Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

On a superficial level identity politics seeks to replace class consciousness. It's also a nefarious means for the securely employed,
especially in the media and academia (doing the bidding of their billionaire grant donors), to dominate the conversation, to wrest the Megaphone from the worker and https://moneycircus.substack.com/p/naming-the-names deny him a voice. That is why the parade of victimhood is so crucial to woke politics.

note: After Hitler came to power, the Frankfurt intellectuals came to the United States.
Ironically, Adorno, the hater of popular culture, settled in Los Angeles. Marcuse ended up in NYC,
where the work of the Frankfurt School was continued on a formal basis at Columbia University.

The book's purpose is to make every group affiliation sound as if it were a sign of mental disorder. Everything from patriotism to religion to family -- and race -- loyalty are signs of a dangerous and defective "authoritarian personality." Because drawing distinctions between different groups is illegitimate, all group loyalties -- even close family ties! -- are "prejudice." As Christopher Lasch has written, the book leads to the conclusion that prejudice "could be eradicated only by subjecting the American people to what amounted to collective psychotherapy -- by treating them as inmates of an insane asylum."

The first attempt was 1986 on our group. It was a graduate student from Cornell. The internalized drones fell head first.

These upcoming clown face paint show will be a Frankfurt School wet dream since the cult was removed deriving itself from social theory
and critical philosophy associated with the Institute for Social Research, at Goethe University Frankfurt in 1929.
Founded in the Weimar Republic (1918-1933), during the European interwar period. Straight out of the pit from the 1840's deceptions.

The bourgeoisie will remember my carbuncles until their dying day, Marx told Engels in a letter from 1867
The analysis we utilized is from the 1840 to 1884 intellectual pivot point from the Pari café liberals Sismondi mentioned also.

Muck silt under the crack of the door from the known, knowns.
The citations to The Federalist as mostly used in cases involving governmental power and are
used as a tactical tool.
Later on as we noted the flying monkeys are sent and landed.

As it was put clearly before. A bent of mind contrary to the Book and the Letter.
Yes we seen the rise of it as identity politics, is a term coined by the Combahee River Collective in 1977.
The earlier notes cover the walk through the institutions.

water wheat weather

aeden wrote: Wed Jun 02, 2021 10:54 am

Higgenbotham wrote: Wed Jun 02, 2021 10:53 am

aeden wrote: Wed Jun 02, 2021 9:42 am No I am not short H for now.

I went another 4% short this morning. Now I'm using futures to get short for the first time this year.

Understand your logic.
As discussed into August for channel view that developed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RUn7sRNJqTk

This is a log chart. Where the lines go is in the eye of the beholder. I don't believe there is one correct way to draw them. I tried to keep them parallel. Sure, it could hug the upper end of the channel for awhile longer, but I think it unlikely. I've been acting as if that is possible, though. If it's a megaphone pattern from 2018, it should end abruptly. I think the next touch of the bottom of the channel will crash through it.

https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792 ... k=hQXeUY3z

We discussed this pattern H on also Wed Jun 06, 2018 4:13 pm
Could it of been avoided?
GD and GGS says no and we would convey in our terms also the fullness of time.
No matter what we think the seal is real in the forehead.
We have done our duty and the Office has worthy men for the Mission at hand.
Mike just talked to the Taliban and they should enlist all thinking men of both
sides in that region to get to work for the People.
I will hold the warrants when executed for this other current issue under discussion it appears.

The pretext of the conversation then was the resonance wave or amplitude dispersion.
I took classes free online at MIT to dial in on that wave effect.
The only solution I seen was a store of value we also discussed as man hours per barrel
other than intrinsic value issues not relevant in this scope for now.
The only point they can whine about is sticky wages and we want more from you since we said so.
The effects are real and they offer no capital solution to risk metrics.

As we discussed you hear the wave after light already went by.

http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php ... one#p40140

US Total Market Capitalization is at 139.9%, compared to 146.1% the previous market day and 138.7% last year.
This is higher than the long term average of 83.65%.

http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly

aeden wrote:no matter what flares up the timing will be essential as you indicated

Maybe the long-awaited collapse of the megaphone patterns is finally upon us. The theory would be that when the collapse off the E wave begins it is fast and straight down with overnight gaps that do not get filled. That seems to be what we have: the fastest collapse on record with hardly any relief. The best we may get is a backtest of the line above but it doesn't need to happen. As far as timing, the main proponent was too inaccurate in his timing to get anything out of it, and he's been quiet for months. The concept has a lot of value though if applied at the right time and this may be it.

https://www.technicalindicatorindex.com ... 010.20.pdf

Estimating the precise timing of the top off this huge size pattern can be difficult, and any estimate could be off by a few years, which is insignificant relative to the size of the pattern and the size of the coming decline, but important to know to get out of harm’s way before its too late, but not too soon as to miss the rising trend. But estimates aside, this pattern is nearly complete, so we must be alert at any moment.

https://www.deathcanary.com/

Higgenbotham wrote:From 2012.

