Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Underground resources still indicate 2019 America falls dark from the corruptions internal and external operations underway.
Stench from the DOJ and FBI still in our nostrils as is the body farm who sold us out.


August imports of industrial supplies and materials ($49.7 billion) were the highest since December 2014 ($51.8 billion).
August imports of automobile vehicles, parts, and engines ($31.7 billion) were the highest on record.
August imports of other goods ($9.1 billion) were the highest on record.
August petroleum imports ($20.5 billion) were the highest since December 2014 ($23.6 billion).

Pox on both Houses.

The Fed needs to generate a significant tightening in financial conditions to slow the economy.

yea, ok...

u6
http://www.usdebtclock.org/

http://www.gata.org/files/gibson.pdf
http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly

In other words, with inflation now steady around 2%, each additional Fed rate increase is a 1-1 tightening of the real rate. And, as Xie concludes, "until the cyclical/defensive ratio settles down, it might be an early sign that investors are starting to entertain the possibility of overtightening by the Fed."

Of course, that assumes 3 more hikes; if the Fed were to hike 5 more times over the next 14 months as Goldman suggests, the outcome for risk assets will be far more dire than the market volatility observed so far as traders realize that - once again - the Fed will simply tighten until something breaks... tyler

You do not get it. China didnt force Apple to move factories to China or IBM to sell its PC business to Lenovo.
Global businesses won.
Sovereign nations lost.
Us vs China is a side show in the end.
We are battling who controls our future: Facebook, Basf-Sygenta or private central banks vs cryptocurrency creators or gold hoarders.

William Gibson was right: The future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed.
1. The total area under the curve is equal to 1 (100%)
2. About 68% of the area under the curve falls within 1 standard deviation.
3. About 95% of the area under the curve falls within 2 standard deviations.
4 About 99.7% of the area under the curve falls within 3 standard deviations.

So, the Hightower comment the only thing you find in the middle of the road is yellow lines and dead armadillos is still true.

Two things, I think. First, reforming a party is just incredibly hard. The entrenched interests are, well, entrenched. They have strong attachments to their worldview, and their powers of self-justification are enormous. Lose an election? We strayed from the Word. Win an election? The people adore us. In the case of Republicans, these entrenched interests are also remarkably effective at punishing dissent. Thieves and Liars pool like blood...
Since the President is having some problems some may think this is expected in this Hour we are actually in and he is doing what is needed.
Stop pouring alcohol and drugs down your addled pie holes and wonder why a percentages of the population knows how the trillions and tech went.

Best ad hoc discussions.
X cannot retire his wife was just diagnosed.
http://www.yourguardian.org/

Thank God the misses does not drink or consume legal or illegal drugs. We are caring for a Alzheimer's patient currently and its very hard
to witness and still we are blessed and lucky as we take care of others who are suffering in our community's.
Student debt is killing us.

https://www.khanacademy.org
Daughter went to math professor and wagered her actual future that two classes where not needed and 4.0 His calculus class by testing out. Now back in medical classes as options and future's may pay for her next years living expense. Yes her bachelor's was paid in advance as we went along. Other two kids went as far as they wished with out debt to college.

No, we are very average we just learn from others.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-1 ... e-last-wee
https://refusefascism.org/protests-and-events/
Now, the discovery of a craigslist ad posted last Monday, almost a full week before the Charlottesville protests, is raising new questions over whether paid protesters were sourced by a Los Angeles based "public relations firm specializing in innovative events" to serve as agitators in counterprotests.

The ad was posted by a company called "Crowds on Demand" and offered $25 per hour to "actors and photographers" to participate in events in the "Charlotte, NC area." While the ad didn't explicitly define a role to be filled by its crowd of "actors and photographers" it did ask applicants to comment on whether they were "ok with participating in peaceful protests." Here is the text from the ad:

Actors and Photographers Wanted in Charlotte

Crowds on Demand, a Los Angeles-based Public Relations firm specializing in innovative events, is looking for enthusiastic actors and photographers in the Charlotte, NC area to participate in our events. Our events include everything from rallies to protests to corporate PR stunts to celebrity scenes. The biggest qualification is enthusiasm, a "can-do" spirit. Pay will vary by event but typically is $25+ per hour plus reimbursements for gas/parking/Uber/public transit.

