Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
Higgenbotham
Posts: 7487
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

I think there are some big picture aspects to the above posts.

One is that, upon closer inspection, everything nowadays boils down to fraud, as others here have stated. That should be the primary lens through which everything is filtered. There are no AI based trading computers that are smarter than humans, or similar technology that will take the world to great new heights. That's as far-fetched as the Romans had this new device called a steam engine (which they did in crude form) and would soon industrialize. It is desperate fake news designed to fund the next batch of fake startups in Silicon Valley that will never produce anything worthwhile and go bankrupt as California descends into chaos. There are not millions of job postings for which there are no qualified candidates. Instead there are thousands of desperate fake companies run by Gen X who don't know what the hell they're doing and don't know how to hire. The only way they know how to "make money" is to commit fraud, load the country up with unsustainable debt, and attempt to con and marginalize their desperate, scared, unhealthy, and debt-laden employees, most of whom live tiny paycheck to tiny paycheck.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

John
Posts: 11485
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

Higgenbotham wrote: > I noticed the Tudor AI fund mentioned has performed very well over
> the past few weeks since the market bottomed. In other words, it's
> thrown caution to the wind may be an applicable
> statement. Meanwhile, recent reports would indicate Bridgewater
> has been short during at least some of this run higher. Longer
> term, my bet would be that Bridgewater beats the Tudor AI fund
> when all is said and done.
John wrote: > Image

> The above graph does not look to me like a fluke, or "caution to
> the wind." What it says to me is that the software was not
> working when launched in October, but development continued. Then
> there was a major software breakthrough in November, another one
> at the end of February, and then again in April. There will be
> more breakthroughs to come, as lessons are learned.
Because of some recent developments, I have to change my
my response in the last paragraph. In that paragraph, I was
imagining a team of programmers who were constantly improving the
software, so that it was getting better and better.

However, the technique of self-training through reinforcement
learning, where the software is programmed to start from scratch and
train itself by simulating billions of different combinations, is
being used increasingly, and has made some significant breakthroughs
in the game "Defenders of the Ancients" (DotA):
Wired wrote: > That combination of precise tactics but wobbly strategy may
> reflect the way OpenAI’s bots learned to play Dota. They taught
> themselves the game from scratch using a technique called
> reinforcement learning, which is also at the heart of some of
> Google parent Alphabet’s AI ambitions.

> In reinforcement learning, software figures out a task through
> trial and error. It takes on a challenge over and over, trying
> different actions and sticking with those that work. OpenAI’s bots
> prepared for Wednesday’s match by playing millions of speeded-up
> games of Dota against clones of themselves.

> That’s very different from how humans approach problems. A novice
> can—fortunately—become a Dota pro in far fewer than a million
> games by understanding the game’s goals and learning how to create
> productive strategies. Bots based on reinforcement learning—at
> least today—don’t engage with the game at a higher level. They are
> driven by predicting the best action in any given moment. “It’s
> reactive, they look at a state of the world and come up with
> something to do now,” says Ben Recht, a professor at UC
> Berkeley.

> https://www.wired.com/story/pro-gamers- ... s-ai-bots/
So I no longer believe that there was a group of programmers
continually enhancing the algorithms. I now believe that it's more
likely that the reinforcement learning technique was used, possibly in
conjunction with some reprogramming. When the software was launched
in October, it didn't do very well, but as time went on, and it kept
retraining itself, it produced better and better results.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7487
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

AIEQ is loaded with Nasdaq stocks, or similar. Below is a chart of AIEQ compared with the Nasdaq and it tracks it perfectly. Comparing AIEQ to the more conservative S&P 500 was just more fake news designed to promote AI. To make the comparison, I cut out the early gyrations in the fund.

Image
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7487
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

One of the popular cons today in the financial markets is to say, "I've got a computer that knows the secret to the market." There are many variations of this con. Even before computers there were similar cons, such as the one depicted in The Wizard of Oz.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

aeden
Posts: 12496
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

You are correct on tracking funds to trends.
The summation article below typifies the effort.
I did not have a banner month like the last report conveyed.
I have a felling things are starting to stall from saturation debt issues and emerging market collapse ensuing
as we discussed the Jello effect as it changed viscosity in the zones.
The aggregate funds are marked and they are buying on the dips not actual logic.
The FED had enough time during the "sideways" segment to the gradual push in rates.
Executive tariff funds them alone, from inflation targeting. No one is fooled on who built the Chicoms military.
The paper linked some days back emulated the Eurozone on capital gains tax.
The political class spill over here as the Rus narratives will increase the more they are removed.
Anyone and anything is Rus for them to get back into power at any price we the taxpayer supply.
We called the move Pocahontas move before the democrats could scratch their ass.
If they get back in they will smother business like before and then it goes black.
The only measurement will be the extraction from the blood bags.
We seen the thousands scour the Brazilian border as we where warned.