Higgenbotham wrote:

Flutter is a self-feeding and potentially destructive vibration where aerodynamic forces on an object couple with a structure's natural mode of vibration to produce rapid periodic motion. Flutter can occur in any object within a strong fluid flow, under the conditions that a positive feedback occurs between the structure's natural vibration and the aerodynamic forces. That is, the vibrational movement of the object increases an aerodynamic load, which in turn drives the object to move further. If the energy input by the aerodynamic excitation in a cycle is larger than that dissipated by the damping in the system, the amplitude of vibration will increase, resulting in self-exciting oscillation. The amplitude can thus build up and is only limited when the energy dissipated by aerodynamic and mechanical damping matches the energy input, which can result in large amplitude vibration and potentially lead to rapid failure. Because of this, structures exposed to aerodynamic forces — including wings and aerofoils, but also chimneys and bridges — are designed carefully within known parameters to avoid flutter. In complex structures where both the aerodynamics and the mechanical properties of the structure are not fully understood, flutter can only be discounted through detailed testing. Even changing the mass distribution of an aircraft or the stiffness of one component can induce flutter in an apparently unrelated aerodynamic component. At its mildest this can appear as a "buzz" in the aircraft structure, but at its most violent it can develop uncontrollably with great speed and cause serious damage to or lead to the destruction of the aircraft,[1] as in Braniff Flight 542.

In some cases, automatic control systems have been demonstrated to help prevent or limit flutter-related structural vibration.[citation needed]

Flutter can also occur on structures other than aircraft. One famous example of flutter phenomena is the collapse of the original Tacoma Narrows Bridge. Another is a particular playground swing in Firmat which "swings itself" with such force that it leads many to believe it is haunted.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aeroelasticity#Flutter

a growing commitment to steady inflation = aerodynamic forces on an object

failure of soft central planning = result in large amplitude vibration and potentially lead to rapid failure

how do you like being a guinea pig = in complex structures where both the aerodynamics and the mechanical properties of the structure are not fully understood, flutter can only be discounted through detailed testing

The stock market, in addition to the 3 megaphone patterns discussed a few months ago is, since then, "fluttering" between 2820 and 2940 on the S&P. According to my analysis, this could "potentially lead to rapid failure".

Higgenbotham wrote:This is a good link to get a long term perspective (5 years) on the rapid flutter currently taking place in the S&P:

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advcha ... e&state=11

From 2012.

Higgenbotham wrote:

Flutter is a self-feeding and potentially destructive vibration where aerodynamic forces on an object couple with a structure's natural mode of vibration to produce rapid periodic motion. Flutter can occur in any object within a strong fluid flow, under the conditions that a positive feedback occurs between the structure's natural vibration and the aerodynamic forces. That is, the vibrational movement of the object increases an aerodynamic load, which in turn drives the object to move further. If the energy input by the aerodynamic excitation in a cycle is larger than that dissipated by the damping in the system, the amplitude of vibration will increase, resulting in self-exciting oscillation. The amplitude can thus build up and is only limited when the energy dissipated by aerodynamic and mechanical damping matches the energy input, which can result in large amplitude vibration and potentially lead to rapid failure. Because of this, structures exposed to aerodynamic forces — including wings and aerofoils, but also chimneys and bridges — are designed carefully within known parameters to avoid flutter. In complex structures where both the aerodynamics and the mechanical properties of the structure are not fully understood, flutter can only be discounted through detailed testing. Even changing the mass distribution of an aircraft or the stiffness of one component can induce flutter in an apparently unrelated aerodynamic component. At its mildest this can appear as a "buzz" in the aircraft structure, but at its most violent it can develop uncontrollably with great speed and cause serious damage to or lead to the destruction of the aircraft,[1] as in Braniff Flight 542.

In some cases, automatic control systems have been demonstrated to help prevent or limit flutter-related structural vibration.[citation needed]

Flutter can also occur on structures other than aircraft. One famous example of flutter phenomena is the collapse of the original Tacoma Narrows Bridge. Another is a particular playground swing in Firmat which "swings itself" with such force that it leads many to believe it is haunted.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aeroelasticity#Flutter

a growing commitment to steady inflation = aerodynamic forces on an object

failure of soft central planning = result in large amplitude vibration and potentially lead to rapid failure

how do you like being a guinea pig = in complex structures where both the aerodynamics and the mechanical properties of the structure are not fully understood, flutter can only be discounted through detailed testing

The stock market, in addition to the 3 megaphone patterns discussed a few months ago is, since then, "fluttering" between 2820 and 2940 on the S&P. According to my analysis, this could "potentially lead to rapid failure".