For more information about us, please visit http://www.crowdsondemand.com

Keep walking the dialectic circles and stop taxing the Hell out us since you do not deserve it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tqymo0sVUwE

We shall tax then one penny over the untelevised revolution.

http://www.goldensextant.com/Gibson%27sParadox.html

They knew exactly what they where doing with the dislocation. Rubin and Summers. Brooksley Born is Twice as smart as them both.
The red circling on housing was a political non starter, and proven inept. They knew on the Senate flow in 2005. The CCI account was the
clean up crew from the 1983 papers. Taxpayers never had a chance with these predators.

http://winteractionables.com/?p=19769

http://archive.lewrockwell.com/rothbard/ir/Ch13.html We where lucky some say...
http://wn.com/madeleine_albright_justif ... hildren_as_

http://rense.com/general77/balk.htm The spillover effects are fact.

Seymour Lipset, the historian said, "Great nations don't die, they commit national suicide."

No, the white flag zones shift, and are as to what Malachi Martin already knew.

vincecate wrote:

aeden wrote: Vin wins this discussion round http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5ETNX+Basic+Chart&t=3m

So from Hussman I believe that as interest rates go up the velocity of money will go up. From the equation of exchange I believe that as the velocity of money goes up that prices will go up. If I am right, then the missing inflation should be showing up soon. On, and foreigners are net sellers of treasuries, when they have usually been net buyers.

http://howfiatdies.blogspot.com/2013/08 ... uries.html

I seen the net seller listed by t and Sky News cameraman Mick Deane and Gulf News reporter Habiba Ahmed Abd Elaziz were among the dead

You as I understand no accidents.... http://www.gata.org/files/gibson.pdf

Greek skariphasthai to scratch an outline. seam

http://www.gata.org/files/gibson.pdf
wax on, wax off - The ROC and LOG function indicates nominal targeting and ccpi is just another latency bias effect, as always.
Rope burn for paper tigers, delivery for the long term thinkers. Between the seams I will look for value now and simply wait.

https://sutodoreh.wordpress.com/2012/07 ... s-paradox/

Last week, Singh chose Rajan to be the next governor of the Reserve Bank of India, to replace the outgoing chief, Duvvuri Subbarao, on September 4.
http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?keywords=Rajan+
In a world of fairness and accountability, there would have been a bidding war for Rajan’s services. As it is, India’s central bank will get a guy who saw the global financial crisis before the fact, whereas Obama’s shortlist consists only of folks who’ve been blinded by the spectacularly flawed models of mainstream economic theory.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-1 ... -frontrunn

fishheads

StilesBC wrote:Malleni,

The vast majority of what you hear about "printing" isn't actually printing. It is fiddling around with numbers on a screen. You need to understand the difference between money and credit (Geld und Schuld. Es gibt ein grosse Unterschied). We have been tricked into believing that they are the same thing. For decades they were the same, because debt was "liquid". Now it is illiquid. Creating more of it does nothing.

Even if it was attempted to actually print physical notes on a scale that would have some overall impact on the total supply of money and credit, you need to have the demand for those notes to be used for accumulating assets in order to create inflation. If the Fed creates notes and gives them to the banks, they will just sit there. Nobody needs them to carry out their activities. If the Fed just shipped the money to every American (which is preposterous and likely illegal), people would just take it to the bank and pay off some of their debts. The bank would have all the money again, and send it back to the Fed.

There is only demand for physical currency at a certain proportion to the size of the entire economy (~5%). The problem is that debt is 400% greater than the entire economy. It's like pissing in the ocean. Sure, if you piss enough, you might start changing the sea levels. But it's not going to create Mel Gibson's Waterworld all over again.

Hi StilesBC,
Sorry that I do not answered before, but I was quite busy those days.

Yes.
I understand your stand point, but for me it looks like you would not want to see situation from another one.

Besides all these ridiculous comments (NOT yours) - which appear sometimes on this forum and the "mother site" like:
- "somebody ... somehow will bail out us ..." - (of course - USA is state of question... )
- "the United States of America (US Treasury) can default on its debt - but USD will remain strong..."

.... I think that you are not in those nonsense too deeply, as some...
(Perhaps because you are not an American - but Canadian citizen.)

The text: (China daily - Who will 'feed' the US?):
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/2 ... 8783_2.htm
(please try to understand that - influent people OUTSIDE US do not think as US citizens...)

1.
I am giving you a text OUTSIDE from American paradigm thinking.
(The "American paradigm thinking" is - "we (Americans) are the World. If we going down (even if we deserved!) - everybody going down!"....
Of course you are clever enough to understand that WILL NOT happened! "Others" experienced huge problems because of American misguided economy - BUT will also find the way OUT... undoubtedly.

