Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

I leaned about hypocrisy early in my youth as the city's burned and the drug houses protected as they wiped the Amish
clean since they went to work as we sat there for head counts for district dollars. Education is another when you get
additional specifics to deal with. Nothing like burned out cars with corpses over turf wars when the marching powder cults came.
Reading white papers confused more than many as the implementations came and they ate the furadan corn seed when it went sideways
over there during the famine of the 80's.
The locals also spread furadan on the carcasses for decades also. When one or more predators return to feed again (or if vultures or other animals consume parts of the carcass), they become poisoned and died shortly after.
The issue today appears rather venn diagram like from the lifeboat ethics paper from the club. The transition from the 400 to 4000 to 40000
model was extensively noted from inception to implosion rulings from bankruptcy's followed to completion.
I was naive to think the morning toe tags are abating. They simply are not as the fool sheep are wiped out in metro zones.
Maybe the retards can link satiated fluoride recipients for an adventure map study other than the lead heads.
They drink it and fire enough at each other with a touch of Florine waste for the hell of it as a kicker.
First things that they did was add fluoride to the water in the eurocentric ghettos also is not fiction either.

Long-term consumption of water with fluoride levels far above established drinking water standards may be linked to cognitive impairments in children, according to a new study.
The study tested the cognition of 74 children in rural Ethiopian villages where wells have varying levels of naturally occurring fluroride.
Fluoride is essential for preventing tooth decay. However, excess intake of fluoride has been linked to lower IQs in past epidemiological studies in rural communities in China and India also.

Additionally, past animal research has shown that fluoride can cross the placenta and blood-brain barriers. In regions with no alternative water sources, this means excess fluoride exposure could be a chronic issue that begins at conception.

By Eurocentric we mean the communist used to produce Schizophrenia is known in control zones.

Margin debt is all the rage this week to run away like the monte python skit
as dumb money to smart indicator intersects.
While invectives rule the inter week volumes mute the vix is suspected may just be so.
Maybe they will come out and play at 15x forward earning as they still play with dolls from another time tested confidence
brighter than the Sun. I think V your project will get some funding and yea do not be that guy who left it on table
to damn long in options. It looks like after last weeks sweeps they are reloading short positions.
Either way the gaps to be filled are already slated in. The easy money it watching the store chains
being looted for EBITDA margin. No surprises at hand so maybe its priced in was the meme of the week.
Dead cats and yea margin debt will finally finish off the genuises.

https://status.advisorperspectives.com/ ... n-november
Looks like they got the memo.

Lance Roberts of Real Investment Advice analyzes margin debt in the larger context that includes free cash accounts and credit balances in margin accounts. Essentially, he calculates the Credit Balance as the sum of Free Credit Cash Accounts and Credit Balances in Margin Accounts minus Margin Debt. Very good person to listen to. https://status.advisorperspectives.com/ ... n-november

Me I see some sideways action but watch PPI and BIS GDP issues for and into late January. EBITDA margin still is in the swirl for the end of year furloughs.
Dutch: verlof, "leave of absence"

March 2023 and yes it has a 100 percent record to date calling it. https://www.conference-board.org/us/

Sweeps then guys as noted. They already knew and know.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FILR9-i54cg

thread: xrip

The 3 phases of a bull market. So far as I know, the credit for this concept goes to the late, great Richard Russell. Russell has been gone a long time and I was unable to find his description of this, so I took a different description and modified it close to how I remember Russell describing it. This describes stocks, but it can be applied to any market.



Phase I is the Accumulation Phase, where farsighted investors sensing that prospects although now depressed, are due to turn up. They are willing to pick up all the shares offered by discouraged investors and distressed sellers. The public is disgusted with the market and has now exited. Activity has trailed off and becomes dull. Price action normally undergoes a prolonged sideways movement and becomes immune to bad news. Most remaining investors have a general disposition to expect worse things ahead. It is now that stocks have sunk to below "Known Values" and under these conditions informed, serious investors begin their accumulation, therefore this phase is named the Accumulation Phase. Competition is at a minimum as the public is disinterested, careful and controlled purchases take place as a long base is established. The uninformed public is incapable of recognizing the bargains as they don't look for value.

Phase II may be called the Mark-Up Phase. It occurs as the improved tone of business and rising price action begin to attract public and institutional attention. This second phase is the longest phase and most deceptive of the three phases. It is characterized by a steady advance building on increasing activity reflected in growing volume. It will be punctuated by secondary reactions when investors become convinced lower prices are out of the question. When the bull chorus is the loudest a secondary reaction often strikes to the downside which is unusually violent compared to the other phases. The advancement in prices during phase II is in response to the known improvement in earnings. Stocks are marked-up because belatedly the public becomes aware that pessimism or necessity had forced prices too low.

