by Christoph » Mon Mar 03, 2014 5:00 am
However, I see no options to prevent the Russians conquest of Crimea or even eastern Ukraine. I if the Russians want it, they can go ahead
Why:
1) Russia is the main supplier of gas and oil to Western Europe, particular Germany. Against this, it is argued, that the Russians depend on imports from Western Europe. The question here is, whether China can and will step in as customer and deliverer. My opionion is, that China can deliver everything the Russians need to import and China too has enough need for Russias oil, gas and raw materials to compenstate for Europe. If China can and will, this would ruin Western Europe.
2) The extreme vulnerability of Western Europe and the US to EMP-Strikes ensures, that Western Europe an probbaly the US too will not survive a war with Russia (as well as a war with China). Just one single nuclear warhead exploded 200 Miles above the North See will shut down Germany, the Low Lands, GB, Denmark, southern Sweden, and big parts of France. Most of the civilian and even the military microelectronics would be destroyed as well as key parts of the electric infrastructure. Europe would freeze and starve to death within months. See the report of the emp-commission (
http://www.empcommission.org/ ) as well as novells as "SS18: The Satan Legacy" from Patrick Lowrie and "One Second After" from William R. Forstchen for details and further explantioins. At least Europe is not prepared for this.
Retaliation will make no sense, since retaliation will even more sharply decrease the chance of survivall for the Europeans and Americans.
Shutting down Europe may strengthen Russia since eastern European states will again depend much more on Russia, while NATO will be proved dead and worthless and Western Europe and the US will no longer be attractiv for young high potentials from Russia as places to emigrate to.
For the EMP-risc it is also interessting to google with "bartlett roscoe russia emp".
My conclusion: Europe, and probably the US too, have made themselfes so vulnerable, that they have become teethless old tigers. They can do nothing than just complain. If our governments are still a little bit reasonable, they give in and will let Putin and the Russians, as well as the Chinese do and get what they want. At least now, we should learn from Sun Tzu - and give in, since we were stupid enough to ignore his advice for too many years when we let our countries and societies become weak, vulnerable and careless beyond reason.
However, I see no options to prevent the Russians conquest of Crimea or even eastern Ukraine. I if the Russians want it, they can go ahead
Why:
1) Russia is the main supplier of gas and oil to Western Europe, particular Germany. Against this, it is argued, that the Russians depend on imports from Western Europe. The question here is, whether China can and will step in as customer and deliverer. My opionion is, that China can deliver everything the Russians need to import and China too has enough need for Russias oil, gas and raw materials to compenstate for Europe. If China can and will, this would ruin Western Europe.
2) The extreme vulnerability of Western Europe and the US to EMP-Strikes ensures, that Western Europe an probbaly the US too will not survive a war with Russia (as well as a war with China). Just one single nuclear warhead exploded 200 Miles above the North See will shut down Germany, the Low Lands, GB, Denmark, southern Sweden, and big parts of France. Most of the civilian and even the military microelectronics would be destroyed as well as key parts of the electric infrastructure. Europe would freeze and starve to death within months. See the report of the emp-commission ( http://www.empcommission.org/ ) as well as novells as "SS18: The Satan Legacy" from Patrick Lowrie and "One Second After" from William R. Forstchen for details and further explantioins. At least Europe is not prepared for this.
Retaliation will make no sense, since retaliation will even more sharply decrease the chance of survivall for the Europeans and Americans.
Shutting down Europe may strengthen Russia since eastern European states will again depend much more on Russia, while NATO will be proved dead and worthless and Western Europe and the US will no longer be attractiv for young high potentials from Russia as places to emigrate to.
For the EMP-risc it is also interessting to google with "bartlett roscoe russia emp".
My conclusion: Europe, and probably the US too, have made themselfes so vulnerable, that they have become teethless old tigers. They can do nothing than just complain. If our governments are still a little bit reasonable, they give in and will let Putin and the Russians, as well as the Chinese do and get what they want. At least now, we should learn from Sun Tzu - and give in, since we were stupid enough to ignore his advice for too many years when we let our countries and societies become weak, vulnerable and careless beyond reason.