Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

... with cash.

H and some here also remember the lower the river discussion to effects and relative value to nominal facts.
The adoption of a disinflation policy in October 1979 does not appear to have had a measurable impact on the cyclical properties of real variables.
We also forwarded the ...

Iirc my echo chamber was about my expectations of inflation vs John’s of disinflation/deflation. I seem to have won.

... the economic circumstances, laid out over many posts, perfectly. Inflation is out of control, transitory was a lie, and it is. It can cause disinflation because of the government's reaction (raising rates) or by collapsing the economy, but supply will still outstrip demand, and the deflation call ...

... mostly fake at this point, at least historically compared) and unemployment is totally fake, just like CPI is. Again, I'm waiting for the disinflation, but supply decreasing when people don't produce is the other side of the scarcity argument; you're just looking at demand, and oil will always ...

... crash."


This is a real possibility.

Notice that inflation quite clearly can't be beat down, either. It's what is making the Fed's job so difficult. They have had to hike faster than any other time in history and they have no idea what's going to happen, and still the disinflation isn't very big.

... info/blog/2023-prediction-the-feds-inflation-fight-is-far-from-over/
So, inflation will decrease generally to a lower rate of price inflation (disinflation, not deflation) in first part of year, but will bump up again during the early months of the year if energy keeps rising (which is impossible to ...

... info/blog/2023-prediction-the-feds-inflation-fight-is-far-from-over/
So, inflation will decrease generally to a lower rate of price inflation (disinflation, not deflation) in first part of year, but will bump up again during the early months of the year if energy keeps rising (which is impossible to ...

... pivot or other stuff the markets are hoping for finally comes in. Then over the near to mid term, realization that the economy is bad, will be bad, and stocks will just hover up and down for years, not really a way to make money or defeat the larger inflation coming after disinflation (as predicted).

This makes deflation caused by the inevitable future recession more likely; in my opinion most probable


Again, you mean disinflation . And that then begs the question, what exactly is slowing in its increasing (still) price?


Inflation can be positive or negative. In economic theory the ...

richard5za wrote: Thu Nov 03, 2022 5:08 am This makes deflation caused by the inevitable future recession more likely; in my opinion most probable

Again, you mean disinflation. And that then begs the question, what exactly is slowing in its increasing (still) price?