Phase III is termed the Blow Off Phase or Mania Phase. It is labeled this as the market undergoes a character change. No longer are stocks bought in due consideration of intrinsic value or earnings power, but instead the crowd buys on prospects only with no regard for values. Certain stocks take on a religious component as their future seems certain and the masses flock to them. The market boils with activity, financial news is all good, price advances are spectacular, IPOs dominate the financial headlines and grab everyone's attention. It's in phase III where your obnoxious brother in law reminds you how he scored huge by flipping the latest fad stock, oblivious of course to the fact that it had been going up for years and has zero earnings. In phase III the market has been going up for so long it seems to actually take leave of its senses. General confidence has allowed price to discount not only present values, but future dream like possibilities.

richard5za wrote: Fri Oct 28, 2022 4:48 am

Higgenbotham wrote: Thu Oct 27, 2022 10:58 pm

As Goes Apple, So Goes The Nation: Jobs In The Digital Service Economy

Adam Hartung
Former Contributor

Nov 6, 2015,02:53pm EST

"As goes GM, so goes the Nation" is attributed to Charles Wilson, CEO of General Motors, in Congressional hearings 1953. His viewpoint was that GM was so big, and so important, that the country's economic fortunes were inherently dependent on a robust General Motors.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/adamhartun ... 3547f36443

Until Apple falls big, I doubt the S&P can fall big either. Once Apple reported, stocks that had been down a lot (like Amazon) started to recover, and the S&P went from down about 50 to down about 15.

After hours stock prices can be found here. This is Amazon:

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/s ... ote_switch

One of the more cautious successful trading analysts I know who has been saying since last year "keep your funds in cash so that you can pick up bargains after the crash" is now starting to nibble at some selected USA stocks as longer term investments, (i.e. not short term trading). He doesnt believe that S&P will fall below 2700, so his math could make sense. He's more optinistic that I.
I am still in cash, mostly US dollar. If you live outside the USA then dollar cash has been a great investment, up 22% since end of 2020

Yes, he's doing the "Since I can't time it and I think the max low will be X(2700), I'll just buy for a 10 year hold." I think the only problem with that is that if he doesn't pick really well, inflation will crush him if the market just moves sideways.

Like you, I'm 50% in cash.

Agree to the extent they violated the Taylor rule as pretext to the root issue before that.
viewtopic.php?p=24932#p24932
He was smart enough to know better. He walked into it all by Himself.
Omama was cautious enough to finger Kagans neo cons and yes Doctor Bill Warner was correct as it
RATHER smoke sideways so Gellen could get enough room to exit. Now the rope burn is the amount allowed.
They can avoid the arc of instability papers all they want to.

thread: gatto

5 more migrant buses from Texas arrive in NYC, with 1,000 already in New York.
Bravo opportunity cost for the demsheviks exclave.

I am going to email you direct for a set of all your books. GD is one of the sane formats to wit for ideas.

As with Keynes who studied under Marshal read Tobin to see what Yellen was bathing in.
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals ... ric-theory

You warned about econometrics as we understood what 1983 was bringing.

Cariboo never had a chance.
"Cryptography, Zero-Knowledge Proofs and Number Theory" (Kyoritsu-Shuppan, 1995)
"Cryptography" (Sangyo-Tosho, 1997)
"Cryptography and Information Security" (Nikkei-BP, 1998)
"Information Security" (Denki-Tsushin-Kyokai, 2000)
Japanese translation of "Modern Cryptography, Probabilistic Proofs and Psudorandomness (O.Goldreich)" (Springer-Verlag, Tokyo, 2001)
Theory of Public-Key Cryptography (Kyoritsu-Shuppan, 2011)
Quantum Computation (Kindai-Kagaku-Sha, 2015)
Advent and Advance of Modern Cryptography (Kindai-Kagaku-Sha, 2019)

We also told you when and how.

thread: isa55

Higgenbotham wrote: Thu Aug 11, 2022 9:45 am Since the 50 percent retracement was exceeded this morning, in my opinion, that increases the probability of a fast reversal down and reduces the probability that the market will move sideways for awhile before it drops.

I'm still around watching the markets. Since the elliott wave degree count changed due to the deeper retrace, once this intermediate wave 2 completes, then that would agree with your assessment that there will be a fast reversal. Of course some elliott wave counters view this wave up as impulsive and therefore the correction is over and that this is upwards and onwards for the markets but I'm not sure how they can see that unless they believe that the slow walk of the fed will actually inflate the market in relative terms due to elevated inflation levels overall.

