Generational Dynamics Forum

Sometimes I wonder what's holding China back from attacking us. They're currently capable of pushing us out of the South and East China Sea. Whether they could hold the line against our current capabilities. . . not sure. I know not everything is public knowledge.

Despite all the talk, I don't think the coming war is going to start with a mass nuclear barrage. Here's why: The highest estimates are that China has around 3,000 warheads. That sounds like a lot, but it doesn't get them as far as many think, due to the fact most would have to be positioned for cou...

Even two years ago, I would have considered a true civil war to be impossible. Incidents of violence and division, yes. But having large numbers of people being willing to butcher each other? It still seems unlikely, but I'm no longer as confident as I have been. I'm not a Trump fan, but I'm watchin...

Generally, when we think of civil war, we think red states fighting against blue states. However, the fault line that's grown isn't quite that simple. It's much more of an Urban-rural divide, with the suburbs the most divided. If we had a civil war, it'd look a lot more like the fighting in Syria, Y...

The origin of that comes from a fiction novel: "One Second After." It operates on the assumption absolutely everything would be destroyed: all electronics, the entire power grid, every last vehicle in the country, which it wouldn't. EMP blasts would cause a lot of damage and misery, but it...

Been doing a bit of reading on the topic and I'd say that even with 3,000 nuclear weapons, China isn't going to be able to destroy the United States' capacity to fight a war, or its ability to strike back. Doubly so if those warheads are spread throughout India, Russia, and Japan. How much of the w...

Been doing a bit of reading on the topic and I'd say that even with 3,000 nuclear weapons, China isn't going to be able to destroy the United States' capacity to fight a war, or its ability to strike back. Doubly so if those warheads are spread throughout India, Russia, and Japan.

Actually, the nuking of Japan killed something like 200,000 people. It does seem that ever since Iraq, isolationism has become popular again. We'd rather give up being policeman of the world and have everyone else deal with their own problems. I'm getting the impression that at least some of this bl...

I personally think the war isn't going to be triggered until after we have another global recession. We didn't solve the problems back in 2008, only papered them over, and we're much more heavily in debt than we were a decade ago. We've got all the tinder necessary for a major conflict, but no motiv...

I happen to think your work is worth it; been following your site for several years. Found it by chance when reading up on "Generation Zero", I found your extension of Strauss and Howe's work to be fascinating, and here I am.