Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

I know it's a little premature, but reports indicate that economic growth will be a little higher this quarter, although still slow and primarily because of the holiday season and seasonal hiring.

At least from my perspective, attacking the United States would be a big mistake for them. Keep in mind that, from the Chinese point of view, attacking Taiwan would be a COMPLETELY DEFENSIVE attack on enemies living on Chinese territory, and not an attack on the United States. John Yeah, but it wou...

At least from my perspective, attacking the United States would be a big mistake for them. Still, people are quite good at deluding themselves, at least in crisis periods. Another reason we've perceived as weak is because our president's given that impression, at least from China's perspective. In a...

Don't forget about Japan; they'll be eager to bomb their country into rubble.

I think Taiwan's policy is to make an invasion of their country costly enough to where China would decide it's not worth conquering. A good part of it is mountain, which is very difficult terrain to fight in, which we found out in Afghanistan. However, since they're in a crisis era, China will conqu...

John, if the stock market is close to twice the trend value, why hasn't it crashed to around DOW 2000-3000? It's been about 3 years and that was all it took the last time around.

Perhaps, but it didn't stay that long for long. They kept thinking "The worst is over", just as they are now.

Reminds me a little of what happened with Spain in the 16th century. They explored the new world, hoping to find great riches. They actually did find a fair amount of gold, but because it increased the supply, the actual value of it ended up plummeting.

I think it can also depend on what qualifies as hyperinflation. There's no universal definition.

I still think there's going to be some deflation, though perhaps less dramatic than what we saw in the depression. In one of the years, 1932 I believe, the currency deflated about 17 percent.