Since the 50 percent retracement was exceeded this morning, in my opinion, that increases the probability of a fast reversal down and reduces the probability that the market will move sideways for awhile before it drops.

I'm adding some shorts now at 4240.

https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_a ... 17x682.png

It will be choppy top or as known sideways if damned lucky into September bear flag and the bulls know this also.
h.4.1 told you this. Relax we lived through nixon and we bear no malice to thinking souls.
Confirmation is enough short and the hell with em into this. vbl is correct in this slot into August.
The best read in this is from a Rabbi who as we expect also what we seen into the Amos window.
The markers are rather clear to events but that is study fewer want to think about.

The rich oppressed the poor; might was right; it was an age of corruption.
Hand in hand with this degeneration of the morals of the people went increased idolatry.

https://www.thecreatorscalendar.com/wp- ... e-BEST.pdf
Amos knew the exact date. Given my bent of mind it would be wise to keep some blessed candles rather soon.

Updated some holdings in the fund.
Last look was plague, disease and sec treatment as the bots extolled buy
500 percent more as the burn 500 gallons per hour fuel haunts Penn Avenue.
Jet fuel stench lashed out at the actual smart er money
as quants warned we will hold your beer Fritz. Yes -20 as percent was the good news in that blood bath.
Quants will run away with the worthless wives anyways as it was not them who tossed fuel
on the hookers as esg is suspect as std even if daily or even that worthy of sweeps.

Ecat tries to put on a bra bro.
Yea stick with Solomon's point after 300 then 700 more.
No way does it concern behavior economics.
Alley Kats have a leg up in dignity this round. Nope.
Elliot's wave will lead to tears but not today.
We will watch another bear flag wave develop and the hapless to hopeless we suspect for now
as we wonder into September. Metals caught a bid quicker then I surmised.
We think some took some weight of the trigger this round also.
Do not worry you can short biti.to after this wave of intent.
We do not care if you ketchup or not since oatmeal sold to the open market.
That deserved some respect. DXY is to noisy and WTI could rudder since the Dems appear
to respect Mr. Manchins actual point to move sideways and let price decide the path they messed up.

Freidman was correct get over it.

Growth in the money supply, specifically M2, “doesn’t really have important implications.” Fed Chairman Opps Jerome.

viewtopic.php?p=55925#p55925
Not voting dem and the awol others named repubs should thank Mr. Manchin for having a set. Sideways if lucky for now.
Judgement is certain just as the painted cows of Bashan today is also.

He's also now got more boosters than votes. Root Kits alludes them anyways.

The old world has to be destroyed! That is what they are doing.
The pissing contest between keynes and hayek dead zone and lightswitch.

https://nypost.com/2022/06/27/voicemail ... gs-report/

cats color is pointless

Obama went eight years with no recovery. The magic verbiage was stated as repaired balance sheets.
We left it as sideways if we are actually lucky.
Basil Moore 1983, “Unpacking the post Keynesian black box: bank lending and the money supply”, Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 1983, Vol. 4 pp. 537-556; here Moore was quoting a Federal Reserve economist from a 1969 conference in which the endogeneity of the money supply was being debated.

This covered the 1983 thesis for the 1993 operation 936 for the ICC books.
The consumer will be annihilated now the other way from the financial repression to the financial recession.
As Volcker succinctly put it, “The standard of living of the average American worker has to decline.”
Paul Volcker stated in 1982. When I saw a line snaking around eight city blocks in Columbus,
Ohio for people who wanted to sell their blood at the Alpha Plasma Center.
Nothing says end of the world like people waiting in line for hours to sell their life's blood for twenty bucks.

I was building days in motels chains when construction was crushed.
Over the decades from the Nixon shock to crush the workers with operation 936 one thing stands out.
The national ability to remain absolutely clueless.

The color of cat does not matter, as long as it catches the mice.
Nov 19, 2009: On his trip to England in 1979, Deng Xiaoping learned why free economies were outperforming Russia and China, and he returned to launch the Sino-Capitalist Revolution which keeps astonishing the world even as faith in capitalism fades across much of the OECD. He had learned why Hong Kong, Taiwan and South Korea could keep creating jobs and wealth by rejecting socialism—whether on the Maoist, Bolshevik, or Indian models.
They see only what is immediately visible to the eye. Politics in America is what it is as the world moves on. The democrats and republicans ignore reality.
Ignore facts long enough you can run for office and destroy the middle class. Stock up and plan for Stagflation. They have as Washington does what? piss and moan about what? Wake up people...
I must admit they need to clean up water and air as ours need to spend per capita only and not kick the can on budgetary
acountability. Looking for a pivot point is apathy to change direction since we know how this going to end to date.

thread: 1979