Not even the root will survive. That is all of any means of viable production.
As before any members of immediate family will dig up any capitals if they can even
find grains to grind for survival. The only thing dumber than socialist is democrats
and the poisoned fish they feed their kids over the pond.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-08- ... ly-go-dark

Blow out the forecast should sound familiar.
https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/The_Secr ... /Chapter_1

aeden
Posts: 12496
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »


aeden
Posts: 12496
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

Higgenbotham wrote:One of the popular cons today in the financial markets is to say, "I've got a computer that knows the secret to the market." There are many variations of this con. Even before computers there were similar cons, such as the one depicted in The Wizard of Oz.
http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... tle#p41126 Agree on trend findings on your true remittance.
http://www.creditchina.gov.cn/

Oz now has a score.

The fastest growth market from China is the credit markets to Indonesia.
Two were annihilated from bad practice.
Pocahontas was not needed it appears either.

The "Decision" emphasizes: "Strengthening the construction of credit system, improving credit supervision, increasing information disclosure, accelerating the construction of market credit information platform, and exerting the same industry and social supervision." Therefore, building a credible society is not only a comprehensive and in-depth promotion of socialism.

Would we consider 300 million not sleeping on dirt a good thing and walking on covered floors better?
I cannot answer that as our social credit system has here two tiers of adjudicated hypocrisy now.
I can tell you this of one who left the great fire wall warned me of what we see now.
He to was in the middle since left and right seek one thing at our expense. To reduce to a value.
Like I conveyed when he went to Norway to help on very difficult research project we
had very direct indications on what was coming to educational and social fabric issues.
We understood both governments have not preserved in innocence of birth since tissue brokers
let's say are an anathema to our persistence of fear since wisdom begins in it.
No one is better than the organization of the scale of things we cannot even fathom or measure.
I seen a segment were the truth was not able to be published. That is wrong.

Locally the red jello and the blue blizzard.
As we see again the social silences, until mid term from the useful and cheerful.

As we are reminded:
Day 3 without trucks,
Most service stations will run out of fuel
Widespread lay-offs in the manufacturing sector
Waste water sludge becomes a problem as tanks at treatment plants are now full
Work on infrastructure stops as repairs can’t be undertaken
Public transport, fire, police, ambulances, telecommunications, utilities, mail, and other essential services stop.

log three since three day, three weeks, three months

Sustainable tech is the future if we like it or not.
Last edited by aeden on Sat Aug 25, 2018 3:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.

aeden
Posts: 12496
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

https://euh.global.ssl.fastly.net/en/?p=1852

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=saud+selling+ ... 4_i&ia=web

looks like they are executing chicks as the other barbarians gas people

we spend trillions for yellow cake I get that point

aeden
Posts: 12496
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

The Office needs to declassify all the docs requested by Congress, and then clean house in DOJ and FBI after midterms.
The Independents who were democrats will not forget. He already knows.

Mueller & Co. will hopefully drown in a red wave of populism.
Then Sessions's head is held under water just long enough to warrant nominating a replacement DoJ head.

No we are not falling for the democrats crawling back to the middle ground as the triangulations cargo cult check the entrails
of the last body farm antifas of dispositions and dubious hirelings of the blue snowflake order.
http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... 480#p41376
The memo contains plans for defeating Trump through impeachment, expanding Media Matters' mission to combat "government misinformation," ensuring Democratic control of the Senate in the 2018 midterm elections, filing lawsuits against the Trump administration, monetizing political advocacy, using a "digital attacker" to delegitimize Trump's presidency and damage Republicans, and partnering with Facebook to combat "fake news."

We exposed the faceplant linkages to the persuasion rhetorics.

... 88 percent of Democrats who were interviewed said they approved of Mrs. Clinton's job performance....
Mrs. Clinton's approval rating comes at the same time that 83 percent of Democrats in the sample told pollsters that they
regarded the war in Iraq as a mistake.
"She has the left in her back pocket," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac institute.
"She doesn't have to worry about catering to them."

