10-Feb-17 World View -- Kenya's High Court blocks attempt to close Dadaab refugee camp
John, have you deduced what generational era Somalia is at this time? I can't seem to make heads or tails of it. A Crisis War appears to have started in 1991 with the outbreak of the Somali Civil War and the collapse of central government, but there doesn't appear to be an obvious crisis war climax since then, though the country has been slowly making progress in stabilizing itself, perhaps a sign of being in a recovery?
But then where does Al-Shabaab fit in? It seems to me that a country who is in a recovery era would be the least likely to produce jihadist/terrorist organizations, but perhaps its a sign of an awakening emerging? Still even that is not satisfactory as there conflict seems more religious, ethnic, and geographical than political/generational.
I will say that I think I have a summary of Somali's generational history before 1991...
1897-1920: Dervish Rebellion (Crisis War)
1920-1935: Recovery
1935-1960: Movement for Independence
1960-1978: Unraveling, establishment of revolutionary government in 1969
1978-1991: Crisis Era, war with Ethiopia and resistance to revolutionary government
1991-present?: Somali Civil War, crisis war?
[quote]10-Feb-17 World View -- Kenya's High Court blocks attempt to close Dadaab refugee camp[/quote]
John, have you deduced what generational era Somalia is at this time? I can't seem to make heads or tails of it. A Crisis War appears to have started in 1991 with the outbreak of the Somali Civil War and the collapse of central government, but there doesn't appear to be an obvious crisis war climax since then, though the country has been slowly making progress in stabilizing itself, perhaps a sign of being in a recovery?
But then where does Al-Shabaab fit in? It seems to me that a country who is in a recovery era would be the least likely to produce jihadist/terrorist organizations, but perhaps its a sign of an awakening emerging? Still even that is not satisfactory as there conflict seems more religious, ethnic, and geographical than political/generational.
I will say that I think I have a summary of Somali's generational history before 1991...
1897-1920: Dervish Rebellion (Crisis War)
1920-1935: Recovery
1935-1960: Movement for Independence
1960-1978: Unraveling, establishment of revolutionary government in 1969
1978-1991: Crisis Era, war with Ethiopia and resistance to revolutionary government
1991-present?: Somali Civil War, crisis war?