Guest wrote:
> American living in Korea again. Could you give me an idea of when
> this might blow up? A lot of expats fled last year, but I stayed
> because I didn't take any of this seriously. I mean, this is
> standard North Korea in my experience. Was I wrong to stay? Should
> I leave today? I don't want to end up a foreign refugee in
> Korea. I stand out, and I worry the South Koreans would take their
> rage out on me.
> Silent Guest, are you serious? What would doing all of that do for
> me? My family has had a lot of soldiers in it too, but none of
> them expected much help from the American government.
The problem is that there are multiple possible scenarios, and there's
no way to predict what scenario will occur.
Let's look at two scenarios.
Scenario #1 is where things continue as they are now. Trump
and Pompeo keep complimenting Kim, and Kim keeps developing
nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles as secret projects, so things
go on like this for months.
Scenario #2 is where Kim becomes impatient and does something
to promote an immediate crisis, such as a new nuclear weapon of
ballistic missile test.
You can also imagine other scenarios involving China. Or perhaps a
war will start in the Mideast and spread to Korea within a few months.
Any of these scenarios would lead to war, but the time frames are very
different. So in addition to considering silent guest's advice, you
can consider either leaving right away, or you can adopt a strategy of
keeping a "go bag" by the door, and as soon as tensions appear to be
rising, grab your go bag and hope you can get out of the country.