There you have it, friends. You're not just being mistreated and ignored by your Democratic paladins:
you are actively contributing to their wickedness by your servile, unconditional loyalty.
As we are reminded from you know who Don't let them fool you. These incompetent commies put all their assets in US dollars for a reason. They have never been able to run an economy on their own and the only successes they've had in 50 years have been in copying US methods and US technologies.
Last edited by aeden on Sat Aug 25, 2018 3:12 pm, edited 5 times in total.

aeden
Posts: 12496
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

I have mixed feelings on Milton Friedman. But he was right in stating you can't have open borders and a welfare state.
Having health care tied to GNP is the ultimate argument of the wall in between their ears.
It takes a rather few million dollar toothaches from sepsis in the brain to bring the system down with the street demographics
increasing.

As seen firsthand by another Department of Human Services—pre-Obama—I saw many American citizens turned down for Medicaid, even though they were low-income applicants. I will never forget the day I found out about the TWISS form, which, at that time, was the method for covering all of the medical bills for every member of an illegal alien’s household.

Another points out, "One of my customers was a rural hospital administrator. He said when the hospital has a year when too few patients with good insurance show up, they can’t balance their books, considering the flow of rural patients who are uninsured or insured, with bad policies that cover very little. It is not just rural hospitals, though. A local city hospital, affiliated with a nationally known private university, has had all kinds of trouble. According to another former customer who is a medical professional, that hospital does 75% of the indigent care for this large city and the surrounding counties, including performing umpteen-thousand free illegal alien services.

You may get past triage with chest pain or whatever to get you in the door, but we are very efficient at weeding out the seekers and fakers and dc-ing them pronto.

Unfortunately, the resource used on you still must be compensated. Hospitals must provide a certain amount of indigent care in order to remain tax exempt entities and get federal dollars and participate in state/federal medical compensation programs.

So EMTALA prevents me from just looking at your non existant insurance or crap insurance coverage and booting you without spending a dime. I can cut your care short if you are stable tho. We eat that cost. But now i have a photo of you. You will be matched each time you show up. You may get minimal care to stabilize you, but otherwise, you will get discharged.
The biggest way for people to be denied care is when they were required to have a primary care provider as gatekeeper for all services. A referral had to be made first.
This way, you gyp your PCP and dont pay the bill? They have zero obligation to do one thing for you. They tell you....go to the ER. Wash, rinse, repeat.

You will never get admitted without a life threatening condition or good insurance. Period.
===========================================================================================================================
So how do you not get sued when you send one of these cardiac cripples with EFs of only 10% home? It’s a numbers game before one dies and the family comes back and sues.

As a former rehab director at Natchez, MS (Merit Health- CHS owned ) and who shouldn’t have been doing that job as an ORS, a post op hemiarthroplasty hip fracture replacement done by my partner in 60 yr old blk female with 60 pack years smoking and alcholic had to be discharged because she had post op delirium, refused to participate in PT/OT rehab therapy and by CMS (medicare medicaid rules had to be discharged after 5 days of non therapy) . Neither I nor hospitalist saw any evidence of circulation problem. About 2 weeks later after discharge, she developed acute onset of symptoms of peripheral arterial disease, initially manifested by gr toe blue toe syndrome followed by what was, I suspect, massive embolic events to both legs, ultimately requiring above knee amputations. Renal failure, MI etc. She survived all that only to die a few months later in her trailer from a fire (probably cigarette). I was the only doctor named, the hospitalist was not. I am ortho, he is IM. Suit settled last month. She had been unemployed nearly her entire life due to her life choices, had run through hundreds of thousands for her acute medical care - both femoral neck hip fx, embolic events, PAD, ARF, IWMI, bilateral AKAs, and with the final insult to me having to defend myself against this kind of bullshit suit.

My contention is its only a matter of time before you get sued for “inappropriate discharge” even though your hands are clearly tied by the money master administrators and CMS on one hand, and the shark infested waters that you have to swim in on the other.

PS: I finally was forced into early retirement last year. This issue of unaffordability of health care with both hospitals and insurance getting squeezed, medical malpractice, legal malpractice, divorcing a physician anesthesiologist and a whole lot more, a lot more, in my memoirs:
My Medical-Legal Back Pages

Archway. Bryce Sterling (Nom de Plume) Based exclusively on all true events in KY, NC .

324 pages. Guaranteed to ruin your weekend if you read it.

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