JULLIEN1 wrote:
> Of course, the most important from the point of view of
> Generational dynamics is the question "Is a realignment
> happening?".
> Generational dynamics theory has long predicted a "realignment",
> i.e that in a generational crisis era the political landscape will
> be transformed with new political parties and coalitions emerging,
> perhaps new thoughts, the questions of the saeculum answered, new
> questions emerging...
> Next French presidential elections will be a historical event with
> worldwide consequences: if Marine Le Pen is elected and organizes
> a French exit from the Euro, it will be the end of the Eurozone
> and perhaps the EU, the European project of integrating all
> European states within a single super-state will be finished, the
> political landscapes in the other European countries will be
> upside-down as a consequence; if she's not, it will continue and
> perhaps in the following decades the "United States of Europe"
> dreamt by the "Europeists"/"Europeans" (the name depends on if you
> disagree or agree) will be completed.
You can't have a realignment without a major war, because otherwise
people won't be motivated to overcome their ideologies.
I was listening five minutes agoto an interview with Senator Ted Cruz,
who just announced today that he was running for president. He was
asked about taxes, and he said that task reform was absolutely
essentially, and that ideally the IRS would be abolished and replaced
by a flat tax.
Now, I have no respect for anyone who could say something as
incredibly stupid as that. Even if he were president, he would have
to have the powers of God to get people to agree to do any of that.
At times like this, I wonder why he doesn't suggest making life easier
for everyone by making hurricanes and earthquakes illegal.
So getting back to the situation in Europe, there can't be any
substantial realignment at the present time, because there are too
many powerful interests opposing anything. But once a major European
war occurs, then there'll be a conference of leaders to decide how to
prevent this from happening again, and at that point a realignment can
occur. I believe that such a realignment would be a new European
Union with a constitutional federal government something like the
U.S., and a new euro currency with a single central bank for the
entire EU.
So a realignment does occur, but after the war, not before.
And thanks for the correction on the French elections.