John wrote:** 21-Jul-2019 Harry Dent and Robert Prechter

What happened to Harry Dent and Robert Prechter? I haven't been paying
attention.

I don't want to say too much because these types can talk out of both sides of their mouth and I don't care to follow everything they put out to the public. In the case of McHugh, who wrote a book circa 2014 called The Economic Ice Age about the impending collapse of the megaphone pattern and depression, the article referenced above clearly states the range I posted:

A Major Stock Market Top Is Imminent
Robert McHugh, Ph.D.
July 14, 2019

The S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 both are completing similar large Megaphone topping patterns from 2017, with upside price targets in the range of 3,050 to 3,100 for the S&P 500 and 8,100ish for the NASDAQ 100. Those averages should also top over the next week or so.

But suffice it to say my impression from what I have seen is that both Dent and Prechter turned bullish up here, though I cannot point to anything that is as clear as the above. Harry Dent has a youtube channel where everything I have watched lately has a bullish bias to it, or at least that is my impression, but I don't want to go to the work of pulling exact quotes and dates from videos. In the case of Prechter, who has definitely retreated from the media, I'm going by a publication that said on July 15 that "Hochberg/Kendall" (his newsletter writers for The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, which I think is the official publication put out by Elliott Wave International) are BULLISH as of that date (which was the exact high so far, assuming it holds). This is classic as far as what happens at tops, as was a certain guru's call for $5000 gold at the 2011 top (which I am sure he would dispute).

http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly
we seen it midway H as noted Wed Apr 27, 2016 10:18 pm
hence the leave it alone for the rate for now

the doj should sue the ngo asap into the stoneage for taxpayer damages

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/23/us/p ... rants.html
they know who sent them
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-07- ... s-loophole
criminal as the doj will do nothing
thus omission of crime is the greater crime

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0BLof0G ... ok&index=4

Megaphone pattern discussed on CNBC yesterday.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-RVKjE2IW2k

Higgenbotham wrote:Looking at this long term weekly chart of the nearby S&P futures together with other information (some of which has been previously posted here), I think the market is in the zone for a high. Since early 2018, it does have the appearance of the flutter effect discussed years ago.

Flutter is a self-feeding and potentially destructive vibration where aerodynamic forces on an object couple with a structure's natural mode of vibration to produce rapid periodic motion. Flutter can occur in any object within a strong fluid flow, under the conditions that a positive feedback occurs between the structure's natural vibration and the aerodynamic forces. That is, the vibrational movement of the object increases an aerodynamic load, which in turn drives the object to move further. If the energy input by the aerodynamic excitation in a cycle is larger than that dissipated by the damping in the system, the amplitude of vibration will increase, resulting in self-exciting oscillation. The amplitude can thus build up and is only limited when the energy dissipated by aerodynamic and mechanical damping matches the energy input, which can result in large amplitude vibration and potentially lead to rapid failure.

Megaphone pattern, in other words.

This is a dome formation in my view after three peaks for this gann mindset dome just as the rigged thermite building was in allegory.
The dems and rhinos as we speak will not relent because it is what Marxist will always do.
I think this period is way past playing with hell fire. I have not reopened book four to date...
The charts are clear in gap positions we covered as megaphone indicators around here before also.
I will stick to the usual suspects.

Commodity trends need to be feared until they begin to change.
copper will lag watch closer / gold/ oil
federal tax receipts <-------------------------
chapwood index
empire pmi index
basic materials
lei

Large corporations are transitioning labor needs from payroll to other corporations and LLC.
Zero employee corporations.
ZEC's are owned and run by ex-employees now contract.

Labor projects are bid out by-the-hour in a development methodology called Agile, where ZEC's bid on project line items by the hour.
This allows mega-corporations to receive 80 hours labor for the price of 40. It's even more lucrative because they leverage the savings
into more profit by firing one payroll employee who's work is outsourced to a ZEC.

By the time the IRS knows what hit them- their tax base will consist of mostly minimum wage payroll employees.

The US spends and loses close to $1 Trillion per year on illegals who are low-IQ, low-education and low-skills
and will never survive without welfare. Cloward and Piven welfare Marxist plantations.
They are to ignorant and corrupt in Washington to even begin to wake up and will ignore it as before.
The pharmacological effects are obvious to keep the current lunatics in line we witness is rather true.
The only one coming around out of the damn haze appears to be Schumer.