2.
You are (unfortunately) so fixed as many on this side on the "credit destruction".
That - automatically (according "deflationists") - mean "monetary deflation" because they understand each sort of Deflation - as Monetary deflation... AND sice the "credit is same as money" - that shoul be the one "monetary deflation". (Or this "very ugly one" (according deflationists of course!) - similar as in 30-ties last century)

Of course - this is NOT true! AND everybody can see it until now!
Unfortunately, the crises is quite complex, and the main cause (the US government(s)) even if they are the main guilty - try to camouflage the real situation and deepness of it.

- If we looking just on the "credit destruction" - that YES.
You have right.
It means a huge "deflationary" power which try to press PRICES (!) down.
If PRICES (!) of housing, commodities etc - falling down - it does NOT mean automatically "the monetary deflation".
It means "DEFLATION" in the prices of housing (commodities?) - but NOT monetary deflation.
Definitely not.
(Even US government (with President Franklin D. Roosevelt) was simply proved it in March 1933 when they NOT just "brake the deflationary spiral" in the time of COUPLE WEEKS(!!!) but actualy started huge inflationary spiral at this time.
Simple measures, as.... - taking the United States government off the gold standard – effectively confiscating all investment gold from US citizens at a 41% mandatory discount)... With simple words - fiat money "printing".)

The Deflation in prices of houses - would continue for sure. Those are simple - overvalued! If you would like to call it - as "deflation" - OK... be my guest.... But I would rather call it "market correction".

On the other side - if you looking of a company which "survived - deflation"...:
- it will probably need credit too
- the credit is expensive those days
- since they have not much competitors after many "defaulted on debt" and on the other side their production is become more expensive - this company can ONLY increase their prices!
Outcome - is clear. Monopoly positioning and increase of the prices... even in "deflationary environment".
How you call it?

In simply words (as paraphrase to title on your blogg) - the Deflation (monetary one) - is impossible in fiat money system!


- your last statement about "demand for physical currency" is in my opinion - quite right!
What FED making now - is NOT to "print money out of the thin air"...
They CAN NOT do it at all!
NO.
They "printed" REAL money!
The "money out of the thin air" can only be printed by commercial banks - but they do not giving any credits anymore! They fight for - survival!

On this blogg many people just "forgetting" that increadibly much money is used by State too. (Espetialy in the case of the United States of America!!!... With all those "democratic wars", control and financial and military to other states, "removing of regimes".... and so on!!! Somewhere I found that 70% of all citizens in USA are dependent of - military!!! Scary. Isn't it?)
So Privat, industry and banks are OUT of money!

On the other side - THE STATE (!) desperately need "real money" and FED - helping it diligently!
I think that ONLY problem for now is that US biggest note is 100$ bill (Am I right?)...
To achieve goal (i.e. to bail out the State debt (Treasury)) - FED need to go at least to the 1000$ bill!
How you could call it?


- Regarding "non-American" view on the GFC - I sent a link from China Daily and with comments of one influent Chinese and Japanese on it.
As sooner Americans understand:
1. they are NOT the "center of the World", but unfortunately "Center (and cause) of the GFC"
2. that people in the other parts of World MUST to think to best of THEMSELVES (NOT for "American best"!)
3. that process of - Crush of US Empire is irreversible - and it is started for while ago.
American citizens (as well other citizens of the Planet) can only positioned themselves better.

Nonsense of type I read on this site:
- buy US Treasury (they are "safe investments")...
- US was "first in the crises and will be the first - out."...
- USD will "remain strong" (even if the State US collapsed)...
-.... and so on....

CAN NOT HELP one average American investor or citizen!
Those just blinding them!

Thank you for me.
Good luck.

Malleni,

The vast majority of what you hear about "printing" isn't actually printing. It is fiddling around with numbers on a screen. You need to understand the difference between money and credit (Geld und Schuld. Es gibt ein grosse Unterschied). We have been tricked into believing that they are the same thing. For decades they were the same, because debt was "liquid". Now it is illiquid. Creating more of it does nothing.

Even if it was attempted to actually print physical notes on a scale that would have some overall impact on the total supply of money and credit, you need to have the demand for those notes to be used for accumulating assets in order to create inflation. If the Fed creates notes and gives them to the banks, they will just sit there. Nobody needs them to carry out their activities. If the Fed just shipped the money to every American (which is preposterous and likely illegal), people would just take it to the bank and pay off some of their debts. The bank would have all the money again, and send it back to the Fed.

There is only demand for physical currency at a certain proportion to the size of the entire economy (~5%). The problem is that debt is 400% greater than the entire economy. It's like pissing in the ocean. Sure, if you piss enough, you might start changing the sea levels. But it's not going to create Mel Gibson's Waterworld all over again.