Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

richard5za wrote: Sun Mar 07, 2021 8:27 am Dear Higg and Cool,
I am not following the logic on the Doomsday arguement.
Say I don't believe in the doomsady scenario: That doesn't mean that Bitcoin will succeed. There must be other reasons for it to succeed or fail.
If I do believe in the doomsday scenario then that doesn't mean Bitcoin will succeed or fail any better than other asset classes. What if there is no doomsday internet or equivelent?
If I say Bitcoin will succeed because certain famously successful people believe this then we are assuming that the circumstances and logic that made them famous will prevail and cause them to be right on Bitcoin. But at the speed at which the world is changing is this a reasonable assumption?
And then we have the uncomfortable historical research that shows that economic and political experts are less accurate in their predictions than a dart throwing chimp. So maybe these famously successful people only have feet of clay?
In the case of this website we seem to have found a methodology which makes predictions easier, but of course there cannot be timing to the forecast!
One thing we can learn from history is that when there have been massive upwards valuations of assets, and this is coupled with impassioned arguements for and against then put your FOMO somewhere else (Fear Of Missing Out) and get the hell out of there

richard, these are really good questions. I get a chance to clarify even further since you are asking questions and the obfuscators sadly mix the concepts (or make up their own fantasy of what I state - this is common and I can't understand why since clearly they have command of the English language), which I have been clear about. So I will address them, yet again:

My struggle here for months has been to get people to consider that since we don't know the future, we can only assign probabilities to what any of many different outcomes might be. No one is God, and beyond the fact that there are paradoxes in the universe that are all contingent on probability anyway, so we therefore are foolish to think we know what is going to happen. Being God even is irrelevant because ultimately this world will fade away and we won't worry about it - in a changed realm outside of created things like time and space, the eternal now already realizes "what happened." Anyway, back to us. Just like in investing, probabilities have to be considered, and some are better at doing this than others, that's why we have better investors than others. Within the margin of error and risk is why someone who is wrong about eventuality X survives over time, and why he strategizes accordingly (see Taleb - don't get blown up). Thinking that it's all over and doomsday is going to happen for sure WIPES YOU OUT of the scenarios that really weren't all that doomsday, when if you get through something bad but not awful or horrible, you can position yourself on the other side, rather than just having foodstuffs and a bunker, but no surviving wealth, bitcoin, ability to move to the new place that is not ruined, etc. This should be a fairly basic concept to the wise man. What proves the point is that if it's going to be so horrible anyway, who even cares about planning for it?

Ok, from here, doomsday doesn't mean BTC succeeds, correct. These are unrelated concepts. But if the quality of the "bad times coming" (I've never denied that this is a major possibility, or even likely, to be sure) is in a digital realm (that's what's happening) increasingly, you have some optionality that is outside of the world order that is repressing its people by controlling banks and currencies. BTC is tailor made for what central banks are doing to their people (if you want freedom) and an answer for social mistrust of governments around the world - it is literally the only thing that can keep them honest at this point (they've stacked gold and can set prices for it, if you haven't noticed). Those are the reasons why it succeeds. It is untouchable by governments in its essence. They can do NOTHING about its value. They can alter fiat and even gold derivatives or pricing, and have, at their will. Are you beginning to see what I'm saying?

Additionally, I do not argue that BTC "will succeed because other [smart, rich] people believe it". I never have. I say the opposite. I say it will succeed because of its characteristics as the soundest money of all time, and although I don't believe it will be currency, it will be the only un-impairable asset, as Saylor argues. Rich, smart people believe in BTC because of its characteristics. So the critics again get that backward. They also then have to answer why rich, smart people would be involved at all if it is what they characterize it as - a tulip bubble or some other childish idea.

