Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Here you go John.

A map for your infotainment.

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_ ... apped.html

Promising to keep rates low isn't enough. The Fed needs to give an indication that they will step up and buy trillions in bonds over the next few months if there's to be any chance of more economic expansion/inflation. The political will to do that has been lost. I think it's because any effect of ...

Stocks are most closely following the 1929 crash trajectory. The first leg down from the September 3, 1929 high lasted 23 trading days. The rebound from the first leg down was 5 trading days to October 11, 1929. Then came the crash. The first leg down from the July 7, 2011 high lasted 23 trading da...

If an industrial arrangement like the US is undergoing a Roman style collapse, the first signal will probably be that, during this crisis period, the energy problem that has been building for 40 years will not be solved, or not solved in a way that benefits central authority. It could be that no so...

The crash window would seem to be closed until the next down leg starts, then it's back onto crashwatch. After just 2 hours without a 4% swing you are ready to ring the all clear bell? Seems a bit early. A temporary all clear bell only because we didn't crash this week. When you are oversold, you e...

It looks like we have a temporary bear market bottom here. The crash window would seem to be closed until the next down leg starts, then it's back onto crashwatch. I don't have any timeframe or price targets; I just presume that it's going to go up and roll over and I will know it when I see it. The...

We're now in the third cyclical bear market of this secualr bear market. At this point, given the market action (a 4% down day is a good tell, these days), one of two things is going to happen. 1) The stock market will experience a true crash. 2) The stock market will put in it's first short term be...

Barry: You should see if you can re-register for BearChat again. Yogi's now the moderator, so I think you're allowed to return. And yes, lots of the housing stock will be destroyed. John: Here's an article from Paul Craig Roberts. I can never quite tell where he is coming from, except that he is con...

John: I don't know if you participated on the old Longwaves forum with Mike Alexander or talked to Bob Bronson back when he was actually arguing with people. I didn't. However, what you keep talking about with your ongoing predictions of the "financial crisis" is Bob Bronson's old "Mass-Correlation,...

John, With respect to the P/E ratio, the best free material I have found has been Crestmont Research at www.crestmontresearch.com. They have charts showing the generally rising P/E ratios for secular bull markets and generally falling P/E ratios for secular bear markets. Also, Mike Alexander has now...