Increasing violence in Kenya revives fears of tribal war
John, do you know when exactly the preceding crisis wars before the Mau Mau Rebellion were fought? I did some very quick research and it would appear that most of the wars were fought in the inland highlands. The Kikuyu were conquered by the British in 1895 but from my reading brutal fighting with both the British and traditional enemies, particularly the pastoralist Masai, continued until 1920, though I am not certain that 1920 was the crisis war climax.
However, a different tribe, the Nandi, who also lived in the inland highlands fought a fierce resistance war against the British until 1905, when their leader was murdered by the British.
Also, in your article you talked about the precise year a crisis era begins, and you also mentioned the age of the cut-off between the survivors of the crisis war and the incoming prophets. I know you and I have talked about this issue before, but could you elaborate on your views of generation lengths? Strauss and Howe gave great importance to cohort boundaries between generations, and it seems like it would be important and beneficial is generational dynamics also at least had approximate timeframes for cohort boundaries.
In my own research and theorizing, I've come up with these boundaries.
Prophet or as I call them, Visionary Generation: oldest are age 3 or 4 at the crisis war climax.
Nomad or as I call them, Nihilist Generation: oldest are born in year a society enters an awakening, that is 15 years after the crisis war climax.
Heroes or as I call them, Civic Generation before the crisis war and Heroes or the Heroic Generation after the crisis war: oldest are born 36 to 37 years after the crisis war climax, that is when the first Prophets/Visionaries reach 40 years of age.
Artists or as I call them, Emulating Generation: oldest are 19 years old at the crisis war climax. This may be flexible as it may depend on when a society considers someone to have become an adult. My rule of them for the dividing line between Heroes and Artists/Emulators is that the last cohort of the Heroic Generation enters adulthood during the crisis war climax.