Quickly on the tulip bubble, which is the most embarrassing comparison these emotional hater posters put forth: The tulip thing was overstated, but even if you don't believe that, the nail in the coffin for the stupidity in comparison is that the "tulip bubble" - or any other bubble akin, lasted all of 1 year? Maybe 1.5. It didn't even bankrupt anyone, but it proved itself a bubble, yes. What has bitcoin done? It's only been around for 10+ years and while it has gone up and down, it never died. And it continued gaining steam. That's why it is here to stay. The network effects can only be denied, and the intrinsic qualities of it, by people who don't know what it is or care to learn, because they draw conclusions and then run their mouths. That's why they can't ever answer why it has no value or intrinsic value, as if we don't have countless examples anyway of fiat (which are worthless) that utilize non-tangible factors for media of exchange and even, for a time, store of value. It's breathtakingly ignorant stuff to deny this fact.

Ultimately, if the PE and other (paper) assets are majorly inflated, and they are, the question becomes, where do you store value? Bonds? LOL. Stocks? LOL. Gold or other commodities. Maybe. But go look at gold, or any other asset that you can think of and compare it to BTC for 10 years. Then bow down.

Seriously, it'll be the funniest thing in the world when BTC is 15, 20 years old and the chicken littles are still screaming "bubble, bubble!" while it is 6 or 7 figures in USD value. Sheesh, by that time, USD might not even be a major player, anymore. Who knows.

As it was said today.
I don’t know what a SPAC is, but I get the message: invest in woke, go broke.

As noted.
We are utilizing three percent on eco systems.
The future was yesterday.
I will confirm the three percent inputs since yea its new month already.
As we noted Doctor Greyscale is another pair trade as such.
Yea we pay capital gains since they got like napalm and mercenarys and Bernie ubi bros half wits
to pay for.

This budget just turned millions to lower than chattel from the already plantation debasement proles.

thread: New Perspectives in Political Economy the academic journal of CEVRO Institute (School of Legal and Social Studies)
Tue Feb 25, 2020 9:55 am march sweeps
thread: sogo salem l8ter green cloud
Malachi 4:4

Hayek:
This brings me to the crucial issue. Unlike the position that exists in the physical sciences, in economics and other disciplines that deal with essentially complex phenomena, the aspects of the events to be accounted for about which we can get quantitative data are necessarily limited and may not include the important ones. While in the physical sciences it is generally assumed, probably with good reason, that any important factor which determines the observed events will itself be directly observable and measurable, in the study of such complex phenomena as the market, which depend on the actions of many individuals, all the circumstances which will determine the outcome of a process, for reasons which I shall explain later, will hardly ever be fully known or measurable. And while in the physical sciences the investigator will be able to measure what, on the basis of a prima facie theory, he thinks important, in the social sciences often that is treated as important which happens to be accessible to measurement. This is sometimes carried to the point where it is demanded that our theories must be formulated in such terms that they refer only to measurable magnitudes.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/der ... -suing-cnn

thread: cnn


Mon May 30, 2011 1:27 pm
There are decent kids getting the absolutely the wrong advise. They are being farmed. We had to laugh about how broken some things are.
She works at the Hospital and is a Student. She has years to go being three years in.

They still no idea what happened.
Elderly care is breaking down to social circumstances cults to kill them as soon as possible.
My Wife is in the middle of this trying to find competent providers for victims as I see it right now.
BLM is an obtuse theater of a Gramsci death march.
CNN is a criminal effect in effort we noted some time ago.
Some protocol has been rewritten to deal with the rna gain of function to save a few lives
and the actual horror stories are forgotten to the three viruses seen.
The effects are criminal enterprises to patent pathogens since you cannot patent nature as law indicates.

