move in the market, like a crash. In a crash they can not adjust their position fast enough and so they are not net neutral. And as they try to adjust their positions they will contribute to the crash. In a crash many of these guys will go bust.

It is kind of similar to the "portfolio insurance" that people were doing around the time of the 1987 crash. It all looks ok on their computer simulations which assume nice continuous pricing changes and they are the only ones doing it. Once the idea is popular the large number of people violates the initial simulation which assumed they were not impacting prices. In a crash this continuous pricing assumption fails. So the very activity of "portfolio insurance" or "dynamic hedging" done by many people can cause a crash. When the hedging algorithm fails they go bust.

The big drop we had a couple months ago has probably increased the amount of "portfolio insurance" that people have been buying. And that drop could have been in large part due to dynamic hedging or portfolio insurance.

It is like the companies are selling insurance against a crash but they could not really pay off in the event of a crash.

As a buyer of options I do worry about this and wonder how much of this the exchanges can cope with.

http://www.riskencyclopedia.com/article ... c_hedging/

http://www.federalreservehistory.org/Ev ... ailView/48

aedens
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Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

Would not the COT report tell us the same as vix we have guaged rather correct over some time here.
Replicating portfolio managers noted the ratio so we can note that as t did a few days back as r*

meanwhile http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-turns ... 00767.html

However as noted correcly http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-1 ... 37-returns

http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly

caution is the sister of prudence also

aedens
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Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

Higgenbotham wrote:It's at the point where things are surely going dark. Bodies are going unaccounted for in the first world countries. The core is being devoured with no legitimate political entities to regulate the chaos. This is the end.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-12-0 ... es-germany

Agree, the wave we considered has hit shore. The wasting process will consume even the root. Living the dream indeed.

But I do not hold out much hope for American puritans.
They cannot understand this process. doc

I like that since the swamp people thousands of miles away will protect me as they swim over the pond?
As the numbers indicated correctly as 7000 a day for x years, as y sticky wage enclaves of decline.

albeit parsed to adroit manipulation the Moloch / Molech cults of confusion as warned, as a demented homily weilded to
grind the unwary to the legal cartelization processes. Biases to acendent dialectic carnage we see unfolding.
Our term was utilized as farben for a recent period of explicit example.

As we covered before with Millar as noted in "The Roman Near East" after many days of travel the Legati "Legion Command" after being briefed by the Lagatus "Importance Senate" Preafecti "Appointed" and lower administrative notices I left out for simplicity as it was then all but over since a knock on the city gate ensued.

This question came up again as the view to scope viable contructive elements we are warned of as before whos foot stool we are ignoring.
As before the answer was given to whom he only considered.

aedens
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Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »


aedens
Posts: 4753
Joined: Tue Nov 04, 2008 4:13 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

Moreover control of the Western mind is to be achieved not only by means of the dishonest use of language, but also through operations to demoralise the West - through corrosive attacks on society's institutions, the active promotion of drug abuse, and the spread of agnosticism, nihilism, permissiveness and concerted attacks on the family in order to destabilise society. Religion and the traditional cultural and moral hegemony must first bedestroyed, before the revolution can be successful - a message stated unequivocally by the American activist Ellen Willis, who has written that 'feminism is not just anissue or a group of issues; it is the cutting edge of a revolution in cultural or moral values...
The objective of every feminist reform, from legal abortion to child-care programs,is to undermine traditional family values' [see "The Nation', New York, 14 November 1981, pages 494-5]. The still unproven assumption of the strategists is that with Western society 'deconstructed', its leaders will meekly accept and cooperate with the Soviet plan for a 'New World Social Order', or World Government. Golitsyn

http://hopefaithprayer.com/salvationnew ... onhoeffer/

I will not acept those who follow molech. A

Another conveys will the East/West New World Order dialectic be accompanied by an East/West Roman Empire church dialectic.

Consider the burn rate first the rest do follow. Only two sects where outlawed from the west and the east. Christos followers and grove druidic.
Rome did not sanction unsyncetic intransigence.

One Solitary Life
He was born in an obscure village.
He worked in a carpenter shop until he was thirty.
He then became an itinerant preacher.
He never held an office.
He never had a family or owned a big house.
He did not go to college.
He had no credentials but himself.
He was only thirty-three when the public turned against him.
His friends ran away.
He was turned over to his enemies and went through the mockery of a trial.
He was nailed to a stake between two thieves.
While he was dying, his executioners gambled for his clothing, the only property he had on earth.
He was laid in a borrowed grave.
Nineteen centuries have come and gone, and today he is the central figure of the human race.
All the armies that ever marched, all the navies that ever sailed, all the parliaments that ever sat, and all the kings that ever reigned have not affected the life of man on this earth as much as that One Solitary Life.

To add it was written 365 times the promise would be seen before it happened.

http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/autho ... nd+Ibrahim close the borders

aedens
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Re: Financial topics

Post by aedens »

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-12-1 ... e-be-fired
http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly

First they came for... http://en.cfppiran.com/2015/09/28/the-l ... ur-unions/

This Union brother will rise again.... since we remind ours what free men who witness evil suffer.

As they look down on the broken over there they convey that " Therefore I want you the youth to lay the foundations for a correct and honorable interaction with the Islamic world based on correct understanding, deep insight and lessons learned from horrible experiences."

They again learned indeed what interaction means since we see a totalitarian political system masquerading as a religion since moderates understand confusion shelters corruption. One clip in one clip out locally as forwarded. I will remind myself they stopped by off record when they seized a semi automatic weapon tossed under a vehicle from a juvenile on a subsequent arrest a short time ago.
A the grain colony.

The way back machine reminded us.... Exactly 6 weeks before it blew up they called a mandatory company meeting of ALL employees proposing that we could now buy the companies stock direct with payroll deduction. I somehow contained my overwhelming enthusiasm...

vincecate
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Re: Financial topics

Post by vincecate »

I will be watching the stock market more than usual Monday and probably all next week. Looks to me like things might be moving.

John
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Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

vincecate wrote:I will be watching the stock market more than usual Monday and probably all next week. Looks to me like things might be moving.
And I'm sure you don't have to be reminded to watch the price of oil as well.

vincecate
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Re: Financial topics

Post by vincecate »

John wrote: And I'm sure you don't have to be reminded to watch the price of oil as well.
Not sure what you mean. Just as a deflationary thing or something else?

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