As we warned: Fri Aug 28, 2020 7:58 am

It’s not about an election anymore.
Active measures.
... base and ideological superstructure focus on how power and domination operate in Marx's footsteps, Hungarian György Lukács and Italian Antonio Gramsci as we witness these creatures of root is now Schwartz Gyorgy and His Teacher Karl Popper.. https://uww.academia.edu/StanislavVysotsky

Russell offered a revealing glimpse into Frankfurt School’s mass social engineering efforts,
in his 1951 book, The Impact of Science on Society:
The actual thread is - The alliance theory.
As it was put clearly before. A bent of mind contrary to the Book and the Letter.
Yes we seen the rise of it as identity politics, is a term coined by the Combahee River Collective in 1977.
The earlier notes cover the walk through the institutions.
You Have to go back to the 1920's to understand where this current logic gets you.
Some of our People did not survive and yes Corporate and Wall Street sponsorship will continue to burn cities to the ground.

Please call us crazy.
Not a damn word from my Senator. Criminal enablers.

As H aptly put it on a rna question "The 97th Percentile spinning their wheels - and yours."
I will check with my Virologist and our data fragility query we posited correctly some time ago....

Of course the current options had been seen and interpreted.

reposted by a different author as a community service:


Dr. Vladimir (Zev) Zelenko

Board Certified Family Practitioner

501 Rt 208, Monroe, NY 10950

845-238-0000

March 23, 2020

To all medical professionals around the world:

My name is Dr. Zev Zelenko and I practice medicine in Monroe, NY. For the last 16 years, I have cared for approximately 75% of the adult population of Kiryas Joel, which is a very close knit community of approximately 35,000 people in which the infection spread rapidly and unchecked prior to the imposition of social distancing.

As of today my team has tested approximately 200 people from this community for Covid-19, and 65% of the results have been positive. If extrapolated to the entire community, that means more than 20,000 people are infected at the present time. Of this group, I estimate that there are 1500 patients who are in the high-risk category (i.e. >60, immunocompromised, comorbidities, etc).

Given the urgency of the situation, I developed the following treatment protocol in the pre-hospital setting and have seen only positive results:

1. Any patient with shortness of breath regardless of age is treated.

2. Any patient in the high-risk category even with just mild symptoms is treated.

3. Young, healthy and low risk patients even with symptoms are not treated (unless their circumstances change and they fall into category 1 or 2).

My out-patient treatment regimen is as follows:

1. Hydroxychloroquine 200mg twice a day for 5 days

2. Azithromycin 500mg once a day for 5 days

3. Zinc sulfate 220mg once a day for 5 days

The rationale for my treatment plan is as follows. I combined the data available from China and South Korea with the recent study published from France (sites available on request). We know that hydroxychloroquine helps Zinc enter the cell. We know that Zinc slows viral replication within the cell. Regarding the use of azithromycin, I postulate it prevents secondary bacterial infections. These three drugs are well known and usually well tolerated, hence the risk to the patient is low.

Since last Thursday, my team has treated approximately 350 patients in Kiryas Joel and another 150 patients in other areas of New York with the above regimen.

Of this group and the information provided to me by affiliated medical teams, we have had ZERO deaths, ZERO hospitalizations, and ZERO intubations. In addition, I have not heard of any negative side effects other than approximately 10% of patients with temporary nausea and diarrhea.
------------------
Aug 30, 2020 ZZ
HCQ is MUCH safer than Remdesivir. Remdesivir causes dangerous cardiovascular problems such as atrial fibrillation(6%0, hypotension(8%), and cardia arrest(1%). Remdesivir also causes hepatic toxicity(23%), kidney damage(19%), and serious lung damage(10%) such as ARDS. 5:29 AM Aug 30, 2020 Dr. Zev Zelenko

Fundamental misconceptions about critical theory of intersectionality in race and economics down to the milk drinkers.
The conversation we’re having about Medicare for all as democrats having no conversation about health-care equity.
If they have Medicare for all but I don’t have a hospital in my county Biden will still read the teleprompter line wrong
and 4 trillion taxes to blm bread breakers as eu social circumstances cult mindsets make more inroads in the States.
As reported enjoy your no oxygen social circumstances cult and blm burns down placed you could break bread
running cover for demsheviks. Shall democrats explore independents minds further? Your current body farm dems would
not reply to a simple query to critical theory deception. Yea we can play spin the cult members.
They disappeared Tulsi Gabbard after she destroyed that half wit Kamala Harris and asserted what was
already know about the Queen of the damned.
One thing way later after this journey here is lunch with Herman Cain their.

As we read corn was burned for heat as coal people starved. Yes locally.

Over in the enlightened zones H.G Welles dismissed Orwell as “a Trotskyite with big feet.” On a more lethal note, the Spanish secret police, on orders from Moscow, hunted Orwell during the Spanish Civil War for the crime of”Trotskyism” because he fought in a Marxist military unit at odds with Stalin. His “Trotskyism” even affected his livelihood; Orwell’s submission of Animal Farm to the publisher Faber and Faber was rejected by poet and employee T.S. Eliot for expressing “Trotskyite” views.
At first glance, the literary evidence seems to bear this out. In both novels, Animal Farm, and Nineteen Eighty-Four, the Trotsky figure is the victim of the Stalin one. In Animal Farm, Trotsky appears as the pig “Snowball,” who initially rules the animal republic with the Stalin pig, aptly named “Napoleon” (in real life, Trotsky, exiled by Stalin, labeled the Soviet dictator and his military-style methods as the “Napoleon” of the Bolshevik Revolution); but “Napoleon,” craving power, sets his dogs on the more intellectual “Snowball,” and the pig is chased away for good. In Nineteen Eighty-Four, Trotsky appears as “Goldstein,” the boogeyman used by Big Brother to justify the martial law imposed on the citizenry. A film clip of him speaking serves as the object of the “Two Minutes Hate,” a process designed to release anger that in other circumstance might be directed at Big Brother. But despite this literary device, Orwell was, in fact, a decided critic of Trotsky. In 1939, a year before Trotsky’s death by an ice-axe wielding Soviet agent, Orwell refused to just blame Stalin for the Soviet dictatorship.... Capshaw

The whole any only point of the cancel culture is to shut down criticism of socialism/communism. Useful idiots is above them at this point.

Pictures of Dear distinguished leader in waiting with the Bern bros platform chattel is the ultimate insult to free people living and deceased.

thread: sweden
https://www.du.edu/korbel/hrhw/research ... health.pdf

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/peo ... aths-study
https://patriotpost.us/articles/73145-b ... 2020-09-02
http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G9KG7_Jd4WE

https://experience.arcgis.com/experienc ... 87457ed9aa
https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps

Deming was correct on results.
If you think it was an error to focus Sweden you never had been paying attention to social circumstances rhetoric.

thread: Deming regression

N95 masks actually have that name because they are 95% efficient. Sheep are always that.

unchecked disaster capitalism

Sat Jun 27, 2020 8:33 am
... COVID. It's pretty depressing. Effective treatments ignored. Vent Parts on order from China due in August ordered month ago. At the end of the day profit models top down. Luckily some input was protocoled to MD's and then finance managers who are not technicians that keep you alive.
-- note very specific respiratory equipment --

Fri Jul 17, 2020 8:54 am
Lobotomised cattle to profit the synthetic chemical agenda cults.
Mention forensic medical studies you can basically see the demonic eyes roll into their cursed minds.
-- trials in zones noted --- poor souls


Thu Jul 16, 2020 8:04 pm
The the illusion of control.
Called up to train the next core group, or simply fragmented to other core functions ongoing.
Put simply they are simply dead and statistics heading into this next round of contagion.
They simply have no idea then and will not now as it was told clearly at the end of the day profit over safe and sane measures.
Agenda profit centers will simply aggregate data over measures known to work.
It is not based on anything you consider sane.
I have read they are testing more and results are bottle-necked in the centers not covering the influx of unreliable results.
The law of large numbers will not help us to date.
As warned clearly and accurately the data fragility pain curve measured as in the dead and agenda medical mired in avarice.
The competent have shut down to protect licenses.
As it was simply put medicine will be rationed.
They reports are clear in zones they let them die gasping for oxygen for hours.
The - social circumstances- cults or difficult decisions for the spin cycle enthusiasts was warned.
Cold and calculated response drones as response script robots.

7b. Delay is always called - there will usually be a minimum of a 48-72 hour delay. This allows a sit-down team discussion on
response strategy for best effect, and even enough time to 'get permission' or instruction from a formal chain of command.

1. Dummy up. If it's not reported, if it's not news, it didn't happen.
2. Wax indignant. This is also known as the "How dare you?" gambit.
3. Characterize the charges as "rumors" or, better yet, "wild rumors." If, in spite of the news blackout, the public is still able to learn about the suspicious facts, it can only be through "rumors." (If they tend to believe the "rumors" it must be because they are simply "paranoid" or "hysterical.")

I am not forming an opinion just data if you can call it that since proof of concept papers are never seen and
contractor labs are just that for sequencing. We know the results from brain tissue results on that alone ignored
and rna effects from lets say engineered results to T lymphocytes issues.

As conveyed PPM was printed for Her to Survive. Some lives in gods grace alone had been spared.
I some cases you have no idea the horror when a few technical got ill and the consequences in the other zones.

Pelosi Calls Republicans 'Domestic Enemies Of The State'.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZC7Jg-R6Wpc

COVID-19, children, and schools: overlooked and at risk
Aug 12, 2020
https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2020/cov ... d-and-risk

Coronavirus may cause children brain damage in absence of respiratory symptoms: report
News Direct
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5GjICtGYV4
COVID-19–Associated Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children — United States, March–July 2020
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6932e2.htm
Children Often Carry More Coronavirus than Adults Do: Study
https://www.the-scientist.com/news-opin ... tudy-67785
Dozens More Cases of Neurological Problems in COVID-19 Reported
https://www.the-scientist.com/news-opin ... d-19-67717
Some kids suffer mysterious brain damage from coronavirus, study finds
https://nypost.com/2020/07/06/some-kids ... udy-finds/
Neurological associations of COVID-19
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lane ... 0/fulltext
Neurologic and Radiographic Findings Associated With COVID-19 Infection in Children
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamane ... le/2767979
Children with coronavirus may have neurological instead of respiratory symptoms, study suggests
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/h ... 96126.html

As we read from Sweden unfiltered she gasped with all night until death.
The - social circumstances- cult or difficult decisions for the spin cycle enthusiasts.

Yes we fathom protect the Young and the Old the best we can as was needed.
That is how you will be remembered.

thread: sweden

δοκιμάζετε τὰ πνεύματα

Politicians haven’t changed, the country has just made a fatal mistake and started trusting them without question.

This next round will be devastating and simply is. Pre election capital IC movements well underway to diffusion zones.
Can the current ISO system survive.
Current SEC ruling seen upcoming.

Fair trade zones will survive because others have very short years to survive?

Euro-zone will be a shambles and implode to cratered and scattering capex designs as borders are simply being overrun.
Thinking security zones will prevail in simply sane measures.
Americans borders will the other tipping point and they are many years behind sane policy's to even survive.
Biden is understood and the facts have been noted clearly what He yoked into.
Failure nodes as 1 in 10 lost versus 1 in 1.7 return realities. Fisher rule.
Locally half the Businesses are simply gone and will not coming back.
We have underground providers offering services to consumers. Make no bones about it the 1099 is being annihilated
as the DNC runs cover for evil.
The three weeks from the savages going evil will and have overrun the systems for treatment providers.
At the end of day we already know what was and was not done.
The the illusion of control.
Called up to train the next core group, or simply fragmented to other core functions ongoing.
Put simply they are simply dead and statistics heading into this next round of contagion.
They simply have no idea then and will not now as it was told clearly at the end of the day profit over safe and sane measures.
Agenda profit centers will simply aggregate data over measures known to work.
It is not based on anything you consider sane.
I have read they are testing more and results are bottle-necked in the centers not covering the influx of unreliable results.
The law of large numbers will not help us to date.
As warned clearly and accurately the data fragility pain curve measured as in the dead and agenda medical mired in avarice.
The competent have shut down to protect licenses.
As it was simply put medicine will be rationed.
They reports are clear in zones they let them die gasping for oxygen for hours.
The - social circumstances- cults or difficult decisions for the spin cycle enthusiasts was warned.
Cold and calculated response drones as response script robots.
We are soon to find out what and who gets hammered we know why.
These maniacs allowing these cults to run riot are simply and utterly diabolically insane.
As they wish to ignore Mussolini who was a communist first and just went to the other party and strung up l8ter.

7b. Delay is always called - there will usually be a minimum of a 48-72 hour delay. This allows a sit-down team discussion on
response strategy for best effect, and even enough time to 'get permission' or instruction from a formal chain of command.

1. Dummy up. If it's not reported, if it's not news, it didn't happen.
2. Wax indignant. This is also known as the "How dare you?" gambit.
3. Characterize the charges as "rumors" or, better yet, "wild rumors." If, in spite of the news blackout, the public is still able to learn about the suspicious facts, it can only be through "rumors." (If they tend to believe the "rumors" it must be because they are simply "paranoid" or "hysterical.")

4. Knock down straw men. Deal only with the weakest aspects of the weakest charges. Even better, create your own straw men. Make up wild rumors (or plant false stories) and give them lead play when you appear to debunk all the charges, real and fanciful alike.
5. Call the skeptics names like "conspiracy theorist," "nutcase," "ranter," "kook," "crackpot," and, of course, "rumor monger." Be sure, too, to use heavily loaded verbs and adjectives when characterizing their charges and defending the "more reasonable" government and its defenders. You must then carefully avoid fair and open debate with any of the people you have thus maligned. For insurance, set up your own "skeptics" to shoot down.

6. Impugn motives. Attempt to marginalize the critics by suggesting strongly that they are not really interested in the truth but are simply pursuing a partisan political agenda or are out to make money (compared to over-compensated adherents to the government line who, presumably, are not).

7. Invoke authority. Here the controlled press and the sham opposition can be very useful.
8. Dismiss the charges as "old news."
9. Come half-clean. This is also known as "confession and avoidance" or "taking the limited hangout route." This way, you create the impression of candor and honesty while you admit only to relatively harmless, less-than-criminal "mistakes." This stratagem often requires the embrace of a fall-back position quite different from the one originally taken. With effective damage control, the fall-back position need only be peddled by stooge skeptics to carefully limited markets.
10. Characterize the crimes as impossibly complex and the truth as ultimately unknowable.

11. Reason backward, using the deductive method with a vengeance. With thoroughly rigorous deduction, troublesome evidence is irrelevant. E.g. We have a completely free press. If evidence exists that the Vince Foster "suicide" note was forged, they would have reported it. They haven't reported it so there is no such evidence. Another variation on this theme involves the likelihood of a conspiracy leaker and a press who would report the leak.
12. Require the skeptics to solve the crime completely. E.g. If Foster was murdered, who did it and why?
13. Change the subject. This technique includes creating and/or publicizing distractions.
14. Lightly report incriminating facts, and then make nothing of them. This is sometimes referred to as "bump and run" reporting.
15. Baldly and brazenly lie. A favorite way of doing this is to attribute the "facts" furnished the public to a plausible-sounding, but anonymous, source.
16. Expanding further on numbers 4 and 5, have your own stooges "expose" scandals and champion popular causes. Their job is to pre-empt real opponents and to play 99-yard football. A variation is to pay rich people for the job who will pretend to spend their own money.
17. Flood the Internet.